Morning News

Good morning...

Normally I would be quite happy with a 22% strike rate (for the top rated horse) but, after the great performance over the last week, it seems like a bit of a let down.

However, we are still running at a strike rate (for the top rated horse) of 33.33% for the month so far and I certainly can't complain about that.

And, even if our 3 PBS selections were all unplaced...

We are still in profit for the month.

I have detailed today's (and upcoming) work at the bottom of this post.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 22.22%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 21.05%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 19.05% from all 21 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 78.79 units returned to 54 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 45.91%

Top Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the top rated horses from 18 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 10.91 units returned to 18 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -39.39%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the second rated horses from 17 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 40.75 units returned to 17 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 139.71%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 19 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 27.13 units returned to 19 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 42.79%

Forecasts

There was 1 forecast yesterday.

Punchestown 13:50:00 - The CSF paid £8.21

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Huntingdon 13:25:00 - The CSF paid £24.80

Kelso 15:15:00 - The CSF paid £49.29

Huntingdon 15:35:00 - The CSF paid £43.02

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Punchestown 13:50:00 - The Trifecta paid £13.10

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 19 rated races there were 14 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Huntingdon	13:25	Template (8)	6.00	6.80
Huntingdon	14:35	Cyrius Moriviere (6)	21.00	34.00
Kelso	14:45	La Dama De Hierro (3)	7.00	7.10
Kelso	15:15	Marlee Massie (11)	11.00	13.22
Huntingdon	15:35	Cardinal Rose (4)	6.00	7.40

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Kelso 12:00:00 - Captain Redbeard - N/R
Kelso 12:30:00 - One for Arthur - Unplaced
Huntingdon 14:35:00 - Christmas Twenty - Unplaced
Kelso 14:45:00 - Massinis Lady - Unplaced

We made a loss of 3 points on the day and have made a profit of 5.507 points for December.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 3.39 points on the day and have made a profit of 1.699746 points for December.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 3.39 points on the day and have made a profit of 2.377746 points for December.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSDec.xls

Something to make you smile

One from David O.

Who wants to be a millionaire...

And a couple from me...

Bird Flu

This is important information just in case.

Symptoms of the Bird Flu...

The Center for Disease Control has released a list of symptoms of bird flu. If you experience any of the following, please seek medical treatment immediately:

1. High fever
2. Congestion
3. Nausea
4. Fatigue
5. Aching in the joints
6. An irresistible urge to crap on someone's windshield.

The ultimate Christmas Decoration...

Today

Today's early test ratings show 21 rated races from three meetings.

Every race is rated.

Now, yesterday I should have been catching up on emails but...

A slight excess of food and mulled wine the evening before meant that, that didn't happen.

So, today I shall be catching upon mails.

I'll also be getting on with my Lowest on Yield Strategy and will be trying to implement a new Expert Ratings format although the latter will be a work in progress for a week or so.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards