Focus Ratings is a ratings service designed to aid you and help you narrow the field so that you can concentrate on the real contenders. Our completely computerised analysis system selects the top three rated horses from each race and sends out the ratings every day at 10:00 a.m. (Check our Sample Ratings)
● Focus Ratings covers all UK & Irish races and only costs £27 a month (+VAT) or £67 a quarter (+VAT)!
● Check out our Incredible Results! – Read the Independant Reviews! – It’s easy to use – especially with our Focus Ratings Handbook and our useful Cheat Sheet – We’ve even got our own System Builder to help you use the ratings to their fullest extent!
Once again, I have tried to do a bit more analysis of the individual races,
Now, I can’t promise that I can do this every day but I’ll do my best.
This is really just a view of my timeline; as I’m working away on the Ratings but also watching the results come in.
I’m just trying to share my world with you.
And, please forgive me for this but I really do have to say… COYS!
And, if you don’t know what that means, believe me, you’re better off that way; it isn’t easy being a Spurs supporter but it’s lovely to have been given the chance to lose to Chelsea in the League Cup final at Wembley in just over a month’s time!
Enough of that rubbish, let’s look at yesterday’s results in more detail….
Please Tweet this to your followers so that they can share the goodness. Tweet this!
● For our recent winners from the morning ratings, click on Recent Winners…
● For our latest posts, click on Latest Posts…
● In addition to the normal morning ratings, we also automatically supply a preview of the ratings at 5pm the day before the race.
Scroll down for more information…
|2015-01-28||Kempton (AW)||18:45||Greatest Journey||1||1.73||1.81|
|2015-01-28||Newcastle||15:20||Up And Go||1||2.88||3.16|
|2015-01-28||Chelmsford (AW)||14:40||The Dandy Yank||1||9.00||9.50|
|2015-01-28||Leicester||14:00||As De Mee||1||2.88||2.97|
|2015-01-28||Chelmsford (AW)||13:40||Twin Turbo||1||2.20||2.16|
|2015-01-27||Southwell (AW)||16:10||Risk Nacute Reward||1||2.62||0.00|
|2015-01-27||Southwell (AW)||15:10||Ians Memory||1||6.00||7.20|
|2015-01-27||Taunton||15:00||Sun Wild Life||1||4.50||4.80|
|2015-01-27||Southwell (AW)||14:40||Toto Skyllachy||1||4.50||5.30|
|2015-01-27||Southwell (AW)||14:10||Barbs Princess||1||3.25||3.75|
|2015-01-26||Wolverhampton (AW)||16:40||Classic Seniority||1||2.25||2.17|
|2015-01-26||Ludlow||16:20||One For The Guvnr||1||1.67||1.72|
|2015-01-26||Plumpton||15:30||Sirop De Menthe||1||7.00||8.96|
|2015-01-25||Sedgefield||15:00||Beatabout The Bush||1||2.75||3.00|
|2015-01-25||Leopardstown||13:40||Un De Sceaux||1||1.73||1.78|
|2015-01-24||Doncaster||15:50||Out Of The Mist||1||4.33||4.94|
|2015-01-24||Lingfield (AW)||15:45||Ivors Rebel||1||3.50||3.58|
|2015-01-24||Navan||15:40||Davy From Milan||1||13.00||16.00|
|2015-01-24||Lingfield (AW)||15:10||Maverick Wave||1||3.75||3.97|
Just a solution waiting to be found!
Yesterday, in Speed Ratings – 6, I mentioned that I was going to have a problem working out how many milliseconds a head or a length was going to be.
I asked for your comments and you responded.
Thank you for your contributions; they’ve helped me begin to resolve this issue.
The Good News is that…
The first stage of the test run of the Horse Speed Ratings went well yesterday morning.
So well that, at 9am (after 6 hours work), I decided to pop out to the bank whilst the second stage was running, rather than just sit staring at a screen for three hours, worrying about it.
However, and there’s always a however, isn’t there…
Whilst driving the 20km to my nearest town I realised that I’d missed something really rather vital out.
You see, whilst I can work out the average speed (per furlong) for a horse for a race, the one thing I have just realised that I’m going to have trouble with is…
How long is a neck, in terms of milliseconds, (or a head or a length) during the last part of the final furlong.
And that’s, unfortunately…
The Standard Times for the All Weather tracks.
If you want to see them, the spreadsheet (in CSV format) is available at Standard Times.
These Standard Times will be updated on the 1st of March and, on the first of each month thereafter. They will be based on data from the 8th of July 2013 and, from August 2015, will be then based upon the last 2 year’s data.
Now, I do have to edit this file to change the Goings to take into account the surface.
Standard on Polytrack will become Standard PT (Kempton, Lingfield, Dundalk and pre-December 2014 Wolves),
Standard on Equitrack (Southwell) will become Standard EQ and
Standard on Tapeta (Wolves from late December 2014) will become Standard TP.
Once I’ve done that, I can then move on to the Horse Speed Ratings.
They should now be easy to compile but they will take a long time.
Many of you have sent me emails; here are some of the comments that I’ve received…
I am going to look at how the Average Race Times vary for different types of races.
I’m coming into this blind as I really don’t have any pre-conceived ideas.
I’m sorry for the inundation of emails today but I felt that it was easier to split the logic up into small chunks to make it easier for me to handle and to allow you to respond to individual “concepts” in a manageable way for me.
So, lets see what the numbers say…
I mentioned that I had… “an assumption (and I’m aware that assumptions are the mother of all cock ups) is the the higher the class, the faster the race.
But that’s just an assumption and I need to crunch the numbers to prove it, one way or another.”
Well, normally when I tell you my ideas about which horse might have a good chance in a race, that horse comes last.
Today, in the Morning News, after I spoke a bit about a race at Newcastle, they even abandoned the meeting!
I guess that they thought that I had somehow jinxed it.
But, for once…
I got the effect of class on speed right!
But sometimes it’s better just to look at graphs.
So, having done the analysis of the effect of Handicap/non-Handicap on the All Weather Average Seconds per Furlong (details of which can been seen at Speed Ratings – 1),
I’m now about to look at how the Average Speeds vary according to the month of the year.
Now, I’ve been advised that AW racing should be faster in the winter as the tracks are more compacted; this makes sense to me.
However, of the five AW tracks (guess that it’ll be six from now on), only one follows this profile.
Oh dear, I feel lots of calculations coming up!
There have been a few times, over the last few weeks, that I have considered giving up on getting any meaningful Speed Ratings compiled.
Indeed, some of you have emailed me to suggest that I do just that.
However, I’m not going to be beaten and I will get the Speed Ratings done.
Even if they don’t end up being the Holy Grail, the questions that they ask (and, hopefully, the answers to those questions that we come up with), may help the “thoughtful” bettors.
I now need to do some analysis on the core data in order to help me decide what data to include in creating Standard Times for each Going for each distance at the All Weather tracks.
And, I’m going to start by looking at whether the race is a Handicap Race or not makes any difference.