Morning News – 2022/06/01

Good morning...

Yesterday I cut a new spreadsheet that shows every R10 rated race over the last six and a half years.

The difference to this spreadsheet is that it shows every horse in each race.

I spent all day sanitising the spreadsheet;

This means taking out all the abandoned races and the invalid races (those that only have 2 top 3 rated races.

This still leaves over 7,000 races over the six and a half year period.

I am up to October 2021 so there's only about 2 or 3 hours work left to do.

What stands out so far is just how many R10 rated races are won by a top three rated horse.

I am going to crack on and should have some meaningful numbers tomorrow.

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Focus Ratings

Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.58%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 14% from all 50 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 110.74 units returned to 89 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 24.43%

Top Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the top rated horses from 30 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 15.9 units returned to 30 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -47%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the second rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 34.63 units returned to 31 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 11.71%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the third rated horses from 28 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 60.21 units returned to 28 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 115.04%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 10 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 2 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 20%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 6 units returned to 10 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -40%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 10 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 8 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 80%

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Investment Betting

There was one Investment Betting selection (using the new R8 based system) yesterday...

Leicester - 13:20 - New Definition - 2nd

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Precision Betting

There were two selections yesterday.

Ballinrobe - 19:05 - Glenabo Bridge (1W1) - Win Bet

Ballinrobe - 19:05 - Glenabo Bridge (1P1) - Place Bet

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EarlyBird Ratings

There were no Diamonds and Gold (Platinum) selections yesterday...

Focus Ratings and Place Profit members can subscribe to these selections for free,

Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.

The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.

PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.

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Portfolio Betting

A portfolio of micro systems that...

Work together to produce long term profits.

At the end of every month, the results are analysed and the systems are tweaked to maintain consistency.

There were nine selections yesterday.

Newbury - 14:40 - Eternal Pearl - 3rd
Newbury - 15:10 - Scampi (2 points) - 4th
Newbury - 15:40 - Nizaaka - 2nd
Newbury - 16:40 - Antiphon - 2nd
Ballinrobe - 17:35 - Hewick - 2nd
Ballinrobe - 18:35 - Ilikedthewayyuthink - 2nd
Yarmouth - 19:29 - Twelth Knight (2 points) - 2nd
Tipperary - 19:45 - Matilda With Me - 4th
Thirsk - 20:27 - Magical Mile - 8th

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Advance Ratings

Advance Ratings...

There was one selection yesterday.

Ballinrobe - 19:35 - Vadsa Queen - 5th

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Place Profits

Selections - Place Profits Plus

There are no selections today.

Selections - New System

Brighton - 14:50 - Storm Asset - 3rd @ 2.08

Selections - Original System

Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Leicester - 13:20 - New Definition - 2nd @ 1.24
Leicester - 13:55 - Catch The Paddy - 2nd @ 1.24
Newbury - 14:40 - Eternal Pearl - 3rd @ 1.12
Thirsk - 19:52 - Cuban Beat - 2nd @ 1.46

Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Leicester - 13:20 - New Definition - 2nd @ 1.24
Leicester - 13:55 - Catch The Paddy - 2nd @ 1.24
Newbury - 14:40 - Eternal Pearl - 3rd @ 1.12
Thirsk - 19:52 - Cuban Beat - 2nd @ 1.46

Original System (200% Confidence.)

Leicester - 13:20 - New Definition - 2nd @ 1.24

I have updated the results (6th May 2022) and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.

The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/

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Intelligent Betting

Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.

Intelligent Betting has recently has a slight tweak to refine the selections.

In addition, there is also a new Place Betting option.

There were no selections yesterday.

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Something to make you smile...

A teacher tells her student to tell a story with a moral in it...

Little Johnny says, "All right. I got one. There's a horse and chicken playing in the meadow and the horse falls into the quicksand. He says 'Hurry up! Go get the farmer! Get me out of here!' The chicken runs back to the farm, but the farmer is nowhere to be seen."

"Oh my," the teacher gasps with a horrified look on her face.

"So the chicken takes the BMW, backs it up near the quicksand, throws a rope to the horse, ties it up to the bumper and pulls the horse out. The horse is so very thankful."

"What happened next?" the teacher asks, feeling relieved.

"A couple days later... the *chicken* falls into the same quicksand and says, 'Hurry up! Hurry up! Go get the farmer!' So the horse thinks to himself, 'Well... I could probably stand over this quicksand.' So, he stands over it and says to the chicken, 'Grab hold of my penis!' So the chicken grabs hold of the horse's penis and gets pulled out."

The teacher is suddenly weirded out by the direction the story is going and asks, "Umm... Johnny? That's nice and all, but what's the moral of the story?"

Without hesitation, Johnny responds with, "The moral of the story is: if you're hung like a horse, you don't need a BMW to pick up chicks."

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Today

Whatever you are up to today...

Stay safe and healthy.

As always...

My kindest regards