Morning News

Good morning...

Strangely enough, I'm a bit disappointed with yesterday's results.

Even if, this time last year, I would have been quite content with them.

However, there were lots of non-runners yesterday and...

The Live Ratings coped with them and brought in a strike rate (for the top rated horse) of 31%.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.92%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 31.03%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 9.09% from all 77 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 73.04 units returned to 76 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -3.89%

Top Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the top rated horses from 26 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.92 units returned to 26 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -19.54%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 23 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 42.12 units returned to 23 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 83.13%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the third rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 10 units returned to 27 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -62.96%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Market Rasen 14:15:00 - The CSF paid £8.37

Fairyhouse 14:55:00 - The CSF paid £8.80

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Fairyhouse 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £6.60

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Market Rasen 14:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £11.00

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Fairyhouse 15:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £14.20

Winners

From the 29 rated races there were 16 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Ayr	15:05	Spokesperson (3)	7.00	9.20
Ayr	16:10	Finn Class (6)	6.00	6.40
Ayr	16:45	Exotic Guest (12)	13.00	15.74
Fairyhouse	17:10	Paddy The Celeb (7)	10.00	14.18
Ayr	17:15	Pabusar (1)	10.00	12.64

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

1). Fairyhouse 14:25 - Anania - unplaced

2). Fairyhouse 16:00 - Zylan - came second. Betfair paid 1.89 for the place.

3). Limerick 17:20 - Thinklike a Shrink - unplaced.

So, we made a loss on the day.

After five days we are running at a strike rate of 30% (6 winners from 18 selections) and have had 20.81 points returned to 18 points staked (assuming a Betfair commission of 5%.)

I've had some feedback on the new place betting strategy for handicap races and am re-thinking the monthly filters. I shall update you on my decision tomorrow.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 34 rated races from five meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards