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An early start for me as I attempt to finish the code to automatically generate the R9 Portfolio selections.
I am about half way through.
One of the interesting things is that, yesterday, during testing, there were 4 selections. 3 of those 4 selections were selected by multiple systems.
Thus, if a horse is a selections for 2 different systems, it should be bet to 2 points; if a horse is selected by 3 different systems, it should be bet to 3 points.
To my mind, the more systems that select the same horse would seem like an endorsement for that horse.
The portfolio can never select more than one horse in a race as it only uses the top rated horse.
I shall be sending out today's selections (for the systems that I have already added) to those people who have requested them.
The current (updated) spreadsheet may be found at R9-Portfolio-Special.xlsx
The spreadsheet now shows the actual selections that would have been produced over the last 5 years.
It also shows a chart.
This is a screenshot of that chart.
Please click on the image to see it full size.
The chart shows data working to a 50 point bank; at no point was the bank even remotely threatened.
The average profit is 36.42 points per month (working to a 50 point bank.)
Starting with a 50 point bank (to level stakes), after the 5 years of the data set, the bank has risen to 2112 points.
Until I commercialise the R9 Portfolio selections (possibly about a week away) they are free to Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings, Place Profits and Intelligent Betting (free or paying) members – just email me and I’ll put you on the list.
In order to be honest and truly transparent with you...
I will now be publishing my task list on the Morning News.
You will be able to see what I am working on and, more importantly, what progress I am making.
Here are the current tasks...
T01). Work out a number of strategies to utilise R9 and provide Focus Rating members free Portfolio Betting selections across a number of different betting strategies (win backing, place backing, dutching, laying and,
the other thing that I described that I don't know what it is called) on a daily basis.
T02). For Compass Ratings, display, on screen and via a email PDF, the twice weekly updated trainer/jockey win/place strike rates.
T03). For Compass Ratings, complete the eBook that explains all the weird and wonderful things that I have learned about Hong Kong Horse racing.
T04). Complete PaperTradeIt.com - a free site where you can privately log your bets and get Strike Rate, POI (to ISP and BSP) data and losing run analysis on those bets.
I'm trying to knock off the easy/quick jobs first in order to reduce the size of the list; the size of the list scares me sometimes and, believe me, I have twice as many jobs on the Admin/BAU (Business As Usual - things like automated scripts, backups and server log file analysis - stuff that all website owners have to do) task list to get through as well.
Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 31.25%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30.56%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.32% from all 38 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 77.1 units returned to 95 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -18.84%
Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 31.89 units returned to 32 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -0.34%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the second rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 29.08 units returned to 32 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -9.12%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the third rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 16.13 units returned to 31 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -47.97%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 11 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 6 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 54.55%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 19.63 units returned to 11 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 78.45%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 11 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 8 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 72.73%
There were two Investment Betting selections (using the new R8 based system) yesterday...
Nottingham - 13:55 - Eldrickjones - 2nd
Ludlow - 16:25 - Martha Willow - 1st @ 2.0 ISP (2.09 BSP)
There no three Diamonds and Gold (Platinum) selections yesterday...
Focus Ratings and Place Profit members can subscribe to these selections for free,
Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.
The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.
PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.
You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html
Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meetings a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.
The ratings for Sunday's meeting at Sha will be sent out tomorrow.
If you are not a Compass Ratings member (it's free to Focus Ratings, Early Bird Rating and Place Profits members - you just have to ask to be added to the list) but want to try it out, send me an email.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
There were four selections yesterday.
2.40 - Ludlow - Fitzroy - NR
3.23 - Sedgefield - Miss Tara Moss - F
3.50 - Ludlow - El Borracho - 3rd
4.25 - Ludlow - Martha Willow - 1st @ 2.0 ISP (2.09 BSP)
Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.
Currently Listed...
18th September 2021 – Ayr Gold Cup (+ 2 other races)
24th September 2021 – Joel Stakes (+ 1 other race)
24th September 2021 – Juddmonte Stakes (+ 5 other races)
26th September 2021 – Loughbrown Stakes
2nd October 2021 – Tattersalls October Auction Stakes
3rd October April 2021 – Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe
8th October 2021 – bet365 Fillies Mile
9th October 2021 – Darley Dewhurst Stakes
16th October 2021 – Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (+ 4 other races)
23rd October 2021 – Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Selections - New System
Nottingham - 13:55 - Eldrickjones - 2nd @ 1.16
Ludlow - 14:05 - Pink Eyed Pedro - 3rd
Ludlow - 16:25 - Martha Willow - 1st @ 1.16
Selections - Original System
Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)
There are no selections today.
Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)
There are no selections today.
Original System (200% Confidence.)
There are no selections today.
R9 Portfolio Place Selections
Place Bets - 10 points bet on top 5 place selections.
There are no selections today.
Place Bet Of The Day - 1 point bet on top place selection.
There are no selections today.
I have updated the results (13th September 2021) and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.
The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/
Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.
A number of systems are combined to create system selections.
Click on the image to see it full size.
The Blind Man...
A woman is taking a bath (naked, of course) when suddenly she hears a knock at the door.
"Can I come in?" a male voice asks.
"Who is it?" the woman asks.
"It is the blind man" says the voice on the other side of the door.
The woman gets out of the bath and after some consideration, opens the door, thinking, "Well, he's blind anyway".
The man comes in the bathroom, takes a good look at the woman and says, "Great tits! Now where would you like the blinds?"
Many thanks to Michael D. for these images.
Whatever you are up to today...
Stay safe and healthy.
As always...
My kindest regards
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