Morning News

Good morning...

Well, I go out for the day and...

We have a disaster of a day at the races!

In fact, I'm quite glad that I went out for the day rather than sitting at home watching the results come in.

Watching the results come in must have been even more painful than my sunburn.

Which, once again, is pretty painful.

What is it about mad dogs and Englishmen that makes us go to the beach at the height of the mid-day sun?

And, for those of you who are interested...

The sandcastle was slightly too ambitious and, to put it into horse racing terms, fell at the first fence; I blame it on the Going although the problem was actually the wrong type of sand.

That's my excuse, anyway.

I can't do any work today as I have an update scheduled for Monday and I don't want anything to interfere with that and...

As I really don't want to sit at home and watch the results come in (after yesterday), Jill & I are going fishing instead.

Anyway, enough of that, I guess that we'll have to get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 9.3%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 10.34%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 10.87% from all 46 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 103.84 units returned to 125 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -16.93%

Top Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the top rated horses from 43 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 12.25 units returned to 43 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -71.51%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 14 winners from the second rated horses from 40 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 60.59 units returned to 40 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 51.48%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the third rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 31 units returned to 42 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -26.19%

Forecasts

There were 0 forecasts yesterday.

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Wolverhampton (AW) 18:50:00 - The CSF paid £10.18

Salisbury 19:05:00 - The CSF paid £7.76

Wolverhampton (AW) 20:50:00 - The CSF paid £4.15

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 5 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Sandown 14:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £125.70

Bangor-on-Dee 15:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £22.50

Salisbury 17:35:00 - The Trifecta paid £87.70

Killarney 17:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £14.40

Wolverhampton (AW) 20:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £13.00

Winners

From the 44 rated races there were 22 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 7 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
York	13:55	Memorial Day (17)	8.00	7.15
York	15:05	Fadhayyil (18)	6.00	6.47
York	15:40	Meccas Angel (18)	8.50	9.60
Salisbury	17:35	Als Memory (1)	13.00	16.70
Wolverhampton (AW)	18:50	Robero (4)	6.00	6.72
Killarney	19:00	Pace And Passion (9)	9.00	12.46
Wolverhampton (AW)	19:20	Idol Deputy (6)	9.00	10.52

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet_ yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - York - 16:20:00 - Palmetto Dunes (8)

Races (over last year): 26 Wins: 11 Strike Rate: 42.31% ROI: 125.66% AV SP: 2.97

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £66.70

Palmetto Dunes came twelth.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Sandown 16:05:00 - Cosmeapolitan - Unplaced
Killarney 16:50:00 - Flirt - Unplaced
Kilbeggan 17:10:00 - Kanjo - Unplaced
Killarney 17:55:00 - Avizare - 2nd - Betfair paid 1.72 for the place.
Kilbeggan 18:10:00 - Rathmuck Native - Unplaced
Wolverhampton 19:50:00 - Madame Barker - 2nd - Betfair paid 2.48 for the place.
Kilarney 20:00:00 - Cliffside Park - Unplaced
Kilbeggan 20:10:00 - Shantelle - Unplaced

I have updated the spreadsheet of all of the results. It may be found at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSAug.xls

We made a loss of 3.91 points on the day and have made a loss of 6.269 points for August.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 2.65098 points on the day and have made a loss of 4.989402 points for August.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy we made a loss of 2.436732 points on the day and have made a loss of 4154445 points for August.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 60 rated races from nine meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards