Morning News

Good morning...

Another decent day yesterday where you could have blindly backed every top three rated horse and made a level stakes profit.

Unfortunately, a few of you missed out as it appears that Btinternet had some email issues. Btinternet use Yahoo as their mail handler and the issues can be seen here... https://downdetector.co.uk/problems/yahoo-mail/news/53117-problems-at-yahoo-mail-2

If you have problems receiving emails (whether from me or anyone else) it is always useful to check downtoday.co.uk. Obviously, you can email me to let me know but, if you are not receiving emails then you won't get my reply.

Trying to identify the issue took a fair bit of my time and, as a result, I didn't finish the last little bit of the Speed Ratings.

Tomorrow I shall send out the speed ratings at about 10am once the normal ratings have gone out.

Generating the speed ratings takes a fair bit of time but, from Tuesday, I shall be generating them at 4am every day as I have a free time slot then.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33%.

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 104.66 units returned to 97 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 7.9%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 39.44 units returned to 33 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 19.52%

2nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the second rated horse in all of the races you would have had 45.84 units returned to 30 units staked. The Second Rated Profit Index was, thus, 52.8%

3nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the third rated horse in all of the races you would have had 19.38 units returned to 34 units staked. The Third Rated Profit Index was, thus, -43%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Gowran Park 14:05:00 - The CSF paid £5.98

Chepstow 14:25:00 - The CSF paid £5.66

Wolverhampton (AW) 16:35:00 - The CSF paid £4.74

Reverse Forecasts

There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Wolverhampton (AW) 14:15:00 - The CSF paid £26.28

Chepstow 15:35:00 - The CSF paid £6.56

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 trifecta yesterday.

Gowran Park 14:05:00 - The Trifecta paid £35.80

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Ayr 13:40:00 - The Trifecta paid 3.70

Wolverhampton (AW) 17:45:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £18.80

Winners

From the 35 rated races there were 25 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 8 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Chepstow	13:50	Paddy The Oscar (3)	6.00	7.2
Sandown	14:00	As De Mee (5)	9.00	13.0
Wolverhampton (AW)	14:15	Sovereign Debt (9)	5.50	5.7
Sandown	14:35	Financial Climate (6)	6.50	6.8
Wolverhampton (AW)	15:25	Scoreline (4)	5.50	6.2
Gowran Park	16:25	Malt Gem (3)	9.00	10.5
Chepstow	16:45	Oscar Hill (1)	5.50	5.6
Ayr	17:05	Bennys Secret (2)	13.00	15.0

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but no Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = AW Handicap Claimers - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is a Claimer and where the Race is a Handicap Race and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Wolverhampton (AW) - 15:25:00 - Arctic Lynx (1)

Races (over last year): 16 Wins: 4 Strike Rate: 25.00% ROI: 131.75% AV SP: 5.27

Arctic Lynx came sixth.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 21 rated races from three meetings.

Now that I've just about finished the Speed Ratings I can get back to doing the other stuff like reviewing the coming day's racing and analysing strategies for Dutching and so forth.

I'll also be able to finish the last of the Winter Upgrades.

And, as I mentioned yesterday, I shall start working on a new and improved rating (which I'll call R5) as, no matter how good our current strike rate is...

I know that it can be improved and, with over 2 years worth of data, I now know how to do it.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards