Morning News

Good morning...

Another decent day, yesterday...

With the strike rate (for the top rated horse) a smidgin off 30%.

Not such a good day for our new Place Betting strategy with all three selections failing to perform.

However, the good news is that I am close to finishing an improved version of the strategy and should be able to get a post out today to explain this.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 29.17%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.3%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.92% from all 52 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 133.99 units returned to 154 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -12.99%

Top Rated Horse - There were 14 winners from the top rated horses from 48 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 45.49 units returned to 48 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -5.23%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the second rated horses from 52 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 42 units returned to 52 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -19.23%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the third rated horses from 54 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 46.5 units returned to 54 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -13.89%

Forecasts

There were 4 forecasts yesterday.

Down Royal 14:35:00 - The CSF paid £2.90

Newmarket - July 14:45:00 - The CSF paid £3.30

Newmarket - July 15:20:00 - The CSF paid £14.86

Gowran Park 15:55:00 - The CSF paid £5.36

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Newmarket - July 16:00:00 - The CSF paid £8.32

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 5 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Gowran Park 14:15:00 - The Trifecta paid €97.70

Newmarket - July 16:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £14.10

Down Royal 16:15:00 - The Trifecta paid €173.50

Down Royal 16:45:00 - The Trifecta paid €42.50

Lingfield (AW) 20:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £56.30

Winners

From the 51 rated races there were 31 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 9 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Down Royal	14:00	Calm Bay (4)	9.00	12.39
Ayr	14:20	Intiwin (3)	5.50	7.00
Ayr	14:55	Two For Two (2)	5.50	6.13
Down Royal	15:10	Cheers Buddy (8)	8.00	10.00
Down Royal	16:15	Witty Repartee (6)	6.00	7.56
Down Royal	16:45	Lake Champlain (3)	6.00	6.80
Gowran Park	17:40	Hunters Call (3)	7.00	7.46
Newmarket - July	17:55	Them And Us (3)	6.50	8.59
Haydock	18:15	Mr Lupton (4)	8.00	9.80

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Claimers - big priced boys - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Claimer and Horse = Male (Stallion, Colt or Gelding) and the Forecast Starting Price was more than 3

Selection = Back to ISP - Redcar - 16:30:00 - Old Man Clegg (7)

Races (over last year): 22 Wins: 8 Strike Rate: 36.36% ROI: 137.80% AV SP: 3.79

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £83.20

Old Man Clegg came 8th.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 30 rated races from four meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards