Morning News

Good morning...

Overall...

A pretty good day.

We were just a smidgen off a 30% strike rate for the top rated horse (my target for R4) and,

Our Banker's Bet won at 6/1 ISP (8.14 BSP.)

For the second day in a row the Place Betting Strategy made a profit.

I think that I am getting there with the move of the Speed Ratings from 10am to 4am. If you require the speed ratings in the interim, let me know and I'll send them to you manually at about 11am. Those of you who have already asked for this are already on the list.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 29.41%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.57%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 29.73% from all 37 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 66.6 units returned to 99 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -32.73%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 35.72 units returned to 34 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 5.06%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the second rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 24.88 units returned to 32 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -22.25%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 1 winners from the third rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 6 units returned to 33 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -81.82%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Redcar 14:45:00 - The CSF paid £5.90

Perth 14:55:00 - The CSF paid £9.16

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Kempton (AW) 17:20:00 - The CSF paid £6.34

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Kempton (AW) 17:20:00 - The Tricast paid £18.59. The Trifecta paid £24.00

Winners

From the 35 rated races there were 17 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Naas	16:35	Katimavik (4)	6.00	8.34
Perth	16:40	Persiflage (9)	7.00	7.96
Naas	17:10	Mint Chai (6)	9.00	9.75
Perth	17:15	By The Boardwalk (6)	5.50	7.20
Naas	17:40	Athassel Abbey (5)	7.00	8.14

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite

Selection = Back to ISP - Naas - 17:40:00 - Athassel Abbey (5)

Races (over last year): 27 Wins: 11 Strike Rate: 40.74% ROI: 115.70% AV SP: 2.84

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £42.40

Athassel Abbey won at 6/1 ISP (8.14 BSP.)

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Goodwood 14:00:00 - Artic Flower - Unplaced
Goodwood 14:35:00 - Sark - NR
Redcar 14:45:00 - Hunter Jack - Unplaced
Perth 14:55:00 - Kumbeshwar - 2nd. Betfair paid 3.72 for the place.
Naas 15:25:00 - Rose of Tralee - Unplaced
Redcar 16:30:00 - Fidra Bay - Unplaced

We made a loss of 1.416 points on the day and have made a loss of 7.2465 points for September.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 0.113904 points on the day and have made a loss of 11.897544 points for September.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 1.469904 points on the day and have made a loss of 12.07857 points for September.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSSept.xls

Something to make you smile

Geoff sent this in.

Now, I do have to admit that I had to read it 3 times before I got it but I was in a particularly thick mood yesterday.

A man walks into a Zoo.

The only animal in the entire Zoo is a Dog.

It's a Shitzu

Today

Today's early test ratings show 38 rated races from five meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards