Focus Ratings is a Uk and Irish Horse Racing ratings service designed to aid you and help you narrow the field so that you can concentrate on the real contenders. Our completely computerised analysis system selects the top three rated horses from each race and sends out the ratings every day at 10:00 a.m.  Wonderful results and an excellent strike rate.  Use Focus Ratings to win more money and make more profits from British and Irish Horse Racing.  The only horse racing system you'll ever need.

Morning News – 29/01/2021

6620418Good morning...

An early start for me today as...

I have discovered a problem with a very small part of the background code that does overnight updates for Focus Ratings.

This doesn't affect the ratings in any way, it just isn't doing an admin job that it should be doing.

I have fixed the problem but I now have to go through 6 month's of data to update that data.

On another point...

I got a lot of work done on R8 yesterday.

I have cut a spreadsheet that just show R8=4 races.

These are races where the top rated horse on Focus Ratings is also the top rated horse on Advance Ratings (two ratings services that compute the ratings in mathematically totally different ways.)

But, also, the second rated horse is also second rated by both ratings and the third rated horse is third rated on both ratings and the fourth rated horse is fourth rated by by ratings.

These should be incredibly accurate ratings.

In fact, if you were to blindly back the top rated horse in every R8=4 race, you would make a profit to ISP; not much of one but, a profit none the less.

If you take out the unprofitable race types, you end up with 6 or 7 races a month with a 49% strike rate and a profit on stakes of 24% to ISP.

I have also looked at dutching the R8=4 races.

By filtering out the unprofitable race types, it is very easy to get 2 races a week with a 90% strike rate if you dutch the top four rated horses.

Now, I still need to test what happens if you dutch the top three rated horses (or the top two rated horses) and work out the profits to BSP.

Then I need to look at Place Betting the top rated horse and, also, the possibility of laying the second or third rated horse should the price be low enough to be attractive.

Then I need to "rinse and repeat" and do exactly the same for R8=3 races (and then R8=2 and R8=1 races.)

Can you see what I'm aiming for?

I want to create a portfolio of micro systems that, combined, will give perhaps 4 or 5 selections a day; some of them win bets, some of them place bets, some of them dutching bets and some of them lay bets.

Then, on a daily basis, I will publish a PDF that shows all the races where R8 is not zero.

You'll be able to see if the race is an R8=1 or R8=2 (and so forth) by seeing how many rated horses are displayed for that race.

Then, on the next page, I will show any system selections that come from those races.

Finally, there will be a page (or two) which explains those systems.

I intend to use these selections to replace the current Portfolio selections; I wrote those back in 2015/2015 and I'm pretty sure that no-one is using them any more.

Now, the spreadsheet is a bit messy at the moment (my spreadsheets tend to be messy before I tidy them up into a publishable format) but, if you want to take a look, email me and I'll send you a copy. You just have to remember that it is a work in progress.

Below is a screenshot from the primary data tab.

R8

This shows the top four rated horses for every race (from the start of January 2016) which is R8=4 rated.

The columns you need to look at are...

R4s - this show the ratings status; if R4s is 1 (and in green) that means that it is the top rated horse in that race.

Result show the position of that horse (green if a winner) - just take a peek at how many times the top rated horse wins.

D2W shows the result from dutching the top two rated horses.

D3W shows the result from dutching the top three rated horses.

D4W shows the result from dutching the top four rated horses.

They will say Yes (and have a green background) if successful.

As you can see, every R8=4 race for the first 7 weeks of 2016 could have been successfully dutched had you dutched the top four rated horses.

It might have been cheaper to have dutch just the top three rated horses in the same races as you would have been able to do so successfully in 10 out of the 11 races.

Now, obviously it would be worth looking at some filters (such as number of runners or specific race types) even if that means less selections.

That won't matter as we'll end up with a number of strategies for R8=4 raves but also another set of strategies for R8=3 races and so forth.

That will mean that we may end up with multiple bets on the same race. That's how I do my betting in France; I place up to 14 bets on a single race - but, a very carefully selected race. Last year was a very weird year for betting and I only ended up betting on about 50 races (normally it would be about 180 races - to be honest, I was busy doing other things and with the bar/PMU/bookies being under restrictions, it just wasn't as much fun as it used to be.)

From those 50 or so races, I lost money (only a few euros) on three of those races.

Can you see why I'm so excited about R8?


Focus Ratings

focus

Yesterday's Results

Here are the results in the Traffic Light Results PDF format... Yesterday's Traffic Light Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 32.14%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 19.44% from all 36 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 71.64 units returned to 77 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -6.96%

Top Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the top rated horses from 25 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 24.13 units returned to 25 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -3.48%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the second rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 44.63 units returned to 27 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 65.3%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 1 winners from the third rated horses from 25 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 2.88 units returned to 25 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -88.48%

Non Handicap Races - Top Rated Horse - There were 7 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 2 Top Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for Top Rated Horses) was 28.57%

Top Rated Horse - If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 8.5 units returned to 7 units staked. The Top Rated Non-Handicap Profit Index was, thus, 21.43%

Non Handicap Races - Top Three Rated Horses - There were 7 non-handicap races yesterday. From these races there were 6 Top Three Rated winners. Thus, the Strike Rate (for the Top Three Rated Horses) was 85.71%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Newcastle (AW) 15:40:00 - The CSF paid £10.38

Investment Betting

There were four Investment Betting selections yesterday...

Wetherby - 13:02 - Machios - AB

Gowran Park - 14:20 - Burrows Saint - 6th

Wetherby - 15:45 - Unohu - AB

Gowran Park - 16:00 - Rebel Gold - 1st @ 5.0 ISP (5.98 BSP)


eb

EarlyBird Ratings

There were three Diamonds and Gold selections yesterday...

Gowran Park - 14:20 - Kilfenora - 8th

Wetherby - 14:37 - Darksideoftarnside - AB

Wetherby - 15:45 - Unohu - AB

Focus Ratings members can subscribe to these selections for free,

Just send me a mail and I'll set it up.

The selections normally come out about 5:30pm the evening before the day of the race.

PlaceProfits.com members - if you wish to receive the EarlyBird Ratings Diamond and Gold selections until the racing settles down and we start getting Place Profits selections again, just email me and I'll put you on the list.

You can see the independently proofed results for the EarlyBird Ratings Diamonds and Gold selections here... https://www.racing-index.com/tipsters/proofed/ebr-diamondsandgold.html


Compass-Ratings

Compass Ratings

Compass Ratings supplies horse racing ratings for the two meeting a week at Happy Valley and Sha Tin.

There is a meeting at Sha Tin on Sunday.

I will be compiling the ratings for that today.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Compass Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.


advance

Advance Ratings

Advance Ratings had a dissapointing day yesterday...

12.53 - Fakenham - Imperial Nemesis - 7th

2.37 - Wetherby - Sartene's Son - AB

3.45 - Wetherby - Unohu - AB

4.05 - Fakenham - First Assembly - 2nd

4.30 - Gowran Park - Hara Kiri - 3rd

4.50 - Newcastle - Van Dijk - 9th

7.30 - Newcastle - Sharrabang - 1st @ 4.50 ISP


spotlight-ratings

Spotlight Ratings

Spotlight Ratings are ratings for International Graded, Group and Listed races.

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.


27e164c0767bb5fcf74c98f871ba8524--gold-chains-opera

Ante Post Ratings

Ante Post Ratings supplies advance ratings for top grade UK and Irish racing.

Currently Listed...

31st October 2020 – Down Royal (IRE) – 14:25 – Ladbrooks Champion Chase – Grade 1

1st November 2020 – Naas (IRE) – 14:35 – Irish Stallion Farms EBF Athasi Stakes – Group 3

3rd November 2020 – Flemmington (AUS) – 16:00 – Lexus Melbourne Cup – Group 1

22nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 19:15 – Tattersalls 2,000 Guineas – Group 1

23nd May 2021 – Curragh (IRE) – 16:00 – Tattersalls 1,000 Guineas – Group 1

Focus Ratings, EarlyBird Ratings and Place Profits members can subscribe to Spotlight Ratings for free.

Just email me and I'll set up your account.

Please let me know which service you currently subscribe to.



Place Profits

Selections - New System

There are no selections today.

Selections - Original System

Original System (without the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

There are no selections today.

Original System (with the recent refinement to improve Strike Rate.)

There are no selections today.

Original System (200% Confidence.)

There are no selections today.

I have updated the results and, from now on, be updating them on a daily basis and, thus, be keeping it up to date.

The recent results be seen here... http://placeprofits.com/results/


intelligent

Intelligent Betting

Intelligent Betting is a collection of tools designed to aid your horse racing betting process.

A number of systems are combined to create system selections.

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Click on the image to see it full size.


Something to make you smile...

Three Bulls...

Three bulls heard via the grapevine that the rancher was going to bring another bull onto the ranch, and the prospect raised a discussion among them.

The first bull says, "Boys, we all know I've been here 5 years. Once we settled our differences, we agreed on which 100 of the cows would be mine. Now, I don't know where this newcomer is going to get HIS cows, but I ain't' givin' him any of mine."

The second bull says, "That pretty much says it for me, too. I've been here 3 years and have earned my right to the 50 cows we've agreed are mine. I'll fight 'im till I run him off or kill 'im, but I'M KEEPIN' ALL MY COWS."

The third bull says, "I've only been here a year, and so far you guys have only let me have 10 cows to "take care of". I may not be as big as you fellows yet, but I am young and virile, so I simply MUST keep all MY cows."

They had just finished their big talk when an eighteen-wheeler pulls up in the middle of the pasture with only ONE ANIMAL IN IT: the biggest Son-of-Another-Bull these guys had ever seen!

At 4700 pounds, each step he took toward the ground strained the steel ramp to the breaking point.

The first bull says, "Ahem...You know, it's actually been some time since I really felt I was doing all my cows justice, anyway. I think I can spare a few for our new friend."

The second bull says, "I'll have plenty of cows to take care of if I just stay on the opposite end of the pasture from HIM. I'm certainly not looking for an argument."

They look over at their young friend, the third bull, and find him pawing the dirt, shaking his horns, and snorting up a storm.

The first bull says, "Son, let me give you some advice real quick. Let him have some of your cows and live to tell about it."

The third bull says, "Heck, he can have ALL my cows. I'm just making sure he knows I'M a bull!"


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Today

Whatever you are up to today...

Stay safe and healthy.

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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