Morning News

Good morning...

A very busy day for me, yesterday, and I didn't have time to even think about the racing.

And, as a result, the results were incredible!

I understand that it was a bank holiday for you guys, yesterday, and I hope that you had a great time.

I certainly hope that you had better weather than we did in rainy Brittany.

I'm not saying that it's bucketing it down here but I do have a feeling that I'll be swimming to the bakers this morning when I go out to get my baguette for breakfast.

Anyway, enough of that, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 42.86%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 40.91%.

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 107.77 units returned to 124 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -13.09%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 65.52 units returned to 42 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 56%

2nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the second rated horse in all of the races you would have had 22.5 units returned to 40 units staked. The Second Rated Profit Index was, thus, -43.75%

3nd Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the third rated horse in all of the races you would have had 19.75 units returned to 42 units staked. The Third Rated Profit Index was, thus, -52.98%

Forecasts

There were 6 forecasts yesterday.

Kempton 14:00:00 - The CSF paid £4.72

Curragh 14:05:00 - The CSF paid £3.91

Curragh 14:40:00 - The CSF paid £13.24

Windsor 15:25:00 - The CSF paid £10.27

Bath 15:40:00 - The CSF paid £4.96

Curragh 16:25:00 - The CSF paid £2.21

Reverse Forecasts

There were 0 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Curragh 14:05:00 - The Trifecta paid €7.30

Curragh 14:40:00 - The Trifecta paid €15.10

Just as a little note: Totesport.com is down again today. That's normally where I get Trifecta prices from. However, a little bit of Googling has led me to IrishRacing.com - what a great site; I wish that I'd discovered it years ago. I really like that they show yesterday's and today's weather for each Irish course - now, that's clever and very useful.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were no combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 44 rated races there were 28 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 7 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Beverley	12:30	The Tempest (5)	6.50	8.43
Curragh	14:40	Tombelaine (6)	6.50	7.65
Warwick	14:55	Prince Des Marais (10)	8.00	9.81
Kempton	15:45	Urcalin (6)	8.00	8.04
Curragh	15:50	Bobby Jean (8)	6.50	7.56
Bath	16:15	Mister Musicmaster (5)	6.00	6.64
Kempton	16:20	Claret Cloak (1)	5.50	6.40

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - Curragh - 17:25:00 - Shanghai Beauty (13)

Races (over last year): 18 Wins: 11 Strike Rate: 61.11% ROI: 166.22% AV SP: 2.72

Shanghai Beauty came fifth.

Chancers Bet = Unique Jockey and Trainer - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner and Horse had a Unique Jockey and Horse had a Unique trainer and Horse has NOT changed in Class

Selection = Back to ISP - Windsor - 17:05:00 - Darma (1)

Races (over last year): 21 Wins: 8 Strike Rate: 38.10% ROI: 157.35AV SP: 4.13

Darma came third.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Something to make you smile...

David O. sent this in. Thanks, David - it made me smile during the 5 seconds that i allowed myself for smiling during a very busy day for me yesterday.

Making a Baby....

This is hilarious! There is not one dirty word in it, and it is funny!

The Smiths were unable to conceive children and decided to use a surrogate father to start their family. On the day the proxy father was to arrive, Mr. Smith kissed his wife goodbye and said, 'Well, I'm off now. The man should be here soon.'

Half an hour later, just by chance, a door-to-door baby photographer happened to ring the doorbell, hoping to make a sale. 'Good morning, Ma'am', he said, 'I've come to...'

'Oh, no need to explain,' Mrs. Smith cut in, embarrassed, 'I've been expecting you.'

'Have you really?' said the photographer. 'Well, that's good. Did you know babies are my specialty?'

'Well that's what my husband and I had hoped. Please come in and have a seat !.

After a moment she asked, blushing, 'Well, where do we start?'

'Leave everything to me. I usually try two in the bathtub, one on the couch, and perhaps a couple on the bed. And sometimes the living room floor is fun. You can really spread out there.'

'Bathtub, living room floor? No wonder it didn't work out for Harry and me!'

'Well, Ma'am, none of us can guarantee a good one every time. But if we try several different positions and I shoot from six or seven angles, I'm sure you'll be pleased with the results.'

'My, that's a lot!', gasped Mrs. Smith.

'Ma'am, in my line of work a man has to take his time. I'd love to be In and out in five minutes, but I'm sure you'd be disappointed with that.'

'Don't I know it,' said Mrs. Smith quietly.

The photographer opened his briefcase and pulled out a portfolio of his baby pictures. 'This was done on the top of a bus,' he said.

'Oh, my God!' Mrs. Smith exclaimed, grasping at her throat.

'And these twins turned out exceptionally well - when you consider their mother was so difficult to work with..'

'She was difficult?' asked Mrs. Smith.

'Yes, I'm afraid so. I finally had to take her to the park to get the job done right. People were crowding around four and five deep to get a good look'

'Four and five deep?' said Mrs. Smith, her eyes wide with amazement.

'Yes', the photographer replied. 'And for more than three hours, too. The mother was constantly squealing and yelling - I could hardly concentrate, and when darkness approached I had to rush my shots. Finally, when the squirrels began nibbling on my equipment, I just had to pack it all in.'

Mrs. Smith leaned forward. 'Do you mean they actually chewed on your, uh...equipment?'

'It's true, Ma'am, yes.. Well, if you're ready, I'll set-up my tripod and we can get to work right away..'

'Tripod?'

'Oh yes, Ma'am. I need to use a tripod to rest my Canon on. It's much too big to be held in the hand very long.'

Mrs. Smith fainted!

An Apology....

As I've mentioned, yesterday was a bit of a busy day for me and, as a result, I seem to have taken my eye off the ball somewhat.

And, as is only to be expected, I got a bit of a slap on the wrist from one of the members.

This is what he had to say...

Morning Keith

"I would of "blown my own trumpet" regarding the 2,000 guineas yesterday!

After all it one of only 5 classics run in this country

There were 18 runners, and on the face of it looked bloody difficult!

Until I studied the print out

The top three were well clear of the rest (4th rated a non runner)

2nd @ 5/1
1st @ 4/1
3rd @ 10/1

Just for good measure...

The winner was the only horse with a positive diff of 4.1%

The third horse had the the highest average figure of 4.93

You would of needed to be deaf, dumb, and blind not to profit from the race."

So, I do apologise for not blowing my own trumpet.

I am currently polishing my trumpet (ooh er, missus!) and...

I will try to organise my private life so that it doesn't conflict with the more important horse races.

And, if I do have conflicting appointments, I'll phone the BHA up and see if they can move the race to another day.

I'm not sure how well that'll work, though.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 37 rated races from six meetings.

The last component for my new server arrived yesterday and so today I'll largely be crawling around inside a massive computer case putting it all together and getting the OS installed.

Once it's all done I'll be taking photos and waffling on about "hot swappable" power supplies and "hot swappable" hard drives and other things that you're not in the slightest bit interested in.

Seriously, though...

This new box will allow me to make changes and do analysis so much faster.

Sometimes it's worth spending some time doing non-productive work so that you can be more productive in the future.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards