Morning News

Good morning...

Not too much to say about yesterday...

A reasonable strike rate (for the top rated horse) of 36.36%.

Our Bankers Bet lost but our Chancers Bet won at 18.0 ISP (23.57 BSP.)

We only got 2 out of 5 for the Place Betting Strategy but, in the 4th race of the day we got a placed horse that paid 7.6 for the place and, thus, we'd made a profit on the day just from that one.

The other one was just an added extra.

If you'd done the forecast in every race, you would have had £73.92 returned to £35.00 staked (in other words, you'd have doubled your money.)

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 36.36%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 34.29%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 34.29% from all 35 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 82.54 units returned to 99 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -16.63%

Top Rated Horse - There were 12 winners from the top rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 51.44 units returned to 33 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 55.88%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the second rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17.1 units returned to 32 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -46.56%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 14 units returned to 34 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -58.82%

Forecasts

There were 5 forecasts yesterday.

Ayr 14:30:00 - The CSF paid £23.18

Ayr 16:40:00 - The CSF paid £9.82

Southwell (AW) 19:10:00 - The CSF paid £20.27

Galway 20:20:00 - The CSF paid £9.61

Southwell (AW) 20:45:00 - The CSF paid £11.04

Reverse Forecasts

There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Newton Abbot 16:55:00 - The CSF paid £9.74

Windsor 20:35:00 - The CSF paid £6.17

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Galway 20:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £30.10

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Galway 17:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £10.10

Winners

From the 35 rated races there were 18 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 4 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Ayr	17:40	Dolphin Rock (3)	8.50	8.86
Windsor	18:30	Shakerattlenroll (12)	17.00	23.57
Southwell (AW)	18:40	Putin (5)	12.00	16.50
Southwell (AW)	19:10	Heavens Eyes (1)	5.50	5.80

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = NH Chase - Mares who are top rated and came 3rd last time out. - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Chase and Horse = Mare and where Position last time out = Third

Selection = Back to ISP - Newton Abbot - 15:15:00 - Kimora (5)

Races (over last year): 17 Wins: 6 Strike Rate: 35.29% ROI: 235.38% AV SP: 6.67

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £230.20

Kimora came 7th.

Chancers Bet = High priced Beaten Favs on the Flat - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse was a Beaten Favourite and the Forecast Starting Price was more than 7.5

Selection = Back to ISP - Windsor - 18:30:00 - Shakerattlenroll (12)

Races (over last year): 8 Wins: 2 Strike Rate: 25.00% ROI: 312.50AV SP: 12.50

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £170.00

Shakerattlenroll won at 17.0 ISP (23.57 BSP.)

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Ayr 14:00:00 - Teepee Time - Unplaced
Newton Abbot 14:15:00 - Lee Side Lady - Unplaced
Newton Abbot 14:45:00 - Almagest - Came 3rd. Betfair paid 7.6 for the place
Galway 17:15:00 - Neverushacon - Came 3rd. Betfair paid 1.93 for the place
Windsor 18:30:00 - Trikingdom - Unplaced

I have updated the spreadsheet of all of the results. It may be found at... http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJuly.xls

We made a profit of 5.1035 points on the day and are currently running at a profit of 12.53995 points for the last 27 days.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 33 rated races from five meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards