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Another very good day...
Especially for the Focus Ratings R9 Portfolio selections with all 5 place bets winning (or being placed.)
As I mentioned on Tuesday, I have come up with a new strategy for place betting one selection a day, based upon the R9 ratings.
I am still plowing through the historical results and I am seeing a terrible strike rate of just over 65% but...
At an average price of 2.20.
At those prices we only need a strike rate of 50% to give a 10% profit on turnover.
I am going to complete the historical results and then am going to apply the same strategy to a single win bet each day.
Once that is done I shall write a post explaining it all and showing links to the spreadsheet.
Exciting times - please bear with me until I get it all finished.
In order to be honest and truly transparent with you...
I will now be publishing my task list on the Morning News.
You will be able to see what I am working on and, more importantly, what progress I am making.
Here are the current tasks...
T01). Work out a number of strategies to utilise R9 and provide Focus Rating members free Portfolio Betting selections across a number of different betting strategies (win backing, place backing, dutching, laying and,
the other thing that I described that I don't know what it is called) on a daily basis.
T02). For Compass Ratings, display, on screen and via a email PDF, the twice weekly updated trainer/jockey win/place strike rates.
T03). For Compass Ratings, complete the eBook that explains all the weird and wonderful things that I have learned about Hong Kong Horse racing.
T04). Complete PaperTradeIt.com - a free site where you can privately log your bets and get Strike Rate, POI (to ISP and BSP) data and losing run analysis on those bets.
I'm trying to knock off the easy/quick jobs first in order to reduce the size of the list; the size of the list scares me sometimes and, believe me, I have twice as many jobs on the Admin/BAU (Business As Usual - things like automated scripts, backups and server log file analysis - stuff that all website owners have to do) task list to get through as well.
Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.57%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.67%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.67% from all 30 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 74.82 units returned to 85 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -11.98%
Top Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the top rated horses from 28 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 27.7 units returned to 28 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -1.07%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the second rated horses from 29 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 35.62 units returned to 29 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 22.83%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the third rated horses from 28 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 11.5 units returned to 28 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -58.93%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 6 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 2 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 33.33%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 5.62 units returned to 6 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -6.33%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 6 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 66.67%
There were four Investment Betting selections (using the new R8 based system) yesterday...
Beverley - 13:30 - Bay Breeze - 1st @ 3.25 ISP (3.70 BSP)
Sandown - 14:55 - Atheby - 3rd
Kelso - 16:00 - Zafar - 1st @ 1.40 ISP (1.52 BSP)
Beverley - 16:10 - At A Pinch - 2nd
There were two Diamonds and Gold (Platinum) selections yesterday...
Beverley - 16:45 - Iron Sheriff - 1st @ 3.25 ISP (3.55 BSP)
Kelso - 18:00 - Authorizo - 1st @ 3.50 ISP
Focus Ratings and Place Profit members can subscribe to these selections for free,
Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.
The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.
PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.
You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html
Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meetings a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.
The ratings for Wednesday's meeting at Happy Valley will be sent out this morning.
If you are not a Compass Ratings member (it's free to Focus Ratings, Early Bird Rating and Place Profits members - you just have to ask to be added to the list) but want to try it out, send me an email.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
There were three selections yesterday.
3.30 - Sandown - Sir Busker - 3rd
4.00 - Kelso - Zafar - 1st @ 1.40 ISP (1.52 BSP)
7.00 - Kelso - Grazeon It - 4th
Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
I will be sending out the ratings for today's Listed Race at Saint Cloud (FR) in a couple of hours.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.
Currently Listed...
18th September 2021 – Ayr Gold Cup (+ 2 other races)
24th September 2021 – Joel Stakes (+ 1 other race)
24th September 2021 – Juddmonte Stakes (+ 5 other races)
26th September 2021 – Loughbrown Stakes
2nd October 2021 – Tattersalls October Auction Stakes
3rd October April 2021 – Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe
8th October 2021 – bet365 Fillies Mile
9th October 2021 – Darley Dewhurst Stakes
16th October 2021 – Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (+ 4 other races)
23rd October 2021 – Vertem Futurity Trophy Stakes
Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.
Just email me and I'll set up your account.
Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.
Selections - New System
Beverley - 13:30 - Bay Breeze - 1st @ 1.41
Beverley - 16:10 - At A Pinch - 2nd @ 1.05
Selections - Original System
Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)
Beverley - 13:30 - Bay Breeze - 1st @ 1.41
Sandown - 15:30 - Sir Busker - 3rd @ 1.56
Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)
There are no selections today.
Original System (200% Confidence.)
Beverley - 13:30 - Bay Breeze - 1st @ 1.41
R9 Portfolio Place Selections
Place Bets - 10 Points bet on top 5 Place selections.
Race 3 - Kelso - 15:25 - Calliope (Place Bet) - 2.85 Points - 3rd @ 2.14 (5.977 points profit)
Race 4 - Sandown - 15:30 - Sir Busker (Place Bet) - 2.36 Points - 3rd @ 1.56 (3.607 points profit)
Race 5 - Kelso - 16:00 - Zafar (Place Bet) - 0.63 Points - 1st @ 1.09 (0.6729 points profit)
Race 6 - Sandown - 16:05 - Spirit Of The Bay (Place Bet) - 1.73 Points - 1st @ 1.42 (2.407 points profit)
Race 7 - Yarmouth - 16:20 - Castana Dio (Place Bet) - 2.43 Points - 2nd @ 2.04 (4.8580 points profit)
17.5219 [points profit to 10 points staked.
I have updated the results (13th September 2021) and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.
The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/
Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.
A number of systems are combined to create system selections.
Click on the image to see it full size.
The Devil...
A priest was preparing a man for his long journey into the night.
Whispering firmly, the priest said, "Denounce the devil! Let him know how little you think of his evil."
The dying man said nothing.
The priest repeated his order. Still the dying man said nothing.
The priest asked, "Why do you refuse to denounce the devil and his evil?"
The dying man said, "Until I know where I'm heading, I don't think I ought to aggravate anybody."
Whatever you are up to today...
Stay safe and healthy.
As always...
My kindest regards
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