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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

Well, last year we had a strike rate (for the top rated horse) of 57.14% for the Investec Epsom Derby.

This year we could only manage 42.86% but...

Just like last year, we got the first and second horse in the right order in the Derby.

And, to cap it all, our Banker's Bet won.

I've not got too much else to say other than, had you blindly done the forecast in every race yesterday, you'd have have made a level stakes profit.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.93%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.27%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.42% from all 59 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 129.24 units returned to 158 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -18.2%

Top Rated Horse - There were 14 winners from the top rated horses from 54 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 48.22 units returned to 54 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -10.7%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the second rated horses from 50 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 50.54 units returned to 50 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 1.08%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the third rated horses from 54 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 30.48 units returned to 54 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -43.56%


There were 6 forecasts yesterday.

Hexham 15:50:00 - The CSF paid £28.34

Epsom 16:30:00 - The CSF paid £7.60

Musselburgh 17:25:00 - The CSF paid £8.70

Limerick 19:20:00 - The CSF paid £9.14

Newcastle 20:40:00 - The CSF paid £6.96

Newcastle 21:10:00 - The CSF paid £9.37

Reverse Forecasts

There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Lingfield 19:30:00 - The CSF paid £2.32

Newcastle 19:40:00 - The CSF paid 23.94


There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Musselburgh 17:25:00 - The Trifecta paid £28.50

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Musselburgh 13:40:00 - The Tricast paid £16.61 - The Trifecta paid £30.60

Doncaster 15:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £23.50

Newcastle 19:40:00 - The Tricast paid £136.10 - The Trifecta paid £208.20


From the 57 rated races there were 31 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 9 of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Musselburgh 13:40 Kung Hei Fat Choy (3) 5.50 5.97
Musselburgh 14:15 New Road Side (7) 6.50 6.87
Musselburgh 16:00 Chiswick Bey (7) 6.50 7.60
Worcester 16:05 Flying Light (5) 6.50 8.15
Epsom 17:50 Ashpan Sam (1) 5.50 6.40
Newcastle 19:40 Aldreth (5) 5.50 5.79
Limerick 20:20 Close Review (4) 10.00 12.00
Lingfield (AW) 20:30 Offshore (1) 7.00 8.12
Lingfield (AW) 21:00 Power Up (3) 6.00 7.92

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = NH Hurdles Wonders - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Hurdles and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60%

Selection = Back to ISP - Limerick - 19:20:00 - Ibsen (1)

Races (over last year): 24 Wins: 9 Strike Rate: 37.50% ROI: 264.38% AV SP: 7.05

Ibsen won at 2.5 ISP (2.52 BSP.)

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.


Today's early test ratings show 20 rated races from three meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

5 star ratingsOnce again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards


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