Morning News – 02/10/2021

Good morning...

Exciting times...

Whilst working on the new Focus Ratings R9 Portfolio selections I have been noticing come trends.

I have finally finished my examination of these trends and have produced a spreadsheet to allow us to benefit from them.

For example, Top Rated Beaten Favourites are blindly profitable - even more profitable with a few tweaks.

The spreadsheet may be found at R9-Portfolio-Special.xlsx

I have come up with 7 mini systems based upon R9. These give about 25 races a week and are as follows...

1). 5 Runners or less: 2.36 races a week, 56.97% SR & 58.32% POI
2). 130% + Confidence: 2.77 races a week, 52.20% SR & 67.24% POI
3). Winner LTO: 5.41 races a week, 41.29% SR & 23.17% POI
4). Clear Favs: 5.05 races a week, 41.67% SR & 29.97% POI
5). High FC Prices: 2.75 races a week, 22.90% SR & 56.64% POI
6). Recent Returners: 4.81 races a week, 36.57% SR & 32.75% POI
7). Beaten Favs: 1.70 races a week, 44.02% SR & 72.16% POI

Together these provide a Portfolio of R9 based bets.

It will take me another few days until I can automatically produce these selections. Once that is done I shall show them on the R9 Portflio Selections daily email.

Until I commercialise the R9 Portfolio selections (possibly about a month away) they are free to Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings, Place Profits and Intelligent Betting (free or paying) members – just email me and I’ll put you on the list.

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Arc De Triomphe

I have complied the ratings for The Arc. These may be downloaded from... Arc De Triomphe-2021

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Task List...

In order to be honest and truly transparent with you...

I will now be publishing my task list on the Morning News.

You will be able to see what I am working on and, more importantly, what progress I am making.

Here are the current tasks...

T01). Work out a number of strategies to utilise R9 and provide Focus Rating members free Portfolio Betting selections across a number of different betting strategies (win backing, place backing, dutching, laying and,
the other thing that I described that I don't know what it is called) on a daily basis.

T02). For Compass Ratings, display, on screen and via a email PDF, the twice weekly updated trainer/jockey win/place strike rates.

T03). For Compass Ratings, complete the eBook that explains all the weird and wonderful things that I have learned about Hong Kong Horse racing.

T04). Complete PaperTradeIt.com - a free site where you can privately log your bets and get Strike Rate, POI (to ISP and BSP) data and losing run analysis on those bets.

I'm trying to knock off the easy/quick jobs first in order to reduce the size of the list; the size of the list scares me sometimes and, believe me, I have twice as many jobs on the Admin/BAU (Business As Usual - things like automated scripts, backups and server log file analysis - stuff that all website owners have to do) task list to get through as well.

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Focus Ratings

Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 32.56%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 32.56% from all 43 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 98.67 units returned to 122 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -19.12%

Top Rated Horse - There were 14 winners from the top rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 43.47 units returned to 42 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 3.5%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 39 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 29.12 units returned to 39 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -25.33%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the third rated horses from 41 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 26.08 units returned to 41 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -36.39%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 17 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 7 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 41.18%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.56 units returned to 17 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 3.29%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 17 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 11 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 64.71%

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Investment Betting

There was one Investment Betting selection (using the new R8 based system) yesterday...

Fontwell - 13:00 - Our Surprise - 4th

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EarlyBird Ratings

There was one Diamonds and Gold (Platinum) selection yesterday...

Hexham - 14:55 - Real Armani - 2nd

Focus Ratings and Place Profit members can subscribe to these selections for free,

Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.

The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.

PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.

You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html

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Compass Ratings

Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meetings a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.

The ratings for Sunday's meeting at Sha will be sent out this afternoon.

If you are not a Compass Ratings member (it's free to Focus Ratings, Early Bird Rating and Place Profits members - you just have to ask to be added to the list) but want to try it out, send me an email.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

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Advance Ratings

Advance Ratings...

There were four selections yesterday.

1.00 - Fontwell - Our Surprise - 4th
2.20 - Hexham - Gladiatorial - 4th
5.25 - Newcastle - Strawberry Jack - 6th
5.33 - Gowran Park - Hi Stranger - 2nd

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Spotlight Ratings

Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.

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Ante Post Ratings

Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.

Currently Listed...

18th September 2021 – Ayr Gold Cup (+ 2 other races)

24th September 2021 – Joel Stakes (+ 1 other race)

24th September 2021 – Juddmonte Stakes (+ 5 other races)

26th September 2021 – Loughbrown Stakes

2nd October 2021 – Tattersalls October Auction Stakes

3rd October April 2021 – Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe

8th October 2021 – bet365 Fillies Mile

9th October 2021 – Darley Dewhurst Stakes

16th October 2021 – Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (+ 4 other races)

23rd October 2021 – Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.

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Place Profits

Selections - New System

Hexham - 14:20 - Gladiatorial - 4th

Selections - Original System

Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Fontwell - 13:00 - Our Surprise - 4th
Hexham - 14:20 - Gladiatorial - 4th
Newcastle - 18:30 - Thunder Power - 1st @ 1.13

Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Fontwell - 13:00 - Our Surprise - 4th
Hexham - 14:20 - Gladiatorial - 4th
Newcastle - 18:30 - Thunder Power - 1st @ 1.13

Original System (200% Confidence.)

There are no selections today.

R9 Portfolio Place Selections

Place Bets - 10 points bet on top 5 place selections.

Race 2 - Hexham - 15:30 - Sheriff Garrett (Place Bet) - 2.08 Points - 3rd
Race 3 - Ascot - 16:15 - Future Investment (Place Bet) - 1.38 Points - 7th
Race 4 - Hexham - 16:40 - Abington Park (Place Bet) - 3.03 Points - 3rd @ 1.67
Race 5 - Dundalk - 20:15 - Moon Daisy (Place Bet) - 3.51 Points - 1st @ 3.33

Place Bet Of The Day - 1 point bet on top place selection.

Race 5 - Dundalk - 20:15 - Moon Daisy (Place Bet) - 1 Point - 1st @ 3.33

I have updated the results (13th September 2021) and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.

The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/

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Intelligent Betting

Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.

A number of systems are combined to create system selections.

Click on the image to see it full size.

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Something to make you smile...

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Some short ones...

Kid 1: "Hey, I bet you're still a virgin."
Kid 2: "Yeah, I was a virgin until last night ."
Kid 1: "As if."
Kid 2: "Yeah, just ask your sister."
Kid 1: "I don't have a sister."
Kid 2: "You will in about nine months."

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Teacher: "Kids, what does the chicken give you?"
Student: "Meat!"
Teacher: "Very good! Now what does the pig give you?"
Student: "Bacon!"
Teacher: "Great! And what does the fat cow give you?"
Student: "Homework!"

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A bus full of ugly people had a head on collision with a truck.

When they died, God granted all of them one wish.

The first person said, "I want to be gorgeous."

God snapped his fingers and it happened.

The second person said the same thing and God did the same thing.

This went on and on throughout the group.

God noticed the last man in line was laughing hysterically.

By the time God got to the last ten people, the last man was laughing and rolling on the ground.

When the man's turn came, he laughed and said, "I wish they were all ugly again."

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Today

Whatever you are up to today...

Stay safe and healthy.

As always...

My kindest regards