Morning News

Good morning...

A far better day, yesterday.

Had you done the forecast (or, indeed, the reverse forecast) in every race you would have made a profit.

And our Chancers Bet won.

Today looks to be a quiet day with only 4 meetings and I shall be spending most of it trying to work out why we are having such a bad month for the Place Betting Strategy.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 29.41%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 28.57%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30.56% from all 36 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 76.93 units returned to 102 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -24.58%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 34 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 41.93 units returned to 34 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 23.32%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the second rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 18.5 units returned to 35 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -47.14%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 16.5 units returned to 33 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -50%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Market Rasen 13:30:00 - The CSF paid £29.27

Lingfield (AW) 14:15:00 - The CSF paid £9.47

Wincanton 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £5.40

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Thurles 15:35:00 - The CSF paid £34.65

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 14:15:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £10.40

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Wincanton 14:25:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £12.60

Chelmsford (AW) 17:30:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £94.20

Winners

From the 35 rated races there were 17 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 4 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Wincanton	13:20	Dukes Affair (7)	6.50	8.00
Lingfield (AW)	14:50	El Viento (4)	9.00	11.39
Thurles	15:35	Presentingoscar (5)	8.00	9.14
Chelmsford (AW)	17:30	Father Fred (4)	5.50	6.40

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = All Weather Wonders - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 28 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60% and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is September or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Chelmsford (AW) - 17:30:00 - For Ayman (5)

Races (over last year): 57 Wins: 33 Strike Rate: 57.89% ROI: 167.88% AV SP: 2.90

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £387.00

For Ayman came third.

Chancers Bet = NH Chase - Mares who are top rated and came 3rd last time out. - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Chase and Horse = Mare and where Position last time out = Third

Selection = Back to ISP - Wincanton - 14:25:00 - Alder Mairi (1)

Races (over last year): 17 Wins: 6 Strike Rate: 35.29% ROI: 189.86AV SP: 5.38

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £152.80

Alder Mairi came first @ 1.8 ISP (1.84 BSP.)

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Thurles 13:55:00 - She's a Gangster - Unplaced
Wincanton 15:30:00 - Auckland de Re - Unplaced
Market Rasen 15:40:00 - Five for Fifteen - Unplaced

We made a loss of 3 points on the day and have made a loss of 37.943425 for November.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 2.034 points on the day and have made a loss of 34.8891003 points for November.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.034 points on the day and have made a loss of 34.47291 points for November.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSNov.xls

Something to make you smile

Two from Derek H today...

Expat Life

There was a young Scottish boy called Angus who decided to try life in Australia.

He found an apartment in a small block and settled in.

After a week or two, his mother called from Aberdeen to see how her son was doing in his new life.

'I'm fine,' Angus said.

'But there are some really strange people living in these apartments.

One woman cried all day long, another lies on her floor moaning, and there is a guy next door to me who bangs his head on the wall all the time.'

'Well, ma laddie,' says his mother, 'I suggest you don't associate with people like that.'

'Oh,' says Angus, 'I don't, Mam, I don't.

No, I just stay inside my apartment all day and night, playing my bagpipes.'

Clarification Of Corporate Lingo

Employer's Lingo:

"COMPETITIVE SALARY" We remain competitive by paying our employees less than our competitors do.

"JOIN OUR FAST-PACED TEAM" We have no time to train you.

"CASUAL WORK ATMOSPHERE" We don't pay enough to expect that you'll dress up; well, a couple of the real daring guys wear earrings.

"MUST BE DEADLINE ORIENTED" You'll be six months behind schedule on your first day.

"SOME OVERTIME REQUIRED" Some time each night and some time each weekend.

"DUTIES WILL VARY" Anyone in the office can boss you around.

"MUST HAVE AN EYE FOR DETAIL" We have no quality control.

"CAREER-MINDED" Female Applicants must be childless (and remain that way).

"APPLY IN PERSON" If you're old, fat or ugly you'll be told the position has been filled.

"NO PHONE CALLS PLEASE" We've filled the job; our call for resumes is just a legal formality.

"SEEKING CANDIDATES WITH A WIDE VARIETY OF EXPERIENCE" You'll need it to replace three people who just left.

"PROBLEM-SOLVING SKILLS A MUST" You're walking into a company in perpetual chaos.

"REQUIRES TEAM LEADERSHIP SKILLS" You'll have the responsibilities of a manager, without the pay or respect.

"GOOD COMMUNICATION SKILLS" Management communicates, you listen, figure out what they want and do it.

Employee's Lingo:

"I'M EXTREMELY ADEPT AT ALL MANNER OF OFFICE ORGANIZATION:" I've used Microsoft Office.

"I'M HONEST, HARD-WORKING AND DEPENDABLE" I pilfer office supplies.

"MY PERTINENT WORK EXPERIENCE INCLUDES" I hope you don't ask me about all the McJobs I've had.

"I TAKE PRIDE IN MY WORK" I blame others for my mistakes.

"I'M PERSONABLE" I give lots of unsolicited personal advice to co-workers.

"I'M EXTREMELY PROFESSIONAL" I carry a Day-Timer.

"I AM ADAPTABLE" I've changed jobs a lot.

"I AM ON THE GO" I'm never at my desk.

"I'M HIGHLY MOTIVATED TO SUCCEED" The minute I find a better job, I'm outta there.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 25 rated races from five meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards