Focus Ratings is a Uk and Irish Horse Racing ratings service designed to aid you and help you narrow the field so that you can concentrate on the real contenders. Our completely computerised analysis system selects the top three rated horses from each race and sends out the ratings every day at 10:00 a.m.  Wonderful results and an excellent strike rate.  Use Focus Ratings to win more money and make more profits from British and Irish Horse Racing.  The only horse racing system you'll ever need.

Morning News – 13/07/2021

6620418Good morning...

Today I want to talk a bit more about the new Focus Ratings R9 Portfolio Selections.

I've received quite a few inquiries from Place Profits and Intelligent Betting members about this service.

Now, Focus Ratings members can get the selections for free but I am working on a low cost service for Place Profits and Intelligent Betting members.

Place Profits members might want to take a really good look at yesterday's selections (hint, hint.)

Now...

Yesterday wasn't an ideal example as we only had Place Bets.

Ideally we would have Win Bets, Place Bets and Lay Bets - often all in the same race.

The ideal race would be where we had 4 top 4 rated horses and we might Win Bet the top rated horse but also place bet it as well.

Then there might be a place bet on each of the second and third rated horse and a lay bet on the fourth rated horse.

In some cases the might even be a place bet on the fourth rated horse as well.

Yesterday's selections...

Race 1: Race Reward/Risk Ratio = 0.277

Dundalk - 13:35 - War Hero - PLace Bet (0.134)

Dundalk - 13:35 - Irish Aclaim - Place Bet (0.420)

Race 2: Race Reward/Risk Ratio = 0.483

Dundalk - 15:20 - Zahee - Place Bet (0.483)

Race 3: Race Reward/Risk Ratio = 0.131

Killarney - 17:15 - Horoscope - Place Bet (0.131)

Race 4: Race Reward/Risk Ratio = 0.266

Killarney - 19:15 - La Petite Coco - Place Bet (0.266)

The numbers in the brackets are the Reward/Risk Ratio for that horse. It is, basically, the historical strike rate for that race type multiplied by the anticipated profit.

Now I don't expect people to bet on all of those horses but, if they had, yesterday, this would have been the result...

Dundalk - 13:35 - War Hero - PLace Bet - 8th
Dundalk - 13:35 - Irish Aclaim - Place Bet - 2nd @ 1.43
Dundalk - 15:20 - Zahee - Place Bet - 1st @ 2.34 (for the place)
Killarney - 17:15 - Horoscope - Place Bet - 1st @ 1.67
Killarney - 19:15 - La Petite Coco - Place Bet - 1st @ 1.16

So, 1.548 points profit for the day. Just by doing the place bets this looks pretty good as the prices are sometimes quite high.

Actual Bets...

However, yesterday I split up the selections into a number of bets (of suggested bets.)

Advised Bet - 5 Points bet on one race.

Race 2 - Dundalk - 15:20 - Zahee (Place Bet) - 5 Points - 1st @ 2.34 for the place.

So, a 6.566 points profit on the 5 points staked.

Bankers Bets - 10 points bet on 2 races

Race 1 - Dundalk - 13:35 - War Hero (Place Bet) - 1.292 Points - 8th - 1.292 points loss
Race 1 - Dundalk - 13:35 - Irish Aclaim (Place Bet) - 4.050 Points - 2nd @ 1.43 for the place - 1.7066 points profit
Race 2 - Dundalk - 15:20 - Zahee (Place Bet) - 4.657 Points - 1st @ 2.34 for the place - 6.11 points profit

So, a 6.5246 points profit on the 10 points staked.

Chancers Bets - 10 points bet on 3 races

Race 1 - Dundalk - 13:35 - War Hero (Place Bet) - 1.028 Points - 8th - 1.028 points loss
Race 1 - Dundalk - 13:35 - Irish Aclaim (Place Bet) - 3.223 Points - 2nd @ 1.43 for the place - 1.358 points profit
Race 2 - Dundalk - 15:20 - Zahee (Place Bet) - 3.706 Points - 1st @ 2.34 for the place - 4.866 points profit
Race 4 - Killarney - 19:15 - La Petite Coco (Place Bet) - 2.041 Points - 1st @ 1.16 for the place - 0.320 points profit

A 5.516 points profit on the 10 points staked.

An Explanation...

For the Advised Bet you only have one race; the best race of the day in terms of Race Reward/Risk Ratio.

So, you bet the entire 5 points stakes on that race.

However, if there are more than selections in that race, you split that stake up but, unlike dutching, rather than splitting the total/allocated stake up according to their starting prices, you split the stakes up according to the individual Horse Reward/Risk ratios so that you are betting more on the horse(s) with the higher Reward/Risk Ratio and less on those horses with lower Reward/Risk Ratios.

In the Bankers Bets and Chancers Bets selections, where you have more than one race, you just split your total stake up over the number of races but, allocating the stakes for each race according to the Race/Reward Ratio.

Conclusion...

Now, I am sorry that this is taking so long to come to fruition but it's been a devil to audit and get right.

I'm sure that someone is going to ask for historical data...

Well, I've struggled to write the code to generate this so, if I am to do that, I will have to do it manually and that will take a lots of time.

But, today I will cut a spreadsheet with the relevant data and get started so that I have an idea of how long it is going to take.


Task List...

In order to be honest and truly transparent with you...

I will now be publishing my task list on the Morning News.

You will be able to see what I am working on and, more importantly, what progress I am making.

Here are the current tasks...

T01). Work out a number of strategies to utilise R9 and provide Focus Rating members free Portfolio Betting selections across a number of different betting strategies (win backing, place backing, dutching, laying and, the other thing that I described that I don't know what it is called) on a daily basis.

T02). For Compass Ratings, display, on screen and via a email PDF, the twice weekly updated trainer/jockey win/place strike rates.

T03). For Compass Ratings, complete the eBook that explains all the weird and wonderful things that I have learned about Hong Kong Horse racing.

T04). Complete PaperTradeIt.com - a free site where you can privately log your bets and get Strike Rate, POI (to ISP and BSP) data and losing run analysis on those bets.

I'm trying to knock off the easy/quick jobs first in order to reduce the size of the list; the size of the list scares me sometimes and, believe me, I have twice as many jobs on the Admin/BAU (Business As Usual - things like automated scripts, backups and server log file analysis - stuff that all website owners have to do) task list to get through as well.


Focus Ratings

Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 31.43%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.32%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.83% from all 41 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 83.64 units returned to 108 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -22.56%

Top Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the top rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 39.31 units returned to 35 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 12.31%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 36 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 11.83 units returned to 36 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -67.14%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the third rated horses from 37 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 32.5 units returned to 37 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -12.16%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 13 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 30.77%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 10.73 units returned to 13 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -17.46%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 13 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 9 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 69.23%


A pen and a magnifying glass focusing on a chart.

Investment Betting

There were two Investment Betting selections (using the new R8 based system) yesterday...

Ayr - 16:15 - Oriental Lilly - 7th

Newton Abbot - 16:38 - Mattie Ross - 1st @ 1.91 ISP (1.98 BSP)

This is what the recent proofed results look like...

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Click on the image to see it full size.


eb

EarlyBird Ratings

There were no Diamonds and Gold (Platinum) selections yesterday...

This is what the recent proofed results look like...

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Click on the image to see it full size.

Focus Ratings members can subscribe to these selections for free,

Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.

The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.

PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.

You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html


Compass-Ratings

Compass Ratings

Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meetings a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.

There is a meeting at Happy Valley on Wednesday.

The ratings for that meeting will be sent out today.

If you are not a Compass Ratings member (it's free to Focus Ratings, Early Bird Rating and Place Profits members - you just have to ask to be added to the list) but want to try it out, send me an email.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.


advance

Advance Ratings

Advance Ratings...

1.15 - Newton Abbot - Trailboss - NR

4.38 - Newton Abbot - Mattie Ross - 1st @ 1.91 ISP (1.98 BSP)

8.25 - Wolverhampton - Halcyon Spirit - 2nd


spotlight-ratings

Spotlight Ratings

Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.


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Ante Post Ratings

Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.

Currently Listed...

16th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 1 (5 races rated.)

17th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 2 (5 races rated.)

18th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 3 (4 races rated.)

19th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 4 (5 races rated.)

27th March 2021 – Doncaster – 15:10 – Unibet Lincoln – Class 2

New - 10th April – 2021 – Aintree – 17:15 – Randox Grand National Handicap Chase – Class 1

22nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 19:15 – Tattersalls 2,000 Guineas – Group 1

23nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 16:00 – Tattersalls 1,000 Guineas – Group 1

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.



Place Profits

Selections - New System

Newton Abbot - 16:38 - Mattie Ross - 1st @ 1.10
Wolverhampton - 18:25 - Largo Bay - 4th

Selections - Original System

Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Newton Abbot - 13:15 - Trailboss - NR
Newton Abbot - 13:45 - Theo - PU
Lingfield - 18:05 - Red Showgirl - 1st @ 1.59

Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Newton Abbot - 13:15 - Trailboss - NR
Newton Abbot - 13:45 - Theo - PU

Original System (200% Confidence.)

There are no selections today.

I have updated the results (20th June 2021) and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.

The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/


intelligent

Intelligent Betting

Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.

A number of systems are combined to create system selections.

march

Click on the image to see it full size.


Something to make you smile...


An Englishman, Frenchman, American and Mexican are on a plane...

Plane starts going down and the pilot yells “we need to cast off weight to make a landing but there is only one parachute!”

So the Brit decides to be valiant and be the first to jump. “God save the Queen!” and he jumps out.

The Frenchman follows suit: “Vive le France!” and out he goes.

The American wastes no time: “To liberty!” and throws out the Mexican.


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Today

Whatever you are up to today...

Stay safe and healthy.

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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