Morning News – 2022/07/20

Good morning...

After a massive thunderstorm yesterday morning...

The heatwave seems to have broken over here.

As a result it is far more comfortable getting work done.

I have some admin work to finish off but,

I am also hoping to get on with my One Race a Day - Bet the Race strategy.

Once I have got some more data in he spreadsheet (I don't really need to finish it before sharing it) I'll explain the strategy behind choosing 1 race a day and having Win Bets, Place Bets and Lay Bets on that race.

Currently I am concentrating on those races where historically we have a 100% strike rate for the Lay Bet portion.

Then I shall refine it to give us a 90% strike rate on the Place Bets and so forth.

It'll all make more sense once I can share the underlying spreadsheet.

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Focus Ratings

Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.43%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.67%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20% from all 15 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 31.46 units returned to 41 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -23.27%

Top Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the top rated horses from 14 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.83 units returned to 14 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -29.79%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the second rated horses from 13 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 11.88 units returned to 13 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -8.62%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 14 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.75 units returned to 14 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -30.36%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 7 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 2 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 28.57%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 5.5 units returned to 7 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -21.43%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 7 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 5 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 71.43%

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Investment Betting

There were no Investment Betting selections (using the new R8 based system) yesterday...

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Precision Betting

There were no selections yesterday.

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EarlyBird Ratings

There were two Diamonds and Gold (Platinum) selections yesterday...

Musselburgh - 14:25 - Lady Lavina - 2nd
Mussleburgh - 17:15 - City Wanderer - 6th

Focus Ratings and Place Profit members can subscribe to these selections for free,

Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.

The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.

PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.

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Portfolio Betting

A portfolio of micro systems that...

Work together to produce long term profits.

At the end of every month, the results are analysed and the systems are tweaked to maintain consistency.

There were two selections yesterday.

Musselburgh - 16:45 - The Thin Blue Line - 2nd
Ballinrobe - 18:00 - Lieutenant Highway - 1st @ 2.52 BSP

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Advance Ratings

Advance Ratings...

There were two selections yesterday.

Ballinrobe - 18:00 - Lieutenant Highway - 1st @ 2.52 BSP
Ballinrobe - 20:00 - Duncreevan - 2nd

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Place Profits

Selections - Place Profits Plus

There are no selections today.

Selections - New System

Musselburgh - 16:45 - The Thin Blue Line - 2nd @ 1.58

Selections - Original System

Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Musselburgh - 14:25 - Lady Lavina - 2nd @ 1.27
Musselburg - 17:15 - City Wanderer - 6th

Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Musselburgh - 14:25 - Lady Lavina - 2nd @ 1.27

Original System (200% Confidence.)

There are no selections today.

Results.csv file

I have updated the results (6th May 2022) and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.

The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/

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Intelligent Betting

Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.

Intelligent Betting has recently has a slight tweak to refine the selections.

In addition, there is also a new Place Betting option.

There were no selections yesterday.

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Something to make you smile...

The Smiths had no children and decided to use a proxy father to start their family...

On the day the proxy father was to arrive, Mr.Smith kissed his wife and said, "I'm off. The man should be here soon."

Half an hour later, just by chance, a door-to-door baby photographer rang the doorbell, hoping to make a sale. "Good morning madam. You don't know me but I've come to...."

"Oh, no need to explain. I've been expecting you," Mrs. Smith cut in.

"Really..?" the photographer asked. "Well, good..! I've made a specialty of babies."

"That's what my husband and I had hoped. Please come in and have a seat. Just where do we start..?" asked Mrs. Smith, blushing.

"Leave everything to me. I usually try two in the bathtub, one on the couch and perhaps a couple on the bed. Sometimes the living room floor is fun too; you can really spread out."

"Bathtub, living room floor..? No wonder it didn't work for Harry and me."

"Well, madam, none of us can guarantee a good one every time. But if we try several different positions and I shoot from six or seven angles, I'm sure you'll be pleased with the results."

"I hope we can get this over with quickly," gasped Mrs. Smith.

"Madam, in my line of work, a man must take his time. I'd love to be in and out in five minutes, but you'd be disappointed with that, I'm sure."

"Don't I know!!" Mrs. Smith exclaimed.

The photographer opened his briefcase and pulled out a portfolio of his baby pictures. "This was done on the top of a bus in downtown London."

"Oh my God..!!" Mrs. Smith exclaimed, tugging at her handkerchief.

"And these twins turned out exceptionally well when you consider their mother was so difficult to work with." The photographer handed Mrs. Smith the picture.

"She was difficult ..?" asked Mrs. Smith.

"Yes, I'm afraid so. I finally had to take her to Hyde Park to get the job done right. People were crowding around four and five deep, pushing to get a good look."

"Four and five deep..?" asked Mrs. Smith, eyes widened in amazement.

"Yes", the photographer said. "And for more than three hours too. The mother was constantly squealing and yelling. I could hardly concentrate. Then darkness approached and I began to rush my shots. Finally, when the squirrels began nibbling on my equipment, I just packed it all in."

Mrs. Smith leaned forward. "You mean they actually chewed on your, eh......equipment?"

"That's right. Well madam, if you're ready, I'll set up my tripod so that we can get to work."

"Tripod..??", Mrs. Smith looked extremely worried now.

"Oh Good God Yes..! I have to use a tripod to rest my Canon on.

It's much too big for me to hold while I'm getting ready for action.

Madam..? Madam..?..... Good Lord, she's fainted..!

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Today

Whatever you are up to today...

Stay safe and healthy.

As always...

My kindest regards