Focus Ratings is a Uk and Irish Horse Racing ratings service designed to aid you and help you narrow the field so that you can concentrate on the real contenders. Our completely computerised analysis system selects the top three rated horses from each race and sends out the ratings every day at 10:00 a.m. Wonderful results and an excellent strike rate. Use Focus Ratings to win more money and make more profits from British and Irish Horse Racing. The only horse racing system you'll ever need.

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Morning News – 2022/06/04

Posted by Keith Eckstein on Jun 4, 2022 in Blog | 0 comments

Good morning...

I apologise for no Morning News yesterday - somehow I overslept.

Before I start explaining the R10 Bet the Race spreadsheet (so far I haven't come up with a better name) I ought to mention that, over here is a Bank Holiday and I have plans and , thus, there will be no Morning News.

So, onto the spreadsheet.

This is available at... R11_V1.xlsx

1). The first tab is the raw data - every R10 rated race (all runners in that race) from 2016/01/01 to 2022/05/24

2). The second tab shows just those top 3 rated horses for that period. What interest me is just how many top rated horses (coloured in green - column N - R4s) actually win the race (coloured in green - column S - Result) as below...

3). The third tab shows the race type analysis for the top three rated horses. If you scroll down you'll see that in the Refined section I have sorted the results into Strike Rate order; this is important because the more races that are won by top 3 rated horses are races that can't be won by every non top 3 rated horse running in the race. So, rather than thinking about the race winners, I am more concerned about those horses that are not going to win the race - good horses to Lay Bet, in other words.

4). The fourth tab shows the results just for the top rated horses. Once again plenty of green - in our case green is good.

5). The fifth tab shows the race type analysis for the top rated horse.

6). The sixth tab shows the race type analysis for the top rated horse with the prices (as I have some missing BSPs I have used ISP instead) and, once again, if you scroll down there are the results sorted in both Strike Rate and POI order.

7). The seventh tab show the top three rated place analysis. I haven't done much work on that but there seems to be some promise there. To see what I mean, look at row 20 which shows the top rated horse in the 13:50 at Naas - 2016-01-02. It won the race so it was obviously a Place Win. Now look at row 21 which shows the second rated horse in the same race. It came 2nd at a BSP of 17:02 for the place. It was only a 5 runner race so we wouldn't have bet the 3rd rated horse which is good as it didn't finish.

8). The eighth tab shows the results for Lay Betting every non top 3 rated horse in every race. Over the weekend I shall be concentrating on this tab to try to define some rules to decide how many lay bets there should be depending on the number of runners in the race and, the race type. I hope to have some news on Tuesday.

So, no Morning News on Monday unless...

I have very good news to share or we have torrential rain which will keep me indoors.

The overall strategy is to start with the Lay Bets; work out the best Lay Bets (in terms of number of runners and race types) and then see which of those races would work for Place Betting and then, finally, move on to the Win Bets (on the top rated horse) for those remaining race types.

That's the plan, anyway.

Focus Ratings

Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 16.67%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 16.67%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 1.54% from all 65 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.16 units returned to 15 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -38.93%

Top Rated Horse - There were 1 winners from the top rated horses from 6 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 1.91 units returned to 6 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -68.17%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the second rated horses from 6 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 7.25 units returned to 6 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 20.83%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 0 winners from the third rated horses from 3 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 0 units returned to 3 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -100%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 2 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 1 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 50%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 1.91 units returned to 2 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -4.5%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 2 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 1 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 50%

A pen and a magnifying glass focusing on a chart.

Investment Betting

There were four Investment Betting selections (using the new R8 based system) yesterday...

Huntingdon - 13:35 - Galahad Threepwood - PU

Catterick - 13:44 - New Hope Bullet - 1st @ 3.10 BSP

Epsom - 14:00 - Commander Straker - 3rd

Goodwood - 17:21 - Uncle Dick - 7th

Precision Betting

There were five selections yesterday.

Epsom - 14:00 - Commander Straker (1P1) - Place Bet - 3rd @ 2.28 BSP
Epsom - 14:00 - Legend Of Xanadu (2W1) - Win Bet - 1st @ 5.50 BSP
Epsom - 14:00 - Legend Of Xanadu (2P1) - Place Bet - 1st @ 2.18 BSP
Goodwood - 17:21 - Point Louise (2W1) - Win Bet - 8th
Goodwood - 17:21 - Point Louise (2P1) - Place Bet - 8th

EarlyBird Ratings

There was one Diamonds and Gold (Platinum) selection yesterday...

Huntingdon - 13:35 - Galahad Threepwood - PU

Focus Ratings and Place Profit members can subscribe to these selections for free,

Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.

The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.

PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.

Portfolio Betting

A portfolio of micro systems that...

Work together to produce long term profits.

At the end of every month, the results are analysed and the systems are tweaked to maintain consistency.

There were nine selections yesterday.

Huntingdon - 14:45 - Gouet Des Bruyeres - 2nd
Tramore - 17:00 - Clody Valley (2 points) - 6th
Goodwood - 17:21 - Uncle Dick - 7th
Bath - 18:20 - Crush And Run - 4th
Down Royal - 18:35 - Sweet Will - 11th
Doncaster - 19:16 - Tanmawwy - 1st @ 2.46 BSP
Bath - 19:30 - Danville (2 points) - 5th
Goodwood - 19:37 - Dreams Of Thunder - 2nd
Tramore - 19:56 - Emancipator - 4th

Advance Ratings

Advance Ratings...

There were four selections yesterday.

Huntingdon - 13:00 - Mr Yeats - 2nd
Market Rasen - 14:25 - Right Turn - 4th
Catterick - 16:04 - Grand Revival - 6th
Market Rasen - 17:30 - Victory Club - 2nd

Place Profits

Selections - Place Profits Plus

There are no selections today.

Selections - New System

Catterick - 13:44 - New Hope Bullet - 1st @ 1.19
Epsom - 14:00 - Commander Straker - 3rd @ 2.28
Bath - 18:20 - Crush And Run - 4th

Selections - Original System

Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Huntingdon - 13:35 - Galahad Threepwood - PU
Catterick - 13:44 - New Hope Bullet - 1st @ 1.19
Goodwood - 17:55 - Zenga - 3rd @ 1.48
Down Royal - 20:20 - The Last Mardi - 1st @ 1.26

Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Huntingdon - 13:35 - Galahad Threepwood - PU

Original System (200% Confidence.)

Catterick - 13:44 - New Hope Bullet - 1st @ 1.19

I have updated the results (6th May 2022) and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.

The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/

Intelligent Betting

Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.

Intelligent Betting has recently has a slight tweak to refine the selections.

In addition, there is also a new Place Betting option.

There were two selections yesterday.

Huntingdon - 16:40 - Steady The Ship - 3rd
Epsom - 17:45 - Saleymm - 5th

Something to make you smile...

Stalin appears to Putin in a dream...

"Why is everything here so bad?" asks Putin, "what can I do to make Russia great again?"

Stalin replies, "Execute half of your population and paint the Kremlin blue."

"Why blue?" asks the inquisitive Putin.

"I knew you wouldn't object to the first part," says Stalin.