Morning News | Focus Ratings
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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

Well...

It was forecast city yesterday.

5 forecasts from the 35 races (there was another but it was only a 2 horse race.)

And no, I don't know why either.

I keep trying to work out which races are those to bet the forecast on - to no avail.

So, I'm going to fire up Wagner (my number crunching machine) and see if it can work it out for me.

Yesterday I started trialing a new strategy; it's the simplest strategy I have ever tried - no filters, just "blindly back the top rated horse in these race types."

There is a twist (there would have to be, wouldn't there) which is possibly why it has remained hidden for so long but, historically, over the last 4 years, this strategy has given a Strike Rate of 34.17% and a POI (Profit on Investment) of 58.86% to ISP.

The strategy can be further refined to give an average of 18.63 bets a week with a Strike Rate of 35.33% and a POI (Profit on Investment) of 67.71% to ISP.

I'll let you know more about this strategy after the weekend; I'm a bit wary about announcing too much too soon as it seems too good to be true - and you know what they say about things that look too good to be true....

Having said that, yesterday there were 3 selections and 2 of them won, returning a total of 5.66 points to the 3 points staked (to ISP) so I'm getting that sort of nice warm feeling that I normally only get from a glass of good Cabernet Sauvignon.

Anyway, moving on, here are yesterday's results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 29.73%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.5%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.19% from all 42 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 117.56 units returned to 107 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 9.87%

Top Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the top rated horses from 37 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 25.36 units returned to 37 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -31.46%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.95 units returned to 35 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -57.29%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the third rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 77.25 units returned to 35 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 120.71%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 14 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 35.71%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 10.46 units returned to 14 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -25.29%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 14 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 10 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 71.43%

Forecasts

There were 5 forecasts yesterday.

Beverley 14:30:00 - The CSF paid £7.33

Cartmel 16:10:00 - The CSF paid £3.61

Beverley 16:30:00 - The CSF paid £5.60

Cartmel 17:15:00 - The CSF paid £7.45

Ripon 20:10:00 - The CSF paid £8.65

Reverse Forecasts

There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Beverley 14:00:00 - The CSF paid £13.53

Nottingham 16:50:00 - The CSF paid £10.90

Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Beverley 16:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £16.90

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Cartmel 14:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £152.50

Warwick 18:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £8.90

Something to make you smile...

Thanks to Lee for this one (and the hospital jokes the other day) - I do have to say that, referring to today's joke, is that, when I younger, I spent a while working in a high street wine merchants (when they were actually wine merchants rather than off licences selling extra strong cider rather than wine) and our 2 best customers were a couple of builders who would come in after work, dirty and unshaven, and then proceed to buy a couple of bottles of wine which would cost about £30 each in today's money. Our other customers would come in, wearing their business suits, wander round for 10 minutes reading labels before buying a bottle of whatever cheap and nasty plonk that was on special offer that week.

The Wine Taster
At a wine merchant, the regular taster died and the director started looking for a new one to hire.

A drunkard with a ragged, dirty look came in to apply for the position.

The director of the winery wondered how to send him away.

He gave him a glass to drink.

The drunk tried it and said:

"It's a Muscat , three years old, grown on a north slope, matured in steel containers. Low grade, but acceptable.”

"That's correct", said the boss.

Another glass....

"It's a cabernet, eight years old, a south-western slope, oak barrels, matured at 8 degrees. Requires three more years for finest results."

"Correct."

A third glass...

"It's a pinot blanc champagne, high grade and exclusive." calmly said the drunk.

The director was astonished.

He winked at his young secretary, secretly suggesting something.

She left the room, and came back in with a glass of urine.

The alcoholic tried it.

"It's a blonde, 26 years old, about three months pregnant - and if I don't get the job, I'll name the father."

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Today

Today's early test ratings show 44 rated races from six meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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