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Well. I’m struggling to find much to say about yesterday, so…
I’ll just pass on it.
Today I am implementing some new code; this won’t affect the ratings but will just make the site more resilient.
In theory it should all work first time but it won’t come into effect until Sunday morning.
The early morning test ratings show If in Doubt as the top rated for the Hennessy Gold Cup – it’s currently at 7/1.
Anyway, enough of that, let’s get on and take a quick look at yesterday’s results in more detail….
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● For our recent winners from the morning ratings, click on Recent Winners…
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● In addition to the normal morning ratings, we also automatically supply a preview of the ratings at 5pm the day before the race.
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|2015-11-27||Dundalk (AW)||21:05||Reckless Lad||1||3.50||4.12|
|2015-11-27||Dundalk (AW)||20:35||Bairns At Bay||1||2.38||2.46|
|2015-11-27||Dundalk (AW)||20:05||Red Rannagh||1||2.38||2.49|
|2015-11-27||Wolverhampton (AW)||18:15||Rebel Collins||1||9.50||13.08|
|2015-11-27||Wolverhampton (AW)||17:15||Air Of York||1||0.00||2.23|
|2015-11-27||Wolverhampton (AW)||16:10||Kingsley Klarion||1||2.88||3.04|
|2015-11-27||Newbury||15:15||Champers On Ice||1||3.00||3.05|
|2015-11-27||Doncaster||13:55||Holly Bush Henry||1||4.50||4.96|
|2015-11-27||Musselburgh||12:35||Touch Of Steel||1||9.00||10.70|
|2015-11-26||Chelmsford (AW)||17:40||Lilly Vega||1||4.50||5.78|
|2015-11-26||Chelmsford (AW)||17:10||Crowning Glory||1||12.00||16.00|
|2015-11-26||Thurles||14:35||Long House Island||1||3.00||3.35|
|2015-11-26||Southwell (AW)||14:30||Ginger Joe||1||4.00||4.68|
|2015-11-26||Southwell (AW)||13:20||Arcane Dancer||1||5.50||6.31|
|2015-11-26||Southwell (AW)||12:15||Amazing Blue Sky||1||13.00||17.36|
|2015-11-25||Dundalk (AW)||21:05||Political Policy||1||8.00||10.04|
|2015-11-25||Kempton (AW)||19:15||Lancelot Du Lac||1||2.38||2.48|
|2015-11-25||Kempton (AW)||18:45||Fire Fighting||1||5.00||5.26|
|2015-11-25||Kempton (AW)||18:15||Quintus Cerialis||1||3.50||3.71|
I mentioned in my last post that I thought that there might be a place betting strategy to be found from the lowest yield horse (from the top three rated horses) as we had an incredible strike rate.
However, as we all know…
Strike Rate is Vanity – It’s Profits that count!
And that’s certainly true here.
The lowest on yield horses are going to have very low prices anyway and, that’s even more so when you look at Betfair Place Prices.
Well, I’m afraid that I’ve got some bad news for you.
I’ve just realised that the data set that I shall be using for this analysis only contains the top three rated horses.
That means that I can’t analyse all the horses in the race.
That means that I need to write some code to generate a new database table that contains all the rated horses with all the detail that I show in my normal results table.
That means that I’ll be able to offer a new spreadsheet (on the sidebar of the site) with Betfair prices (and some other good stuff) for you to use in your own analysis.
I’ll only be able to update that spreadsheet once a month but that should be sufficiently accurate for most needs.
So, the bad news wasn’t so bad, after all.
I recently mentioned that I believe that there is value in backing the lowest on yield horse (from the top three rated horses) in non-handicap races on the first page of the ratings (option 1 on the ratings email.)
Now, I have received a lot of feedback and am now ready to start crunching the numbers.
However, I have decided to test a number of possible strategies at the same time.
I shall be calling these strategies Lowest on Yield Strategy or LOYS and they will be numbered as LOYS1, LOYS2 etc.