Morning News

Good morning...

You know...

When I was watching the results coming in yesterday,

I knew that the overall strike rate wasn't going to be so good but,

I think that there were only a few races where we got it totally wrong.

I also noticed the forecasts and reverse forecasts.

In fact...

If you have done the forecast in every race yesterday you would have had £40.77 for £35 staked.

And if you have done the reverse forecast in every race yesterday you would have had £94.11 for £70.00 staked.

We only had one Place Betting Strategy selection but...

It came 3rd (and, thus, made us a bit of money.)

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.14%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.95%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20% from all 50 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 86.21 units returned to 107 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -19.43%

Top Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the top rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 16.73 units returned to 35 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -52.2%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the second rated horses from 37 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 40.4 units returned to 37 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 9.19%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the third rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 29.08 units returned to 35 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -16.91%

Forecasts

There were 5 forecasts yesterday.

Catterick 16:00:00 - The CSF paid £9.90

Catterick 14:30:00 - The CSF paid £2.33

Catterick 14:00:00 - The CSF paid £3.84

Catterick 17:00:00 - The CSF paid £20.64

Leicester 20:25:00 - The CSF paid £4.06

Reverse Forecasts

There were 5 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Catterick 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £6.27

Lingfield (AW) 15:20:00 - The CSF paid £3.20

Lingfield (AW) 17:20:00 - The CSF paid £8.58

Sandown 19:45:00 - The CSF paid £15.06

Sandown 20:15:00 - The CSF paid £20.23

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Catterick 16:00:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £17.80

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Catterick 16:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £48.40

Lingfield (AW) 17:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £16.90

Winners

From the 39 rated races there were 23 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Bath	14:10	Azure Amour (6)	6.00	6.82
Catterick	17:00	Pertuis (2)	6.00	6.04
Naas	19:35	Letters Of Note (8)	7.00	8.60
Sandown	19:45	Chevallier (5)	5.50	6.60
Sandown	20:15	Strawberry Martini (4)	5.50	5.70

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - Naas - 18:25:00 - Lord Carleton (3)

Races (over last year): 20 Wins: 9 Strike Rate: 45.00% ROI: 121.50% AV SP: 2.70

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £43.00

Lord Carleton came 10th.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Sandown 19:10 - Et Toi - 3rd. Betfair paid 2.24 for the place.

I have updated the spreadsheet of all of the results. It may be found at... http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJuly.xls

We made 1.178 points on the day and are currently running at a profit of 9.67245 points for the last 22 days.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 48 rated races from seven meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards