Morning News

Good morning...

As far as I can see...

Yesterday was a pretty decent day with a reasonable strike rate and it would have been profitable to have blindly backed all top three rated horses (although you'd have to mad mad to want to do so.)

I've been busy working on my new Place Betting strategy and I've written a post about that.

I can't say too much about yesterday as I am champing at the bit to get on and write some code to produce a PDF which just lists the selections for that strategy (far easier for me to read)..

So, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.64%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.81%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.81% from all 42 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 133.57 units returned to 120 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 11.31%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 39 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 39.33 units returned to 39 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 0.85%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the second rated horses from 37 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 56.88 units returned to 37 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 53.73%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the third rated horses from 44 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 37.36 units returned to 44 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -15.09%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Brighton 17:20:00 - The CSF paid £7.35

Fairyhouse 19:00:00 - The CSF paid £3.69

Reverse Forecasts

There were 5 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Haydock 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £2.87

Haydock 15:40:00 - The CSF paid £6.66

Beverley 17:00:00 - The CSF paid £3.65

Kempton (AW) 18:40:00 - The CSF paid £35.48

Fairyhouse 20:00:00 - The CSF paid £14.31

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Brighton 17:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £14.70

Fairyhouse 19:00:00 - The Trifecta paid €6.30

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Haydock 14:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £45.40

Haydock 15:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £31.30

Winners

From the 41 rated races there were 29 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 9 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Beverley	14:00	Lolamotion (6)	6.00	8.20
Beverley	15:30	Red Charmer (9)	5.50	5.87
Brighton	15:50	Jazri (2)	6.00	6.80
Brighton	16:20	Arlecchinos Leap (3)	7.00	7.85
Kempton (AW)	18:10	Ze King (8)	6.00	7.66
Hamilton	18:20	Thewestwalian (8)	11.00	12.84
Kempton (AW)	18:40	Rezwaan (1)	10.00	12.00
Fairyhouse	20:30	Waydownsouth (1)	11.00	14.13
Fairyhouse	21:00	Oceania Queen (20)	13.00	20.86

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Irish Logic - where R4 Status = 1 and the Horse\'s Average R4 is greater than 4.0 and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and where Country = IRE and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner

Selection = Back to ISP - Fairyhouse - 19:30:00 - Frozen Lake (7)

Races (over last year): 10 Wins: 5 Strike Rate: 50.00% ROI: 416.50% AV SP: 8.33

Frozen Lake came second.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Download System Selections

I have added a feature to the System and Alerts page (to be found off your Members Page whereby you can now download (as a CSV file) all selections and results for each of youyr systems.

There is a new button as is shown below....

This is one of the Winter Upgrades and I'm glad that it's now done.

Place Betting Strategy

I had quite a lot to say about my Place Betting Strategy and so, I've written a post about it.

I published this post this morning and you can see it here... http://focusratings.com/articles/place-betting-strategy/

I shall be continuing my work on this strategy today and will publish a new spreadsheet with the additional filters.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 32 rated races from six meetings.

That means that there are 10 unrated races; I need to look into this but I do have the feeling that it's down to 2 year olds races which I find difficult to rate. I seem to remember this happened last year and the year before. Anyway, I'll double check in in any case.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards