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I have published a new spreadsheet at http://focusratings.com/docs/R10_multi.xlsx
The original spreadsheet shows how to bet on the top rated horse in the R10 ratings.
The new spreadsheet shows how to have multiple bets on those races.
I have to do this race by race and I am doing it in reverse date order.
It is a very slow process and, working backwards, I am up to the 3rd of October 2020
I shall carry on with this work for the next week or so.
The interesting columns are...
1rw - top rated win
1rp - top rated place
2rp - second rated place
3rp - third rated place
3rl - third rated lay
1rwp - top rated win profit
1rpp - top rated place profit
2rpp - second rated place profit
3rpp - 3rd rated place profit
The object is to define a strategy where the best race of the day is identified and a number of bets placed on that race.
It is far too early to even think about a strategy but one thing is apparent;
There are profits to be made by place betting the second rated horse.
It appears that you were right all along, Robbie T.
In the 17:50 at Kilbeggan - 2020-10-12, the second rated horse came third at a place price of 6.80 giving a profit of 5.684 points.
I am having to update this spreadsheet manually, race by race but...
That's actually not a bad way of doing things as I will get a good feel for those races types that we should be looking at.
Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.67%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25.71%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.86% from all 35 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 50.7 units returned to 97 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -47.73%
Top Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the top rated horses from 30 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 24.5 units returned to 30 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -18.33%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the second rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 15.95 units returned to 33 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -51.67%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the third rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 10.25 units returned to 34 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -69.85%
Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 16 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 25%
Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14.07 units returned to 16 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -12.06%
Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 16 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 9 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 56.25%
Forecasts
There were four Investment Betting selections (using the new R8 based system) yesterday...
Cheltenham - 14:50 - Allaho - 1st @ 1.62 BSP
Down Royal - 16:35 - Samcro - 3rd
Down Royal - 17:15 - Er Dancer - 3rd
Down Royal - 17:50 - Henning - 4th
There was one Diamonds and Gold (Platinum) selection yesterday...
Hexham - 13:45 - Cudgel - 1st @ 5.73 BSP
Focus Ratings and Place Profit members can subscribe to these selections for free,
Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.
The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.
PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.
A portfolio of micro systems that...
Work together to produce long term profits.
At the end of every month, the results are analysed and the systems are tweaked to maintain consistency.
There were no Portfolio Betting selection yesterday.
There were seven selections yesterday.
Down Royal 14:35 - Mise Raftaire (2 points) - NR
Cheltenham - 14:50 - Alloha - 1st @ 1.62 BSP
Down Royal - 15:15 - O'Toole - 3rd
Down Royal - 15:55 - Big Debates - 2nd
Southwell - 16:20 - Maharashtra (3 points) - 1st @ 3.90 BSP
Wolverhampton - 20:00 - Fountain Cross - 1st @ 2.84 BSP
Wolverhampton - 20:30 - Subjective Value - 4th
Selections - Place Profits Plus
Wolverhampton - 20:30 - Subjective Value - 4th
Selections - New System
Cheltenham - 14:50 - Allaho - 1st @ 1.26
Wolverhampton - 18:30 - High Velocity - 3rd @ 1.20
Wolverhampton - 19:00 - Dark Side Prince - NR
Wolverhampton - 19:30 - Queen Aminatu - 1st @ 1.24
Selections - Original System
Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)
Cheltenham - 14:50 - Allaho - 1st @ 1.26
Down Royal - 17:15 - Er Dancer - 3rd
Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)
Cheltenham - 14:50 - Allaho - 1st @ 1.26
Down Royal - 17:15 - Er Dancer - 3rd
Original System (200% Confidence.)
There are no selections today.
I have updated the results (8th February 2022) and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.
The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/
Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.
Intelligent Betting has recently has a slight tweak to refine the selections.
In addition, there is also a new Place Betting option.
The result of that tweak are clear to see...
Talking To God...
A man is talking to God. “God, how long is a million years?”
God answers, “To me, it’s about a minute.”
“God, how much is a million dollars?”
“To me, it’s a penny.”
“God, may I have a penny?”
“Wait a minute.”
Whatever you are up to today...
Stay safe and healthy.
As always...
My kindest regards
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