Morning News

Good morning...

A pretty decent start to the new month where...

You would have just about tripled your stakes had you blindly done the forecast in every race.

And you would have made a nice profit if you had done the reverse forecast in every race.

In fact,

You would have made a profit (albeit a small one) just by doing the combination trifecta in every race.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.27%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30.3%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.78% from all 36 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 76.94 units returned to 95 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -19.01%

Top Rated Horse - There were 9 winners from the top rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 28.85 units returned to 33 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -12.58%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 5 winners from the second rated horses from 32 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 16.09 units returned to 32 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -49.72%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the third rated horses from 30 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 32 units returned to 30 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 6.67%

Forecasts

There were 4 forecasts yesterday.

Clonmel 15:05:00 - The CSF paid £48.72

Beverley 16:10:00 - The CSF paid £2.97

Clonmel 17:20:00 - The CSF paid £27.09

Chelmsford (AW) 18:15:00 - The CSF paid £12.78

Reverse Forecasts

There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Bangor-on-Dee 14:50:00 - The CSF paid £3.90

Beverley 15:00:00 - The CSF paid £2.33

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Bangor-on-Dee 14:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £2.60

Chelmsford (AW) 18:45:00 - The Tricast paid £83.02. Trifecta paid £222.10

Winners

From the 34 rated races there were 16 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Clonmel	15:05	Presenting Mahler (5)	7.00	8.40
Beverley	16:40	Venutius (1)	5.50	6.80
Chelmsford (AW)	18:15	Staintondale Lass (6)	5.50	6.00
Chelmsford (AW)	18:45	Lourdes Lady (7)	15.00	22.00
Chelmsford (AW)	21:15	Mary Ann Bugg (3)	17.00	30.00

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Clonmel 14:05:00 - Thomas Wedgwood - Unplaced
Bangor-on-Dee 14:20:00 - Chic Name - Unplaced
Clonmel 14:35:00 - Silverpockets - Unplaced
Clonmel 16:15:00 - Jansboy - 2nd - Betfair paid 3.15 for the place.
Bangor-on-Dee 16:30:00 - All Riled Up - Unplaced
Clonmel 17:20:00 - Gracenkate - Unplaced

We made a loss of 2.9575 points on the day and have made a loss of 2.9575 points for October.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 1.97637 points on the day and have made a loss of 1.97637 points for September.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 1.97637 points on the day and have made a loss of 1.97637 points for October.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSOct.xls

Today

Today's early test ratings show 39 rated races from six meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards