Morning News

Good morning...

Well, what a horrible day. yesterday.

I'm not sure why that was as we seemed to get most races almost right but...

Not just "quite" right.

As I've mentioned before,

I'm very interested in why some days are good days (like Monday, where we had a 33.33% strike rate) and,

Yesterday when we had a strike rate of half of that.

There must be some sort of mathematical reason for it but until I've found out what it is...

I'm sort or banging my head on the desk!

Anyway, that's giving me a headache so let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 16.13%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 17.65%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 14.29% from all 35 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 52.41 units returned to 96 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -45.41%

Top Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the top rated horses from 31 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 19.75 units returned to 31 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -36.29%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 15.66 units returned to 33 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -52.55%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 17 units returned to 32 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -46.87%

Forecasts

There were 0 forecasts yesterday.

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Gowran Park 16:55:00 - The CSF paid £12.91

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Worcester 17:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £71.20

Winners

From the 34 rated races there were 13 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 2 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Lingfield	14:30	Sir Theodore (6)	9.00	10.50
Worcester	17:40	Miss Tenacious (3)	7.00	8.09

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = All Weather Wonders - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 28 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60% and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is September or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Lingfield (AW) - 16:30:00 - Loving Your Work (1)

Races (over last year): 57 Wins: 34 Strike Rate: 59.65% ROI: 189.09% AV SP: 3.17

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £507.80

Loving your Work obviously didn't love my work as he came third.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Lingfield 14:00:00 - Guapo Bay - Unplaced
Lingfield 15:00:00 - Ormering - NR
Lingfield 15:30:00 - Secret Palace - Unplaced
Southwell 15:40:00 - Jimmy Shan - 3rd - Betfair paid 3.55 for the place.
Gowran Park 17:55:00 - Alertness - Unplaced
Gowran Park 19:25:00 - Lady Mamelo - Unplaced

The spreadsheet of all of the resultsis available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSSept.xls

We made a loss of 1.5775 points on the day and have made a loss of 1.5773 points for August.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 0.10509 points on the day and have made a profit of 0.10509 points for August.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 0.10509 points on the day and have made a loss of 0.10509 points for August.

Something to make you smile

I've an ambition to buy three race horses and call them "First" "Second" and "Third" and then enter them all in the same race.

They may not win but the commentary would be brilliant.

My ex girlfriend sent me a text message from Ascot earlier asking me to pick a horse for her to bet on.

So I sent a text back.

She just rang me saying that "Bugger off you lazy cow" didn't even run.

A jockey was riding the favourite at a race meeting, and was well ahead of the field.

His horse rounded the final corner, when suddenly the jockey was hit on the head by a turkey and a string of sausages.

He managed to keep control of his mount and pulled back into the lead, only to be struck by a box of Christmas crackers and a dozen mince pies as he went over the last fence.

With great skill he managed to steer the horse to the front of the field once more when, on the run in, he was struck on the head by a bottle of sherry and a Christmas pudding. Thus distracted, he succeeded in coming only second.

He immediately went to the race stewards to complain that he had been seriously hampered...

Today

Today's early test ratings show 35 rated races from five meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards