Morning News

Good morning...

A so, so day with no stand out elements that I can really talk about.

However, the good news is that the first part of the last stage of the Speed Ratings was put into place yesterday and,

If it has worked (and I won't know until the ratings come out), then I shall be able to move those calculations from 10am to 4am.

This will mean that the ratings will come out between 30 to 40 minutes earlier than they normally do.

It will also allow me to implement a Horse Lookup page where you can see the past ratings (normal and speed) for any horse.

Ideally, I shall also be able to plot a graph on that page, showing the changes in speed ratings for a horse.

And, no that this work has been done...

For those of you who have been very patient, I shall also be able to produce the SPeed Ratings in CSV format.

Anyway, that all depends on whether yesterday's work worked. Let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.88%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.22%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.03% from all 59 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 94.26 units returned to 96 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -1.81%

Top Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the top rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 27.63 units returned to 32 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -13.66%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the second rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 44.38 units returned to 33 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 34.48%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 22.25 units returned to 31 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -28.23%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Brighton 15:45:00 - The CSF paid £8.56

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Chepstow 16:30:00 - The CSF paid £8.80

Fontwell 18:50:00 - The CSF paid £4.44

Newbury 19:40:00 - The CSF paid £24.62

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 1 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Brighton 15:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £5.40

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Chepstow 14:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £39.00

Brighton 16:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £22.70

Fontwell 18:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £3.70

Winners

From the 36 rated races there were 22 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 6 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Brighton	15:15	Boutan (5)	9.00	11.60
Brighton	16:45	Welsh Inlet (4)	5.50	6.76
Ballinrobe	16:55	He Is Top Class (4)	7.00	9.10
Newbury	18:40	Gold Prince (6)	7.00	8.00
Newbury	19:10	Italian Beauty (9)	6.50	6.80
Newbury	19:40	Be Bold (1)	5.50	5.97

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Unique Jockey and Trainer - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner and Horse had a Unique Jockey and Horse had a Unique trainer and Horse has NOT changed in Class

Selection = Back to ISP - Chepstow - 17:00:00 - Edge (7)

Races (over last year): 15 Wins: 4 Strike Rate: 26.67% ROI: 114.41% AV SP: 4.29

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £21.60

Edge came fifth.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Ballinrobe 16:25:00 - Sam King - NR
Newbury 16:40:00 - Et Toi - Unplaced
Fontwell 17:20:00 - Rothman - 1st - Betfair paid 1.49 for the place.

I have updated the spreadsheet of all of the results. It may be found at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSAug.xls

We made a loss of 0.5345 points on the day and have made a loss of 11.8035 points for August.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 0.268827 points on the day and have made a loss of 10.144575 points for August.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy there were no selections yesterday and have made a loss of 5.510445 points for August.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 43 rated races from six meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards