Morning News

Good morning...

Not too sure what to say about yesterday.

It started very well but went a bit pear shaped as the day went on.

Likewise, I had high hopes for the Place Betting Strategy but there were 2 non runners out of the 8 selections which didn't help.

Still, we can console ourselves with the fact that England won at football.

And I have a good joke to share with you (Thanks to Derek M.) even if I did have to read it twice before I understood it!

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 20.41%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 19.61%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.64% from all 53 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 93.96 units returned to 145 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -35.2%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 49 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 26.86 units returned to 49 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -45.18%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the second rated horses from 47 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 18 units returned to 47 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -61.7%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the third rated horses from 49 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 49.1 units returned to 49 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 0.2%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Navan 14:25:00 - The CSF paid £3.13

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Wolverhampton (AW) 18:30:00 - The CSF paid £22.17

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Navan 14:25:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £9.20

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Thirsk 15:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £36.90

Wolverhampton (AW) 18:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £34.30

Winners

From the 51 rated races there were 20 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 6 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Haydock	15:10	Maljaa (2)	6.00	9.19
Navan	15:35	Three Bells (4)	7.00	8.42
Haydock	16:20	Receding Waves (1)	13.00	18.48
Navan	16:45	Venezia (3)	6.00	7.92
Ascot	17:10	Light And Shade (7)	7.00	7.40
Navan	17:20	Snap Click (17)	17.00	24.00

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Irish Logic - where R4 Status = 1 and the Horse\'s Average R4 is greater than 4.0 and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and where Country = IRE and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner

Selection = Back to ISP - Navan - 17:50:00 - Van Schaick (14)

Races (over last year): 10 Wins: 4 Strike Rate: 40.00% ROI: 445.20% AV SP: 11.13

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £345.20

Van Schaick came fourth.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Ascot 13:40:00 - Christchurch -3rd - Betfair paid 3.27 for the place.
Thirsk 13:55:00 - Mr Globetrotter - NR
Thirsk 14:30:0 - Ronnie Baird - 3rd - Betfair paid 1.60 for the place.
Stratford 14:40:00 - Fuzzy Logic - Unplaced
Kempton 14:55:00 - Southdown Lad - Unplaced
Ascot 16:00:00 - Manton Grange - 3rd - Betfair paid 5.96 for the place.
Thirsk 16:50:00 - Hawkin - Unplaced
Wolverhampton 20:00:00 - Geordan Murphy -NR

The spreadsheet of all of the resultsis available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSSept.xls

We made a profit of 4.4385 points on the day and have made a profit of 3.801 points for September.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 0.683763 points on the day and have made a loss of 0.140007 points for September.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 0.089157 points on the day and have made a loss of 0.548841 points for September.

Something to make you smile...

Help at the roadside...

People often complain about the police, but you rarely hear about the positive things they do, such as this incident involving a biker and a frozen carburetor.

Last January on a bitterly cold winter's day, a North Dakota State Trooper on patrol came upon a motorcyclist who was stalled by the roadside. The biker was swathed in heavy protective clothing and wearing a full-face helmet to protect the face from the cold weather.

“What’s the matter?" asked the Trooper

"Carburettor's frozen," was the terse reply.

"Pee on it. That'll thaw it out."

"I can't," said the biker.

"OK, watch me closely and I'll show you." The Trooper unzipped and promptly warmed the carburetor as promised.

Moments later the bike started and the rider drove off, waving.

A few days later, the local State Troopers’ office received a note of thanks from the father of the motorcyclist.

It began: "On behalf of my daughter Jill..."

Today

Today's early test ratings show 22 rated races from three meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards