Morning News – 08/03/2021

Good morning...

I had hoped to get some admin work done over the weekend but...

R8 got in the way.

I have been a bit obsessed with R8 recently and, over the weekend, I came up with a nice AW system that gives about 6 races a week (bearing in mind that we don't have AW racing every day) and generates a 13% strike rate and a 31% POI to ISP.

This will definitely be going into the portfolio of systems based upon R8 that I am building up.

Compass Ratings

I also got the analysis of Jockey Win Strike Rate finished.

It appears that the Jockey Win Strike Rate has more of an effect on the results than we are currently exploiting in the new Compass Ratings Plus ratings.

From Wednesday I shall be adjusting the ratings to take this into account.

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Task List...

In order to be honest and truly transparent with you...

I will now be publishing my task list on the Morning News.

You will be able to see what I am working on and, more importantly, what progress I am making.

Here are the current tasks...

T01). Work out a number of strategies to utilise R8 and provide Focus Rating members free Portfolio Betting selections across a number of different betting strategies (win backing, place backing, dutching, laying and, the other thing that I described that I don't know what it is called) on a daily basis.

T02). For Compass Ratings, display, on screen and via a email PDF, the twice weekly trainer/jockey win/place strike rates.

T03). For Compass Ratings, complete the eBook that explains all the weird and wonderful things that I have learned about Hong Kong Horse racing.

T04). Complete PaperTradeIt.com - a free site where you can privately log your bets and get Strike Rate, POI (to ISP and BSP) data and losing run analysis on those bets.

T05). Re-launch Intelligent-Betting.com - very good good things are happening there as we speak and it is becoming a vital (and also, very profitable) tool for those who like to think about their betting.

I'm trying to knock off the easy/quick jobs first in order to reduce the size of the list; the size of the list scares me sometimes and, believe me, I have twice as many jobs on the Admin/BAU (Business As Usual - things like automated scripts, backups and server log file analysis - stuff that all website owners have to do) task list to get through as well.

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Focus Ratings

Yesterday's Results

Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33% from all 21 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 33.81 units returned to 59 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -42.69%

Top Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the top rated horses from 21 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.86 units returned to 21 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -14.95%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the second rated horses from 17 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.45 units returned to 17 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -44.41%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 1 winners from the third rated horses from 21 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 6.5 units returned to 21 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -69.05%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 10 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 40%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 6.65 units returned to 10 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -33.5%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 10 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 7 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 70%

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Investment Betting

There were two Investment Betting selections (using the new R8 based system) yesterday...

Huntingdon - 14:30 - Supremely Lucky - 2nd

Huntingdon - 17:10 - Quid Pro Quo - 6th

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EarlyBird Ratings

There were no Diamonds and Gold selections yesterday...

Focus Ratings members can subscribe to these selections for free,

Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.

The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.

PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.

You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html

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Compass Ratings

Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meetings a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.

There is a meeting at Happy Valley on Wednesday.

The ratings for that meeting will be sent out by 10am tomorrow morning.

If you are not a Compass Ratings member (it's free to Focus Ratings, Early Bird Rating and Place Profits members - you just have to ask to be added to the list) but want to try it out, the links to today's ratings are above, at the top of this page/email.

Just be aware that, even though it's an evening meeting, because Hong King is 8 hours ahead of us, the first race runs at 10:45am GB/IRE time.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

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Advance Ratings

Advance Ratings had an average day yesterday...

1.50 - Sedgefield - Dargiannini - 1st @ 1.18 ISP (1.23 BSP)

2.00 - Huntingdon - Marada - 1st @ 2.0 ISP (2.10 BSP)

4.20 - Leopardstown - Stansfield - 3rd

5.10 - Huntingdon - Quid Pro Quo - 6th

5.20 - Leopardstown - Eyewitness - 4th

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Spotlight Ratings

Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.

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Ante Post Ratings

Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.

Currently Listed...

16th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 1 (5 races rated.)

17th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 2 (5 races rated.)

18th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 3 (4 races rated.)

19th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 4 (5 races rated.)

27th March 2021 – Doncaster – 15:10 – Unibet Lincoln – Class 2

New - 10th April – 2021 – Aintree – 17:15 – Randox Grand National Handicap Chase – Class 1

22nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 19:15 – Tattersalls 2,000 Guineas – Group 1

23nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 16:00 – Tattersalls 1,000 Guineas – Group 1

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.

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Place Profits

Selections - New System

Sedgefield - 15:25 - Mr Muldoon - 1st @ 1.58
Huntingdon - 17:10 - Quid Pro Quo - 6th

Selections - Original System

Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Huntingdon - 14:00 - Marada - 1st @ 1.17

Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Huntingdon - 14:00 - Marada - 1st @ 1.17

Original System (200% Confidence.)

There are no selections today.

I have updated the results and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.

The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/

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Intelligent Betting

Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.

A number of systems are combined to create system selections.

Click on the image to see it full size.

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Something to make you smile...

Doctor's Check Up...

A women accompanied her husband to the doctor's office. After his checkup, the doctor called the wife into his office alone. He said, "If you don't do the following, your husband will surely die:

1. Each morning , fix him a healthy breakfast.

2. Be pleasant and make sure he is in a good mood.

3. For lunch, make him a nutritious meal.

4. For dinner, prepare him an especially nice meal.

5. Don't burden him with chores as he probably had a hard day.

6. Don't discuss your problems with him.

On the way home, the husband asked his wife what the doctor said to her.

"You're going to die," she replied.

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The first two of these images are courtesy of Mike D. Many thanks, Mike.

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Today

Whatever you are up to today...

Stay safe and healthy.

As always...

My kindest regards