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Good morning...
Well, didn't the place betting strategy come back with a bang, yesterday.
Five out of five put a smile on my face and another day like that would put us back into profit.
We always knew that September was, historically, a bad month for the strategy but...
It would be nice to at least break even.
Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 29.27%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.91%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.09% from all 46 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 100.95 units returned to 124 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -18.59%
Top Rated Horse - There were 12 winners from the top rated horses from 41 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 40.42 units returned to 41 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -1.41%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 42 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 28.66 units returned to 42 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -31.76%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the third rated horses from 41 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 31.87 units returned to 41 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -22.27%
Forecasts
There were 3 forecasts yesterday.
Downpatrick 14:00:00 - The CSF paid £7.97
Wolverhampton (AW) 17:45:00 - The CSF paid £11.20
Dundalk (AW) 18:35:00 - The CSF paid £4.21
Reverse Forecasts
There were 4 reverse forecasts yesterday.
Newmarket 15:40:00 - The CSF paid £2.82
Haydock 15:55:00 - The CSF paid £9.86
Downpatrick 17:30:00 - The CSF paid £5.29
Dundalk (AW) 20:35:00 - The CSF paid £3.04
Tricasts/Trifectas
There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.
Downpatrick 14:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £43.00
Combination Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 3 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Worcester 16:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £15.00
Downpatrick 17:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £27.00
Dundalk (AW) 20:35:00 - The Trifecta paid £3.70
Winners
From the 43 rated races there were 24 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 7 of those were at nice prices.
Course | Time | Horse | ISP | BSP |
Newmarket | 13:55 | Solar Magic (2) | 7.50 | 8.90 |
Downpatrick | 14:35 | Urban Dusk (7) | 9.00 | 10.50 |
Worcester | 14:55 | Purple N Gold (5) | 6.00 | 6.22 |
Downpatrick | 16:20 | Gold Patrol (3) | 7.00 | 8.14 |
Worcester | 17:50 | Crazy Jack (5) | 5.50 | 5.80 |
Dundalk (AW) | 19:05 | Political Policy (1) | 11.00 | 14.50 |
Dundalk (AW) | 20:05 | Captain Carleton (4) | 5.50 | 6.45 |
There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.
On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.
You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.
If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.
Downpatrick 14:00:00 - Banker Babe - 3rd - Betfair paid 2.11 for the place
Haydock 14:45:00 - Ice Dream 2nd - Betfair paid 3.56 for the place
Haydock 15:20:00 - Nice Name 3rd - Betfair paid 2.51 for the place
Downpatrick 16:20:00 - Gold Patrol - 1st - Betfair paid 3.34 for the place
Downpatrick 17:30:00 - Concience - 3rd - Betfair paid 3.1 for the place
We made a profit of 9.139 points on the day and have made a loss of 1.661 points for September.
For the new strategy we made a profit of 8.676027 points on the day and have made a loss of 7.362063 points for September.
I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.
For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 8.676027 points on the day and have made a loss of 8.148543 points for September.
The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSSept.xls
Today's early test ratings show 49 rated races from seven meetings.
Have a great day's racing!
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The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!
As always...
My kindest regards
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