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Good morning...
Another pretty decent day, yesterday...
With a strike rate, for the top rated horse, of 30% I really can't complain.
As it was a quiet day's racing nothing else seems to stand out.
Today looks far more interesting with five meetings across all three codes.
Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.57%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.57% from all 21 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 42.37 units returned to 58 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -26.95%
Top Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the top rated horses from 20 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 18.62 units returned to 20 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -6.9%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the second rated horses from 19 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 11.75 units returned to 19 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -38.16%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the third rated horses from 19 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 12 units returned to 19 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -36.84%
Forecasts
There were 0 forecasts yesterday.
Reverse Forecasts
There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.
Market Rasen 15:50:00 - The CSF paid £8.21
Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Combination Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Winners
From the 21 rated races there were 11 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 1 of those was at a nice price.
Course | Time | Horse | ISP | BSP |
Windsor | 13:50 | Dreams Of Glory (4) | 7.00 | 8.40 |
There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.
Bankers Bet = Flat Big Field Maiden Favs - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Maiden Race and Runners was equal to or more than 16 and Horse was a Favourite, Joint Favourite or a Co Favourite
Selection = Back to ISP - Windsor - 16:35:00 - Swiss Affair (16)
Races (over last year): 27 Wins: 11 Strike Rate: 40.74% ROI: 135.26% AV SP: 3.32
Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £95.20
Swiss Affair won at 1.62 ISP (1.63 BSP.)
Chancers Bet = Flat Claimers - big priced boys - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = Flat and where the Race is a Claimer and Horse = Male (Stallion, Colt or Gelding) and the Forecast Starting Price was more than 3
Selection = Back to ISP - Windsor - 15:25:00 - Cornelious (1)
Races (over last year): 19 Wins: 6 Strike Rate: 31.58% ROI: 111.79AV SP: 3.54
Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £22.40
Cornelious came sixth.
On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.
You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.
If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.
Windsor 14:20:00 - Monument Rocks - Unplaced
Windsor 14:55:00 - Coarse Cut - Unplaced
We made a loss of 2 points on the day and have made a loss of 4.794 points for October.
For the new strategy we made a loss of 2.712 points on the day and have made a loss of 4.593789 points for October.
I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.
For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.712 points on the day. We have made a loss of 8.07837 points for October.
The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSOct.xls
Today's early test ratings show 38 rated races from five meetings.
Have a great day's racing!
Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.
The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!
As always...
My kindest regards
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