Morning News

Good morning...

An average day's racing, yesterday.

Even with the less than impressive results, we are still running a monthly strike rate of 28.47%

And that's pretty weird for April.

Especially when compared to our average 2015 strike rate of 26.12%

And it's not far off my target strike rate of 30%.

I've been working on some background code that I need in order to update the Builder and I hope that all Builder winter upgrades will be finished by Monday afternoon.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 24.14%.

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 48.27 units returned to 92 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -47.53%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.41 units returned to 29 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -39.97%

2nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the second rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.67 units returned to 32 units staked. The Second Rated Profit Index was, thus, -69.78%

3nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the third rated horse in all of the races you would have had 21.19 units returned to 31 units staked. The Third Rated Profit Index was, thus, -31.65%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Southwell (AW) 16:25:00 - The CSF paid £3.87

Southwell (AW) 17:00:00 - The CSF paid £2.27

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Chelmsford (AW) 21:10:00 - The CSF paid £10.60

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Southwell (AW) 17:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £4.00

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Tipperary 17:45:00 - The Trifecta paid €43.20

Tipperary 19:50:00 - The Trifecta paid €6.80

Chelmsford (AW) 21:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £62.50

Winners

From the 30 rated races there were 15 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 2 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Tipperary	17:45	Diamondsandrubies (2)	7.00	9.43
Tipperary	19:50	Colour Blue (3)	6.50	7.5

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Irish Logic - where R4 Status = 1 and the Horse\'s Average R4 is greater than 4.0 and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and where Country = IRE and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner

Selection = Back to ISP - Tipperary - 18:20:00 - Jacobean (7)

Races (over last year): 11 Wins: 7 Strike Rate: 63.64% ROI: 458.84% AV SP: 7.21

Jacobean came third.

Chancers Bet = All Weather Wonders - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 28 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60% and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is September or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Southwell (AW) - 17:00:00 - Tarooq (1)

Races (over last year): 54 Wins: 31 Strike Rate: 57.41% ROI: 188.88AV SP: 3.29

Tarooq won.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 28 rated races from four meetings.

The ratings seems to have missed Wexford today. I'll try to fix this before the normal ratings go out.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards