Morning News

Good morning...

Back to work today.

As I mentioned on Monday, I have stopped compiling the Speed Ratings until I can work out how to make their compilation faster.

The reason for this is that they are becoming more and more complex to compile and, thus, take more and more time. This slows down the whole ratings process and means that you get your ratings and system selections later than you should.

I will actually compile the speed ratings but it'll happen after the normal ratings have gone out; if you need the Speed Ratings, email me and I'll forward them on to you.

From today there should be another two options on the daily ratings email.

These will be options 23 and 24; these give links for CSV files for the non-handicap races.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 13.89%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 16.22%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 15.38% from all 39 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 89.82 units returned to 107 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -16.06%

Top Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the top rated horses from 36 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 22.37 units returned to 36 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -37.86%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 36 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 38.2 units returned to 36 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 6.11%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the third rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 29.25 units returned to 35 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -16.43%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 14:20:00 - The CSF paid £9.57

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Ballinrobe 16:35:00 - The CSF paid £26.86

Ballinrobe 17:35:00 - The CSF paid £2.86

Kempton (AW) 19:10:00 - The CSF paid £41.81

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 4 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Ballinrobe 17:35:00 - The Trifecta paid £2.90

Lingfield (AW) 17:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £12.70

Kempton (AW) 19:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £344.40

Kempton (AW) 19:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £19.60

Winners

From the 37 rated races there were 18 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Warwick	15:40	Mr Shantu (1)	9.00	10.49
Ballinrobe	16:35	The Fitz Lady (13)	6.00	6.80
Lingfield (AW)	16:50	Bubbly Bailey (2)	8.00	11.00
Kempton (AW)	19:10	Multigifted (3)	9.00	10.50
Kempton (AW)	21:10	New Leyf (7)	11.00	11.03

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Unique Jockey and Trainer - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and where Position last time out = Unplaced and Horse was NOT a Course Winner and Horse was NOT a Distance Winner and Horse had a Unique Jockey and Horse had a Unique trainer and Horse has NOT changed in Class

Selection = Back to ISP - Beverley - 17:30:00 - Full Of Speed (14)

Races (over last year): 14 Wins: 4 Strike Rate: 28.57% ROI: 122.57% AV SP: 4.29

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £31.60

Full of Speed obviously wasn't and came ninth.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Ballinrobe 14:35:00 - Double Windsor - 2nd - Betfair paid 2.89 for the place.
Beverley 15:00:00 - Silvanus - Unplaced
Ballinrobe 16:05:00 - Zero Euro - Unplaced

We made a loss of 0.2045 points on the day and have made a loss of 5.8305 points for September.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 1.078698 points on the day and have made a loss of 12.011448 points for September.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 1.078698 points on the day and have made a loss of 13.548474 points for September.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSSept.xls

Something to make you laugh

An Indian Doctor can't find a job in a Hospital in the US, so he opens up a clinic and puts a sign outside 'GET TREATMENT FOR $20 - IF NOT CURED,GET BACK $100!'

A local lawyer thinks this is a great opportunity to earn $100 and turns up at the clinic...

Lawyer: "I've lost my sense of taste."

Indian doctor: "Nurse, bring the medicine from box No. 22 and put 3 drops in this patient's mouth."

Lawyer: "Ugh... this is kerosene."

Indian doctor: "Congrats, your sense of taste is restored. That'll be $20."

The annoyed lawyer goes back after a few days to try to recover his money...

Lawyer: "I've lost my memory. I can't remember anything."

Indian doctor: "Nurse, bring the medicine from box No. 22 and put 3 drops in his mouth."

Lawyer (annoyed): "This is kerosene. You gave this to me last time for restoring my taste."

Indian doctor: "Congrats. You've got your memory back. That'll be $20."

The fuming lawyer pays him, and then returns a week later determined to get $100.

Lawyer: "My eyesight has become very weak I can't see at all."

Indian doctor: "Well, I don't have any medicine for that, so take this $100."

Lawyer (staring at the note): "But this is $20, not $100!!"

Indian doctor: "Congrats, your eyesight is restored. That'll be $20."

You can't beat the Indians! 🙂

Today

Today's early test ratings show 35 rated races from five meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards