Focus Ratings is a Uk and Irish Horse Racing ratings service designed to aid you and help you narrow the field so that you can concentrate on the real contenders. Our completely computerised analysis system selects the top three rated horses from each race and sends out the ratings every day at 10:00 a.m.  Wonderful results and an excellent strike rate.  Use Focus Ratings to win more money and make more profits from British and Irish Horse Racing.  The only horse racing system you'll ever need.

Morning News – 05/03/2021

6620418Good morning...

I managed to get a lot of work done yesterday but...

Not quite as much as I would have liked.

The main problem is that Thursday is market day in my little village in back of beyond, 1950's Brittany and,

I live in the market square.

Yesterday there was a drum band wandering around the market.

The music was hypnotic and I found it very hard to concentrate.

Thus, half of my day was sort of wasted.

It was fun, though.

EarlyBird Ratings

The EarlyBird Plus ratings and the new selections (there were none yesterday) were successfully compiled.

Initially the links didn't work (an underscore rather than a dash) but I quickly fixed that.

There are a few issues to fix today but...

They are largely cosmetic.

Compass Ratings

I have written (and have started to test) the script to generate the data that I need in order to find the exact multiplier that correctly and accurately defines the effect of the jockey on the race.

Just from a quick snapshot, it appears that it is far more than 1, our current multiplier...

Where if a jockey has a strike rate of 15%, we multiply the horse rating (CPR) by 1.15,

What we should be doing is multiplying the horse rating but 1.15 and then by a number greater than 1 but, it would seem, less than 2.

The main issue is that I have to generate/calculate the jockey win strike rate (over the jockey's last 500 races) for every week for the last 3 years.

I can't just rely on the jockey's current win strike rate; that wouldn't be accurate.

I anticipate that the script may take about 20 hours to run so it is unlikely that I'll have the results prior to Sunday's meeting at Sha Tin.

That starts very early on Sunday morning (our time) so it is best to go with the current CPR+ ratings which got 3 top rated winners fromt eh 9 races at Happy Valley on Wednesday whereas the normal ratings only got 2.

General

I have some admin work to do today and over the weekend.

The membership software that manages subscriptions to my sites has had a bit of a hiccup.

As a result, some people who have cancelled their subscriptions haven't been removed from the system and, thus, are getting their ratings/selections for free.

I'm quite a generous sort of person but, this does need to be sorted out.

I am planning to raise the price of Focus Ratings.

This doesn't affect you as you always pay the price that was current when you signed up; it only affect any new members who sign up after the price rise.

Focus Ratings members get an awful lot of added services (should they want them) and, with R8, even after the price rise, the service will still be very good value.

Thus, it is important (and will save me a lot of hassle in the future, if I get the membership software (and it's past errors) sorted out.


Task List...

In order to be honest and truly transparent with you...

I will now be publishing my task list on the Morning News.
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You will be able to see what I am working on and, more importantly, what progress I am making.

Here are the current tasks...

T01). Work out a number of strategies to utilise R8 and provide Focus Rating members free Portfolio Betting selections across a number of different betting strategies (win backing, place backing, dutching, laying and, the other thing that I described that I don't know what it is called) on a daily basis.

T02). Produce Early Bird Plus Ratings by compiling the Advance Ratings in the afternoon of the day before race day and then combining them with Early Bird Ratings in the evening of the day befoe race day in order to produce a more accurate ratings set and also to produce Platinum selections (based upon those new ratings) to accompany and, ultimately, potentially replace the current Diamonds and Gold selections.

Update... - The Early Bird Plus ratings are now automatically produced.

T03). For Compass Ratings, display, on screen and via a email PDF, the twice weekly trainer/jockey win/place strike rates.

T04). For Compass Ratings, complete the eBook that explains all the weird and wonderful things that I have learned about Hong Kong Horse racing.

T05). Complete PaperTradeIt.com - a free site where you can privately log your bets and get Strike Rate, POI (to ISP and BSP) data and losing run analysis on those bets.

T06). Re-launch Intelligent-Betting.com - very good good things are happening there as we speak and it is becoming a vital (and also, very profitable) tool for those who like to think about their betting.

I'm trying to knock off the easy/quick jobs first in order to reduce the size of the list; the size of the list scares me sometimes and, believe me, I have twice as many jobs on the Admin/BAU (Business As Usual - things like automated scripts, backups and server log file analysis - stuff that all website owners have to do) task list to get through as well.


Focus Ratings

focus

Yesterday's Results

Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 15.63%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 15.63%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 14.71% from all 34 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 78.74 units returned to 90 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -12.51%

Top Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the top rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.28 units returned to 32 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -55.37%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 29 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 24.08 units returned to 29 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -16.97%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the third rated horses from 29 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 40.38 units returned to 29 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 39.24%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 10 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 2 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 20%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 4.95 units returned to 10 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -50.5%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 10 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 8 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 80%


Investment Betting

There were no Investment Betting selections (using the new R8 based system) yesterday...


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EarlyBird Ratings

There were five Diamonds and Gold selections yesterday...

Ludlow - 12:30 - Qualismart - 5th

Taunton - 13:55 - Young Lieutenant - 6th

Taunton - 14:30 - Paricolor - 4th

Ludlow - 14:40 - Glory And Honour - 3rd

Chelmsford - 18:20 - Khuzaam - 1st @ 2.75 ISP (2.87 BSP)

Focus Ratings members can subscribe to these selections for free,

Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.

The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.

PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.

You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html


Compass-Ratings

Compass Ratings

Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meetings a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.

There is a meeting at Sha Tin on Sunday.

I will be compiling the ratings for that meeting today.

If you are not a Compass Ratings member (it's free to Focus Ratings, Early Bird Rating and Place Profits members - you just have to ask to be added to the list) but want to try it out, the links to today's ratings are above, at the top of this page/email.

Just be aware that, even though it's an evening meeting, because Hong King is 8 hours ahead of us, the first race runs at 10:45am GB/IRE time.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.


advance

Advance Ratings

Advance Ratings had an below par day yesterday...

12.30 - Ludlow - Dobryn - 2nd

1.10 - Southwell - Fast Emma - 3rd

1.55 - Taunton - Just In Time - 3rd

2.40 - Ludlow - Glory And Honour - 3rd

3.15 - Ludlow - Minnie Escape - 2nd

5.05 - Clonmel - Saint Benedict - 2nd

5.12 - Taunton - Luttrell Lad - 1st @ 3.75 ISP (4.30 BSP)

6.50 - Chelmsford City - My Footsteps - 2nd


spotlight-ratings

Spotlight Ratings

Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.


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Ante Post Ratings

Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.

Currently Listed...

16th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 1 (5 races rated.)

17th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 2 (5 races rated.)

18th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 3 (4 races rated.)

19th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 4 (5 races rated.)

27th March 2021 – Doncaster – 15:10 – Unibet Lincoln – Class 2

New - 10th April – 2021 – Aintree – 17:15 – Randox Grand National Handicap Chase – Class 1

22nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 19:15 – Tattersalls 2,000 Guineas – Group 1

23nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 16:00 – Tattersalls 1,000 Guineas – Group 1

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.



Place Profits

Selections - New System

Ludlow - 13:00 - Gaelik Coast - 3rd
Ludlow - 14:05 - Valtor - UR

Selections - Original System

Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Ludlow - 14:40 - Glory And Honour - 3rd @ 1.74
Chelmsford - 16:50 - Colour Of Light - 2nd @ 1.13

Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Chelmsford - 16:50 - Colour Of Light - 2nd @ 1.13

Original System (200% Confidence.)

There are no selections today.

I have updated the results and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.

The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/


intelligent

Intelligent Betting

Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.

A number of systems are combined to create system selections.

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Click on the image to see it full size.


Something to make you smile...

Actual Lines Froms CVs...

I am very detail-oreinted.

My intensity and focus are at inordinately high levels, and my ability to complete projects on time is unspeakable.

Thank you for your consideration. Hope to hear from you shorty!

Enclosed is a ruff draft of my resume.

I am sicking and entry-level position.

It's best for employers that I not work with people.

Here are my qualifications for you to overlook.

I am a quick leaner, dependable, and motivated.

If this resume doesn't blow your hat off, then please return it in the enclosed envelope.

My fortune cookie said, "Your next interview will result in a job." And I like your company in particular.

You hold in your hands the resume of a truly outstanding candidate!

I saw your ad on the information highway, and I came to a screeching halt.

Insufficient writing skills, thought processes have slowed down some. If I am not one of the best, I will look for another opportunity.

Please disregard the attached resume—it is terribly out of date.

Seek challenges that test my mind and body, since the two are usually inseparable.

Reason for leaving last job: The owner gave new meaning to the word paranoia. I prefer to elaborate privately.

Previous experience: Self-employed--a fiasco.

Exposure to German for two years, but many words are inappropriate for business.

My experience in horticulture is well-rooted.

Experience: Watered, groomed, and fed the family dog for years.

I am a rabid typist.

Education: College, August 1880 - May 1984.

I have a bachelorette degree in computers.

Excellent memory; strong math aptitude; excellent memory; effective management skills; and very good at math.

Graduated in the top 66% of my class.

Accomplishments: Completed 11 years of high school.

Strengths: Ability to meet deadlines while maintaining composer.

Special skills: Experienced with numerous office machines and can make great lattes.

I worked as a Corporate Lesion.

Special Skills: Speak English.

Served as assistant sore manager.

Reason for leaving last job: Pushed aside so the vice president's girlfriend could steal my job.

Married, eight children. Prefer frequent travel.

Education: B.A. in Loberal Arts.

Objective: To have my skills and ethics challenged on a daily basis


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Today

Whatever you are up to today...

Stay safe and healthy.

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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