Morning News

Good morning...

I suppose that the highlight of the day should have been the 14:20 at Haydock where we got the Tricast/Trifecta in an 11 horse handicap.

The Tricast paid £287.56 - The Trifecta paid £404.70

However, for me the the real jewel was the 14:50 at Redcar where our first PBS selection won at 5.80 which meant...

That the other two PBS selections could take the day off and we'd still be in profit for the day.

Unfortunately, our other two PBS selections did just that!

Obviously, you would have been in profit yesterday had you blindly done the forecast in every race,

Or the reverse forecast, come to that.

Or the trifecta.

And the same goes for the combination trifecta.

I did think that I would be moaning about the high number of non-runners yesterday (there were a lot of them and they really mess up my ratings) but...

After the above results, it would seem churlish to complain.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.89%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.66%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.66% from all 47 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 115.77 units returned to 131 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -11.63%

Top Rated Horse - There were 13 winners from the top rated horses from 45 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 47.68 units returned to 45 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 5.96%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the second rated horses from 45 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 34.84 units returned to 45 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -22.58%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the third rated horses from 41 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 33.25 units returned to 41 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -18.9%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Haydock 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £45.25

Redcar 15:55:00 - The CSF paid £14.99

Newmarket - July 16:10:00 - The CSF paid £2.50

Reverse Forecasts

There were 6 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Ascot 14:40:00 - The CSF paid £31.64

Newmarket - July 15:35:00 - The CSF paid £7.04

Newmarket - July 17:15:00 - The CSF paid £4.98

Kilbeggan 18:00:00 - The CSF paid £3.57

Ayr 19:40:00 - The CSF paid £18.85

Ayr 20:40:00 - The CSF paid £8.23

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Haydock 14:20:00 - The Tricast paid £287.56 - The Trifecta paid £404.70

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Haydock 14:55:00 - The Tricast paid £6.60

Redcar 17:25:00 - The Tricast paid £11.59 - The Trifecta paid £25.10

Lingfield (AW) 20:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £10.20

Winners

From the 47 rated races there were 28 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 6 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Ascot	14:40	Halation (7)	6.00	7.43
Redcar	14:50	Gypsy Major (3)	19.00	5.80
Redcar	15:20	Rodrigo De Torres (3)	7.50	7.40
Lingfield (AW)	19:20	Hibou (3)	7.00	9.20
Lingfield (AW)	19:50	Azilian (4)	6.00	7.80
Kilbeggan	20:00	Valours Minion (10)	5.50	5.94

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = High priced Beaten Favs on the Flat - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse was a Beaten Favourite and the Forecast Starting Price was more than 7.5

Selection = Back to ISP - Haydock - 15:25:00 - Crowleys Law (2)

Races (over last year): 8 Wins: 3 Strike Rate: 37.50% ROI: 525.00% AV SP: 14.00

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £340.00

Crowley's Law came third.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Redcar 14:50:00 - Gypsy Major - 1st Betfair paid 5.80 for the place.
Kilbeggan 17:30:00 - Change of Address - Unplaced
Kilbeggan 19:00:00 - Dutchesofrathmolyn - Unplaced

I have updated the spreadsheet of all of the results. It may be found at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSAug.xls

We made a profit of 2.56 points on the day and have made a profit of 1.2355 points for August.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 1.73568 points on the day and have made a profit of 2.267232 points for August.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 27 rated races from four meetings.

As I'm feeling chirpy...

A little joke.

There was an explosion at a local smelly cheese factory yesterday.

All that remains is de Brie.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards