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All Weather Wonders – Season Proper

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Recently, one of the members (thanks, Iain) emailed me with a possible Dutching strategy.

He was more than happy for me to share the information with you.

His idea was to Dutch the top two rated horses in races where RC1 was greater than 90% and RC2 was greater than 50%.

I took a look into the strategy and it is profitable on the Flat Turf and All Weather surfaces for non-handicap races.

Those of you who are interested in Dutching may want to have a little look into that.

Anyway, I took a look at the numbers and something started to look interesting.

And so, I delved a little deeper.

As a result, I have come up with a very simple system which I have added to my Portfolio.

You may recall that recently I adjusted the selection parameters for my Banker's Bet and Chancher's Bet so that a system has to have shown an ROI of at least 110% over the last exact year rather than the 100% it was set to before.

This will increase profitability but, as we've seen over the last few days, it'll also reduce the number of selections.

All Weather Wonders - Season Proper.

So, using the basis of Iain's dutching strategy I took a look at All Weather non-handicap races and started to play around with different values of RC1 and RC2.

I ended up with a Sweet Spot of RC1 is greater than 90% and RC2 is greater than 60%.

I then checked the performance month by month and decided to only use Season Proper (September to April.)

And, finally, I decided to only use horses that had run in the last 28 days to ensure that we're only betting on "Match Fit" beasts.

focus_ratings_all_weather _wonders_01

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As you can see, we don't have a losing month (although I can't promise you no losing days!) and the lowest monthly strike rate is 50%.

That's a number that I feel pretty happy with.

focus_ratings_all_weather _wonders_02

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As you can see, we'll only get seven selections a month over the specified period but every little helps.

Conclusion...

Once I've finished the Winter Upgrades (hopefully by Monday evening) I'm going to take a week off in order to spend some "Me Time" and start working on a betting strategy for myself.

I feel that this system will be a nice little addition to my Portfolio and, being based upon just two fundamental filters (with two supplementary ones), it's still a very simple system and, as we all know...

Simple is best.

I think that you'll have to wait until tomorrow before you can subscribe to this system as it doesn't appear on the system page until the annual statistics have been calculated at about 2am in the morning. I'll put a link to the system on tomorrow's morning news.

Now, as I am going to start seriously betting myself (I actually prefer to think of it as investing), and now that the Winter Upgrades are almost done...

I'd like to think that any work that I do on new systems and improving the Strike Rate and profitability of the ratings (by implementing R5 to run alongside R4) will not only help you but, also, help me, as well.

As I mentioned, this morning, I'm going to be investing £1,000 in a betting bank; and, believe me, that's a major chunk of cash for me to play with.

However, I don't see it as £1,000 - to me it's more like 100 bottles of a nice Châteauneuf-du-Pape and a pretty decent assortment of smelly cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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