Morning News

Good morning...

Although a reasonable day, I was sort of looking at yesterday's results with my non-handicap hat on.

From the 15 non-handicaps we got 7 winners and I have a funny feeling that that's a pretty good place to start looking for a strategy from.

After all, if you're starting with a 46.66% strike rate then...

A few simple and logical filters might make quite a nice little system or strategy.

Still, that'll have to wait until I get back from England.

I'm off to get the ferry in a few hours time and won't be answering emails until I get back on Sunday.

For the last two weeks the ratings have gone out without any problems and I don't anticipate any problems over the next few days; I will have my laptop with me, just in case but I guess that I'll have other things on my mind.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.67%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.22% from all 36 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 62.27 units returned to 87 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -28.43%

Top Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the top rated horses from 30 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 25.77 units returned to 30 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -14.1%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 30 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 29.5 units returned to 30 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -1.67%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 1 winners from the third rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 7 units returned to 27 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -74.07%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Sandown 14:50:00 - The CSF paid £3.33

Sandown 15:20:00 - The CSF paid £2.51

Beverley 17:20:00 - The CSF paid £5.53

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Yarmouth 14:25:00 - The CSF paid £14.31

Beverley 14:35:00 - The CSF paid £8.78

Beverley 15:40:00 - The CSF paid £7.09

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Sandown 15:20:00 - The Trifecta paid £4.60

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Beverley 14:35:00 - The Trifecta paid £32.90

Kelso 17:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £90.90

Listowel 17:25:00 - The Trifecta paid £10.50

Winners

From the 35 rated races there were 16 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 3 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Beverley	15:10	Billy Roberts (1)	7.00	7.80
Listowel	16:20	Rogue Angel (18)	9.00	8.98
Listowel	17:55	Cloghala (2)	7.00	8.80

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Yarmouth 13:55:00 - Tears in my Eyes - 2nd - Betfair paid 2.19 for the place.
Listowel 14:10:00 - Laws of Spin - 2nd - Betfair paid 1.84 for the place.
Sandown 14:50:00 - Risk Adjusted - 2nd - Betfair paid 2.28 for the place.
Beverley 15:10:00 - Epeius - Unplaced
Kelso 16:40:00 - Flash Crash - NR
Listowel 16:55:00 - The Welsh Wizard - Unplaced
Beverley 17:20:00 - Wizardness - Unplaced

We made a profit of 0.1445 points on the day and have made a loss of 8.593 points for September.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 1.010898 points on the day and have made a loss of 11.972463 points for September.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 2.503854 points on the day and have made a loss of 13.509489 points for September.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSSept.xls

Today

Today's early test ratings show 32 rated races from four meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards