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Another average day but…
Our PBS selections made a profit for the first time this month.
I’m guessing that the severe weather might make things difficult for the next couple of days but,
There’s always the All Weather to fall back on.
Anyway, I’ll get to that, firstly let’s get on and take a quick look at yesterday’s results in more detail….
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● For our recent winners from the morning ratings, click on Recent Winners…
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● In addition to the normal morning ratings, we also automatically supply a preview of the ratings at 5pm the day before the race.
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|2016-02-06||Leopardstown||16:15||You Must Know Me||1||10.00||16.45|
|2016-02-06||Lingfield (AW)||16:05||Midnight Whistler||1||2.25||2.42|
|2016-02-06||Wetherby||15:55||Palypso De Creek||1||1.57||1.61|
|2016-02-06||Sandown||14:25||Bristol De Mai||1||1.91||1.91|
|2016-02-05||Dundalk (AW)||21:00||Temasek Star||1||9.00||10.50|
|2016-02-05||Wolverhampton (AW)||19:45||Jumbo Prado||1||1.40||1.39|
|2016-02-05||Dundalk (AW)||18:30||Chewy Round Town||1||2.25||2.55|
|2016-02-05||Wolverhampton (AW)||17:45||Black Minstrel||1||4.00||3.97|
|2016-02-05||Dundalk (AW)||17:30||Split The Atom||1||3.00||3.43|
|2016-02-05||Chepstow||16:50||Pride Of Lecale||1||4.00||4.27|
|2016-02-05||Lingfield (AW)||15:40||Sea Of Flames||1||2.75||3.16|
|2016-02-05||Chepstow||14:45||Wild West Wind||1||3.25||3.31|
|2016-02-05||Lingfield (AW)||14:35||Majestic Myles||1||0.00||2.01|
|2016-02-04||Chelmsford (AW)||19:40||Compton Prince||1||6.00||8.40|
|2016-02-04||Chelmsford (AW)||18:40||Cotton Club||1||7.00||8.00|
I mentioned in my last post that I thought that there might be a place betting strategy to be found from the lowest yield horse (from the top three rated horses) as we had an incredible strike rate.
However, as we all know…
Strike Rate is Vanity – It’s Profits that count!
And that’s certainly true here.
The lowest on yield horses are going to have very low prices anyway and, that’s even more so when you look at Betfair Place Prices.
Well, I’m afraid that I’ve got some bad news for you.
I’ve just realised that the data set that I shall be using for this analysis only contains the top three rated horses.
That means that I can’t analyse all the horses in the race.
That means that I need to write some code to generate a new database table that contains all the rated horses with all the detail that I show in my normal results table.
That means that I’ll be able to offer a new spreadsheet (on the sidebar of the site) with Betfair prices (and some other good stuff) for you to use in your own analysis.
I’ll only be able to update that spreadsheet once a month but that should be sufficiently accurate for most needs.
So, the bad news wasn’t so bad, after all.
I recently mentioned that I believe that there is value in backing the lowest on yield horse (from the top three rated horses) in non-handicap races on the first page of the ratings (option 1 on the ratings email.)
Now, I have received a lot of feedback and am now ready to start crunching the numbers.
However, I have decided to test a number of possible strategies at the same time.
I shall be calling these strategies Lowest on Yield Strategy or LOYS and they will be numbered as LOYS1, LOYS2 etc.