Morning News

Good morning...

A disappointing day, yesterday.

Which is a shame, considering how well we did on Thursday.

Still, it's interesting to note that we finished April with a very decent strike rate and...

That, yesterday, the Live Ratings significantly outperformed the normal ratings.

And, weirdly enough, even with the low strike rate, if you had blindly backed the third rated horse, you would have made a level stakes profit.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 11.76%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.95%.

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 108.87 units returned to 111 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -1.92%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.36 units returned to 34 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -40.12%

2nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the second rated horse in all of the races you would have had 35.97 units returned to 39 units staked. The Second Rated Profit Index was, thus, -7.73%

3nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the third rated horse in all of the races you would have had 52.54 units returned to 38 units staked. The Third Rated Profit Index was, thus, 38.26%

Forecasts

There were 1 forecasts yesterday.

Fontwell 18:15:00 - The CSF paid £18.25

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 17:15:00 - The CSF paid £11.98

Lingfield (AW) 17:45:00 - The CSF paid £13.50

Fontwell 19:20:00 - The CSF paid £23.47

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 1 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Fontwell 18:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £32.50

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Musselburgh 16:00:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £70.60

Winners

From the 39 rated races there were 21 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 8 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Musselburgh	14:20	Nelsons Bay (7)	6.00	6.60
Lingfield (AW)	14:30	Jonnie Skull (3)	8.00	10.00
Musselburgh	16:00	Ralphy Boy (3)	9.00	10.00
Lingfield (AW)	16:10	Little Prairie (8)	6.00	7.00
Fontwell	18:15	Marie Des Anges (1)	7.00	7.80
Punchestown	18:40	Snake Eyes (5)	5.50	6.97
Punchestown	19:10	Now Let Go (9)	21.00	30.59
Fontwell	19:20	Im In Charge (1)	8.50	9.04

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Unique Jockey and Trainer - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner and Horse had a Unique Jockey and Horse had a Unique trainer and Horse has NOT changed in Class

Selection = Back to ISP - Musselburgh - 14:20:00 - Argaki (2)

Races (over last year): 20 Wins: 8 Strike Rate: 40.00% ROI: 165.20% AV SP: 4.13

Argaki came sixth.

Chancers Bet = NH Hurdles Wonders - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Hurdles and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60%

Selection = Back to ISP - Punchestown - 17:30:00 - Jezki (4)

Races (over last year): 24 Wins: 8 Strike Rate: 33.33% ROI: 236.31AV SP: 7.09

Jezki was a non-runner.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 46 rated races from seven meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards