Morning News

Good morning...

A far better day, yesterday,

Where it would have been profitable to blindly back all the top rated horses in every rated race and...

It would have been profitable to blindly back the top rated or third rated horse in every race.

And, if you had done the forecast in all 35 races (there were a few top rated non-runners) then you would have had £65.47 returned to £35.00 staked.

In other words, you;d have nearly doubled your money.

And the new strategy that I'm looking at has had two good days in a row.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 31.43%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.19% from all 42 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 123.56 units returned to 113 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 9.35%

Top Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the top rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 35.85 units returned to 35 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 2.43%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 39 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 28.71 units returned to 39 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -26.38%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the third rated horses from 39 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 59 units returned to 39 units staked. The 3nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 51.28%

Forecasts

There were 4 forecasts yesterday.

Windsor 13:45:00 - The CSF paid £3.85

Carlisle 14:35:00 - The CSF paid £29.94

Leicester 16:55:00 - The CSF paid £3.02

Leicester 17:25:00 - The CSF paid £28.66

Reverse Forecasts

There were 0 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Cartmel 14:25:00 - The Trifecta paid £14.10

Windsor 15:30:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £13.60

Carlisle 16:50:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £16.10

Winners

From the 39 rated races there were 26 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 8 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Windsor	13:15	Divine Law (7)	6.50	7.2
Leicester	14:05	Jacobs Son (1)	5.50	6.0
Cartmel	15:00	Grand Vintage (6)	6.00	7.0
Redcar	15:55	Fire Fighting (1)	7.50	8.2
Cartmel	16:40	Tullamore Dew (4)	7.00	8.51
Leicester	17:25	Bethan (6)	5.50	6.12
Cartmel	17:45	Sealous Scout (2)	9.00	10.47
Ballinrobe	18:30	Esta Quercus (5)	17.00	30.21

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Strategy...

My potential strategy of place backing (on the Betfair place market) the top three rated horse that has the highest Yield of those three horses in races of eight runners or more has had a good couple of days.

On Sunday there were 20 qualifying races with 11 successful results. 29.13 points (assuming a Betfair commission of 5%) would have been returned to 20 points staked.

Yesterday there were also 20 qualifying races (rated races with 8 runners or more) and, from those races, 12 gave us payouts (Betfair Place Market), had we backed the top three rated horse that had the highest Yield (of the top three rated horses.)

That's a strike rate of 60% - that's the sort of area that makes me comfortable - I tend to like high strike rate systems.

42.26 points (assuming a Betfair commission of 5%) would have been returned to 20 points staked.

To be honest, 20 bets a day is far too many for me but, I can reduce the number of bets by adding in some filters which will increase the strike rate (as if it needed improving) and give a better return.

More work required, me thinks but...

It does look kind of interesting?

Something to make you chuckle...

Sex and good grammar.

On his 70th birthday, a man was given a gift certificate from his wife. The certificate was for consultation with an Indian medicine man living on a nearby reservation who was rumoured to have a simple cure for erectile dysfunction. The husband went to the reservation and saw the medicine man.

The old Indian gave him a potion and, with a grip on his shoulder, warned ‘This is powerful medicine. You take only teaspoonful, and say: ‘1-2-3.' When you do, you will become more manly than you have ever been in your life, and you can perform for as long as you want."

The man thanked the old Indian, and as he walked away, he turned and asked: “How do I stop the medicine from working?" "Your partner must say ‘1-2-3-4,' he responded, "but when she does, the medicine will not work again until the next full moon."

He was very eager to see if it worked so he went home, showered, shaved, took a spoonful of the medicine, and then invited his wife to join him in the bedroom. When she came in, he took off his clothes and said: "1-2-3!" Immediately, he was the manliest of men.

His wife was hugely excited and, as she began throwing off her clothes, asked: "What was the 1-2-3 for?"

And that, boys and girls, is why we should never end our sentences with a preposition, because we could end up with a dangling participle.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 40 rated races from six meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards