Focus Ratings is a Uk and Irish Horse Racing ratings service designed to aid you and help you narrow the field so that you can concentrate on the real contenders. Our completely computerised analysis system selects the top three rated horses from each race and sends out the ratings every day at 10:00 a.m.  Wonderful results and an excellent strike rate.  Use Focus Ratings to win more money and make more profits from British and Irish Horse Racing.  The only horse racing system you'll ever need.

Morning News – 26/06/2021

6620418Good morning...

Whilst working on Easy Track at Intelligent Betting yesterday I tripped over something very interesting.

I had added in a filter to allow you to refine your alerts to different Race Codes. This might be useful to you if you are only interested in Black Beauty when he is running on Flat Turf but not too bothered when he runs on Flat All Weather (or, perhaps, over Hurdles.)

I then wondered about Recent Returners. What about a Trainer who has a habit of running a horse again soon after its last race to good effect.

So, I cut a spreadsheet (you can see it here... recent_returners.xlsx) based upon Intelligent Betting's top rated horse on RSR (Really Simple Ratings.)

Now, I'm not going to go into too much detail explaining the spreadsheet; if you read it left to right it should all make sense.

1). Tab 1 shows the core data (top rated horse on RSR)

2). Tab 2 shows the analysis of those horse that have last run 14 days and less and 7 days and less.

3). Because I had colour coded the spreadsheet, it was obvious that there was some trend towards those horses it was the Trainer's only horse in the meeting or the Jockey's only ride in the meeting (or both.)

4). Tab 5 shows those horses that have run in the last 14 days (or less) since their last run and are those horses which are their Trainer's only horse in the meeting or the Jockey's only ride in the meeting (or both.)

5). Tab 6 shows the analysis of those races with reference to the Percentage RSR (the number of horses in the race that I can actually rate.)

The colour coding helps and Tab 7 shows those horses which are their Trainer's only horse in the meeting or the Jockey's only ride in the meeting (or both) but have also run in the last 14 days or less and are now running in a race where RSR can rate at least 40% of the horses in that race.

6). Tab 8 shows some Race Type analysis of those selections and shows that we can expect the following...

Strike Rate: 25.79%

Races/Week: 8.35

POI (Profit on Stakes): 56.65%

Points Profit per year: 227 (to BSP)

7). Tab 9 shows some Race Type and Class analysis of those selections.

Now, with RSR (Really Simple Ratings) the accuracy of the ratings increases with the Price Money Value/Class of the race.

If we include Class into our equation this shows that we can expect the following...

Strike Rate: 27.96%

Races/Week: 6.70

POI (Profit on Stakes): 77.06%

Points Profit per year: 254 (to BSP)

Now, I have to talk to Roy to see if we trial this system on the forum at Intelligent Betting.

But I've also got to test the same principles on the Focus Ratings R8 and the new R9 ratings to see if we get the same (or, even better) results.

I shall be working through the weekend to make this happen; thus, there will be a Morning News tomorrow (and bugger my lie in!)

As far as Intelligent Betting is concerned...

Over the weekend I shall finish Easy Track.

Today I shall write the script to send out the Alerts.

Tomorrow that script will run but, I will be the only recipient of that email.

I will take a look at tomorrow's races and set up some temporary Alerts.

If I get the anticipated email (and Alerts) on Sunday then I will open up the script so that any of you who have alerts will also get a 3am email with your Alerts from Monday.

Then, once that is done, I shall move onto Easy Stake.

I have this idea that we should stake our bets according to the probability of those bets being successful.

For the next month I shall use the Focus Ratings Investment Betting selections to attempt to show that, by using Easy Stake, you actually make more money by varying your stakes accordingly to the relative Reward/Risk Ratio of every bet.

I will be showing the details at Intelligent Betting but I'll also be reporting on the results at Focus Ratings on the Morning News.


Task List...

In order to be honest and truly transparent with you...

I will now be publishing my task list on the Morning News.

You will be able to see what I am working on and, more importantly, what progress I am making.

Here are the current tasks...

T01). Work out a number of strategies to utilise R9 and provide Focus Rating members free Portfolio Betting selections across a number of different betting strategies (win backing, place backing, dutching, laying and, the other thing that I described that I don't know what it is called) on a daily basis.

T02). For Compass Ratings, display, on screen and via a email PDF, the twice weekly updated trainer/jockey win/place strike rates.

T03). For Compass Ratings, complete the eBook that explains all the weird and wonderful things that I have learned about Hong Kong Horse racing.

T04). Complete PaperTradeIt.com - a free site where you can privately log your bets and get Strike Rate, POI (to ISP and BSP) data and losing run analysis on those bets.

I'm trying to knock off the easy/quick jobs first in order to reduce the size of the list; the size of the list scares me sometimes and, believe me, I have twice as many jobs on the Admin/BAU (Business As Usual - things like automated scripts, backups and server log file analysis - stuff that all website owners have to do) task list to get through as well.


Focus Ratings

Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.09%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 14% from all 50 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 55.86 units returned to 69 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -19.04%

Top Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the top rated horses from 23 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 28.36 units returned to 23 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 23.3%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the second rated horses from 23 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 10.62 units returned to 23 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -53.83%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 23 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 16.88 units returned to 23 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -26.61%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 8 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 1 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 12.5%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 3 units returned to 8 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, -62.5%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 8 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 4 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 50%


A pen and a magnifying glass focusing on a chart.

Investment Betting

There were six Investment Betting selections (using the new R8 based system) yesterday...

Yarmouth - 13:00 - Passional - 2nd

Yarmouth - 13:30 - Pure Charmer - 10th

Cartmel - 14:25 - Skandiburg - AB

Doncaster - 17:10 - Cometh The Man -2nd

Cartmel - 17:20 - Alqamar - AB

Chester - 17:55 - Melody Of Life - 1st @ 2.20 ISP (2.29 BSP)

This is what the recent proofed results look like...

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Click on the image to see it full size.


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EarlyBird Ratings

There were two Diamonds and Gold (Platinum) selections yesterday...

Cartmel - 13:50 - Say Nothing - AB

Newcastle - 19:20 - Lilac Road - 9th

This is what the recent proofed results look like...

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Click on the image to see it full size.

Focus Ratings members can subscribe to these selections for free,

Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.

The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.

PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.

You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html


Compass-Ratings

Compass Ratings

Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meetings a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.

There is a meeting at Sha Tin today.

The ratings for that meeting were be sent out yesterday.

If you are not a Compass Ratings member (it's free to Focus Ratings, Early Bird Rating and Place Profits members - you just have to ask to be added to the list) but want to try it out, send me an email.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.


advance

Advance Ratings

Advance Ratings...

Cartmel - 17:20 - Alqamar - AB


spotlight-ratings

Spotlight Ratings

Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.


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Ante Post Ratings

Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.

Currently Listed...

16th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 1 (5 races rated.)

17th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 2 (5 races rated.)

18th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 3 (4 races rated.)

19th March 2021 – Cheltenham - Day 4 (5 races rated.)

27th March 2021 – Doncaster – 15:10 – Unibet Lincoln – Class 2

New - 10th April – 2021 – Aintree – 17:15 – Randox Grand National Handicap Chase – Class 1

22nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 19:15 – Tattersalls 2,000 Guineas – Group 1

23nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 16:00 – Tattersalls 1,000 Guineas – Group 1

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.



Place Profits

Selections - New System

Yarmouth - 13:00 - Passional - 2nd @ 1.53
Yarmouth - 13:30 - Pure Charmer - 10th
Yarmouth - 16:20 - Imperial Yellow - 2nd @ 1.11
Yarmouth - 16:53 - The Kings Steed - 9th
Cartmel - 17:20 - Alqamar - AB
Newcastle - 20:25 - Wishaah - 2nd @ 1.18

Selections - Original System

Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Cartmel - 13:50 - Say Nothing - AB
Cartmel - 17:20 - Alqamar - AB

Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

Cartmel - 13:50 - Say Nothing - AB
Cartmel - 17:20 - Alqamar - AB

Original System (200% Confidence.)

Cartmel - 17:20 - Alqamar - AB

I have updated the results (20th June 2021) and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.

The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/


intelligent

Intelligent Betting

Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.

A number of systems are combined to create system selections.

march

Click on the image to see it full size.


Something to make you smile...


The Ten Commandments...

The real reason that we can't have the Ten Commandments posted in a courthouse is this:

You cannot post "Thou Shalt Not Steal," "Thou Shalt Not Commit Adultery," and "Thou Shall Not Lie" in a building full of lawyers, judges and politicians...

It creates a hostile work environment.


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Today

Whatever you are up to today...

Stay safe and healthy.

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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