Morning News

Good morning...

On the face of it...

Not such a stellar day, yesterday.

However, watching the results coming in wasn't such an unenjoyable experience.

We didn't get it quite right but...

We didn't get it so far wrong.

After all, it was a Monday and, I don't know what it is about Mondays but our best days and our worst days, historically, have been Mondays.

I'm sure that there's a reason for that.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.65%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.65%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.14% from all 35 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 64.49 units returned to 99 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -34.86%

Top Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the top rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.98 units returned to 34 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -38.29%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 32.51 units returned to 34 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -4.38%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the third rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 11 units returned to 31 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -64.52%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Roscommon 18:45:00 - The CSF paid £13.78

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Worcester 16:50:00 - The CSF paid £3.95

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Ayr 14:05:00 - The Trifecta paid £80.90

Worcester 15:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £4.10

Roscommon 18:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £45.10

Winners

From the 34 rated races there were 15 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Worcester	14:50	Valleyofmilan (4)	7.00	8.00
Worcester	16:50	Hawdyerwheesht (6)	6.50	7.19
Roscommon	19:45	Panama Hat (2)	6.00	6.29
Windsor	19:55	Lady Marl (1)	9.00	11.93
Roscommon	20:15	Azzuri (1)	5.50	6.60

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - Windsor - 18:25:00 - Edification (4)

Races (over last year): 19 Wins: 10 Strike Rate: 52.63% ROI: 141.05% AV SP: 2.68

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £78.00

Edification was unplaced.

Chancers Bet = Irish Logic - where R4 Status = 1 and the Horse\'s Average R4 is greater than 4.0 and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and where Country = IRE and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner

Selection = Back to ISP - Roscommon - 19:45:00 - Panama Hat (2)

Races (over last year): 11 Wins: 4 Strike Rate: 36.36% ROI: 370.51AV SP: 10.19

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £297.60

Panama Hat won at 6.0 ISP (6.29 BSP.)

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Our selections were...

1). Worcester 16:20 - To Begin - unplaced

2). Ripon 18:35 - Black Diamond Girl - NR

3). Roscommon 19:15 - Torrey Pines - unplaced

4). Ripon 20:35 - Cooper - came 3rd - Betfair paid 1.53 for the place.

5). Roscommon 20:45 - Hudson's Bay - came 3rd - Betfair paid 3.63 for the place.

So, 4.902 points returned to 4 points staked (assuming a Betfair commission of 5%.)

After six days we are running at a strike rate of 36.36% (8 winners from 22 selections) and have had 25.712 points returned to 22 points staked (assuming a Betfair commission of 5%.)

Today

Today's early test ratings show 36 rated races from five meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards