Morning News – 2022-08-12

Good morning...

After the problems that I've had recently I've got a bit behind in my admin work.

Rather than do things in logical chronological order I have decided to do one service at a time and continue until all services are up to date.

Today I shall be starting with Place Profits; I have some improvements to implement - these will automate the selections and allow the results to be updated far faster.

I am aware that some Place Profits members have unsubscribed but are still receiving their selections - this is a problem with my membership software but I believe that I have now fixed it. I shall manually sort out the discrepancies today. If you (Place Profits members) stop receiving selections but believe that you should be receiving them, please let me know and I'll investigate and sort things out.

Focus Ratings Daily Bets...

I have been analyzing the historic results for multiple betting the non-handicap R10 top rated horses and...

Whilst, on a daily basis, it looks like we get lots of winners from those horses, the overall strike rate isn't good enough for a multiple betting system.

For example, if we have 3 non-handicap R10 top rated horses then we can do a Patent.

However, if one of those horses doesn't win then we lose 1 Win bet, 2 Double bets and the Accumulator - leaving just 2 win bets and 1 double which, probably won't make the profit to cover the 4 losing bets.

All is not bad, though...

If we concentrate on the blindly profitable race types then things start to make sense.

From these I can create a Banker's Bet, a Chancer's Bet and a Double on those 2 horses.

I can also create an accumulator from all the potential selections of which only 1 will be chosen for the Banker's bet and 1 for the Chancer's bet.

Yesterday's suggestions (please bear in mind that this is Beta testing)...

There were 4 non-handicap R10 top rated horses yesterday...

Beverley - 13:35 - Beautiful Aisling - 1st @ 1.48 BSP
Salisbury - 13:55 - American In Paris - 3rd
Salisbury - 14:30 - Time Step - 2nd
Leopardstown - 18:20 - Only - 1st @ 1.36 BSP

To continue with my old strategy (for two bets a day) there was one bet...

The Chancer's Bet (high profits but slightly more risky) is...

There are no selections today.

The Banker's Bet (high strike rate but lower prices) is...

Salisbury - 14:30 - Time Step - 2nd

I have an idea that we should any potential selections for the Chancer's Bet and Banker's Bet as our selections for our multiple bets.

For example, today there were two potential selections for the Banker's Bet...

Beverley - 13:35 - Beautiful Aisling - 1st @ 1.48 BSP
Salisbury - 14:30 - Time Step - 2nd

I chose Time Step as it has the higher Confidence level but, according to my theory we should use those two horses (and any potential selections for the Chancer's Bet) as the basis for the multiple bets.

So...

According to this, today we would be doing a win bet on both of those horses and, also, a double on them. I shall come up with definitive rules tomorrow.

I shall be continuing with investigating this for the next few days. I shall be publishing the selections in the Morning News until I am happy that there is a decent strategy and then Focus Ratings members will be able to get the selections emailed to them for free.

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Focus Ratings

Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 35.14%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 34.21%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 34.15% from all 41 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 125.72 units returned to 110 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 14.29%

Top Rated Horse - There were 13 winners from the top rated horses from 37 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 41.48 units returned to 37 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 12.11%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the second rated horses from 37 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 38.44 units returned to 37 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 3.89%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the third rated horses from 36 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 45.8 units returned to 36 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 27.22%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 13 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 30.77%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 8.35 units returned to 13 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -35.77%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 13 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 10 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 76.92%

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Investment Betting

There were three Investment Betting selections (using the new R10 based system) yesterday...

Beverley - 13:35 - Beautiful Aisling - 1st @ 1.48 BSP
Salisbury - 13:55 - American In Paris - 3rd
Salisbury - 14:30 - Time Step - 2nd

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Precision Betting

There were two selections yesterday.

Salisbury - 13:55 - Zaakara - Win Bet - 5th
Leopardstown - 18:20 - Grant Wood - Lay Bet - 3rd

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EarlyBird Ratings

There were five Diamonds and Gold (Platinum) selections yesterday...

Ffos Las - 13:45 - Gumais - 3rd
Salisbury - 13:55 - American In Paris - 3rd
Beverley - 14:10 - Vondelpark - 4th
Beverley - 15:55 - Gemcutter - 1st @ 4.97 BSP
Ffos Las - 16:05 - Clashaniska - 5th

Focus Ratings and Place Profit members can subscribe to these selections for free,

Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.

The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.

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Portfolio Betting

A portfolio of micro systems that Work together to produce long term profits.

At the end of every month, the results are analysed and the systems are tweaked to maintain consistency.

There were eleven selections yesterday.

Ffos Las - 13:45 - Gumais - Win Bet - 3rd
Beverley - 14:10 - Leading Company - Win Bet - 1st @ 3.90 BSP
Beverley - 14:10 - Leading Company - Place Bet - 1st @ 1.55 BSP
Salisbury - 14:30 - Time Step - Win Bet - 2nd
Ffos Las - 15:30 - Dora Penny - Win Bet - 1st @ 3.73
Beverley - 15:55 - Gemcutter - Win Bet - 1st @ 4.97
Beverley - 15:55 - Gemcutter - Place Bet - 1st @ 1.86
Tramore - 19:00 - Downthecellar - Win Bet - 4th
Tramore - 19:00 - Downthecellar - Place Bet - 4th
Lingfield - 19:40 - Neandra - Win Bet - 8th
Lingfield - 19:40 - Neandra - Place Bet - 8th

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Advance Ratings

There were two selections yesterday.

Tramore - 17:30 - Tom McGreevy - F
Tramore - 19:30 - Downtown Queen - 6th

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Place Profits

Selections - Place Profits Plus

Salisbury - 14:30 - Time Step - 2nd @ 1.21

Selections - New System

Beverley - 13:35 - Beautiful Aisling - 1st @ 1.12
Salisbury - 14:30 - Time Step - 2nd @ 1.21
Lingfield - 18:10 - Kiss N Cuddle - 8th

Selections - Original System

Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Beverley - 13:35 - Beautiful Aisling 1st @ 1.12
Salisbury - 13:55 - American In Paris - 3rd

Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Beverley - 13:35 - Beautiful Aisling 1st @ 1.12
Salisbury - 13:55 - American In Paris - 3rd

Original System (200% Confidence.)

Salisbury - 13:55 - American In Paris - 3rd

The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/

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Intelligent Betting

Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.

Intelligent Betting has recently has a slight tweak to refine the selections.

In addition, there is also a new Place Betting option.

There were four selections yesterday.

Ffos Las - 15:30 - Dora Penny - Win Bet - 1st @ 3.73 BSP
Salisbury - 16:45 - Sea On Time - Win Bet - 1st @ 1.74 BSP
Lingfield - 18:10 - Kiss N Cuddle - Win Bet - 8th
Lingfield - 18:10 - Kiss N Cuddle - Place Bet - 8th

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Something to make you smile...

The poker game...

Two couples were playing poker one evening.

Jim accidentally dropped some cards on the floor.

When he bent down under the table to pick them up, he noticed Les' wife, Sue, wasn't wearing any underwear under her dress!

Shocked by this, Jim, upon trying to sit back up again, hit his head on the table and emerged red-faced.

Later, Jim went to the kitchen to get some refreshments.

Les' wife followed and asked, "Did you see anything that you like under there?"

Surprised by her boldness, Jim admitted that, well, indeed he did.

She said, "Well, you can have it, but it will cost you $500."

After taking a minute or two to assess the financial and moral costs of this offer, Jim confirmed that he was interested.

Sue told him that since her husband Les played golf Friday afternoons and Jim didn't, Jim should be at her house around 2:00 pm Friday afternoon.

When Friday rolled around, Jim showed up at Les' house at 2:00 pm sharp, and after paying Sue the agreed sum of $500 -- they went to the bedroom and closed their transaction as agreed.

Jim quickly dressed and left.

As usual, Les came home from golf at 6:00 pm and upon arriving, asked his wife, "Did Jim come by the house this afternoon?"

With a lump in her throat Sue answered, "Why yes, he did stop by for a few minutes this afternoon."

Her heart nearly skipped a beat when her husband curtly asked, "And did he give you $500?"

Sue, using her best poker face, replied, "Well, yes, in fact he did give me $500."

Bob, with a satisfied look on his face, surprised his wife by saying, "He came by the golf club this morning and borrowed $500 from me.

He promised he'd stop by our house this afternoon on his way home and pay me back."

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Today

Whatever you are up to today...

Stay safe and healthy.

As always...

My kindest regards