Morning News

Good morning...

Well, there's not much that I can say about yesterday.

It was a quiet day with only 20 rated races and the results were disappointing,

To say the least.

Still, today is another day and I'm hoping that we'll do better today.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.81% from all 21 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 41.26 units returned to 58 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -28.86%

Top Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the top rated horses from 20 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 13.86 units returned to 20 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -30.7%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the second rated horses from 18 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.5 units returned to 18 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -19.44%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 20 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 12.9 units returned to 20 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -35.5%

Forecasts

There were 0 forecasts yesterday.

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Southwell (AW) 12:10:00 - The CSF paid £9.09

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Southwell (AW) 13:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £1.80

Winners

From the 20 rated races there were 9 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 4 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Sedgefield	12:20	Nafaath (1)	6.00	6.60
Sedgefield	13:20	Roxyfet (8)	11.00	11.47
Lingfield	15:00	Wilton Milan (3)	7.00	7.67
Sedgefield	15:20	Storm Forecast (5)	5.50	6.60

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = All Weather Wonders - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 28 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60% and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is September or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Southwell (AW) - 12:40:00 - Nosey Barker (3)

Races (over last year): 58 Wins: 32 Strike Rate: 55.17% ROI: 161.10% AV SP: 2.92

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £354.40

Nosey Parker came second.

Chancers Bet = All Weather Wonders - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 28 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60% and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is September or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Southwell (AW) - 13:10:00 - Battle Pride (1)

Races (over last year): 58 Wins: 32 Strike Rate: 55.17% ROI: 161.10AV SP: 2.92

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £354.40

Battle Pride came second.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Lingfield 13:00:00 - Midnight Silver - 3rd - Betfair paid 1.32 for the place.
Southwell 13:10:00 - Planetaria - Unplaced

We made a loss of 0.696 points on the day and have made a loss of 46.432925 for November.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 0.943776 points on the day and have made a loss of 43.6888623 points for November.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 1.356 points on the day and have made a loss of 43.684896 points for November.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSNov.xls

Something to make you smile

New Cop

The new metro cop pulled a speeder who was zipping down Maple Avenue.

"Can I see your license and registration, bub?", the cop inquired.

"But officer," the fellow started, "I can explain..."

"Shut yer trap, bub!" snapped the officer. "You're going downtown and sit a while till the sarge gets back."

"But, officer, I think you really should know..."

"And I said to shut yer trap! You're going to jail!"

A few hours later the cop looked in on his prisoner and said, "Lucky for you that the sarge is at his daughter's wedding.

He'll be in a good mood when he gets back."

"Don't count on it," shot back the sap in the cell. "I'm the groom."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 31 rated races from five meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards