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I do apologise for the slight lack of Morning News over the last few days.
My IT problems are almost over and I can get on line (and stay on line) and get things done at last.
I am repurposing an old server to use as my workstation; this has hot swap power supplies, hot swap hard disks and a tape backup unit.
So, in theory, it should keep me going, without having to waste my time fixing things, for a good while to come.
Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....
Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 11.76%.
Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 11.11%.
Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 13.64% from all 22 Races (including previously unrated races.)
The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 32.39 units returned to 52 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -37.71%
Top Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the top rated horses from 17 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 4.29 units returned to 17 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -74.76%
2nd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the second rated horses from 17 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 7.6 units returned to 17 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -55.29%
3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 18 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.5 units returned to 18 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 13.89%
Forecasts
There was 1 forecast yesterday.
Catterick 12:15:00 - The CSF paid £3.78
Reverse Forecasts
There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.
Southwell (AW) 13:30:00 - The CSF paid £2.98
Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Combination Tricasts/Trifectas
There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.
Winners
From the 18 rated races there were 7 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 3 of those were at nice prices.
Course | Time | Horse | ISP | BSP |
Catterick | 14:50 | Star Presenter (3) | 7.50 | 8.12 |
Kempton (AW) | 15:10 | Vroom (2) | 5.50 | 5.99 |
Kempton (AW) | 15:40 | Jersey Bull (5) | 9.00 | 10.84 |
There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.
On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.
You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.
If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.
Catterick 13:15:00 - Racing Europe - 2nd - Betfair paid 4.06 for the place.
We made a profit of 2.907 points on the day and have made a profit of 11.946 points for December.
For the new strategy we made a profit of 1.970946 points on the day an have made a profit of 7.750557 points for December.
I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.
For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 1.970946 points on the day and have made a profit of 8.897394 points for December.
The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSDec.xls
The Spoon
I took some friends out to dinner last week, and I noticed a spoon in the shirt pocket of our waiter as he handed us the menus.
It seemed a little odd, but I dismissed it as a random thing. Until our waiter came with water & tableware; he too, sported a spoon in his breast pocket.
I looked around the room, and all the waiters, waitresses, busboys, etc. had spoons in their pockets.
When our waiter returned to take our order, I just had to ask, "Why the spoons?"
"Well," he explained, "our parent company recently hired some consulting efficiency experts to review all our procedures, and after months of statistical analyses, they concluded that our patrons drop spoons on the floor 73% more often than any other utensil; at a frequency of 3 spoons per hour per workstation.
. By preparing all our workers for this contingency in advance, we can cut our trips to the kitchen down and save time...nearly 1.5 extra man-hours per shift."
Just as he concluded, a "ch-ching" came from the table behind him, and he quickly replaced a fallen spoon with the one from his pocket.
"I'll grab another spoon the next time I'm in the kitchen instead of making a special trip," he proudly explained.
I was impressed.
"Thanks. I had to ask."
"No problem," he answered, then he continued to take our orders.
As the members of my dinner party took their turns, my eyes darted back & forth from each person ordering and my menu.
That's when, out of the corner of my eye, I spotted a thin, black thread protruding from our waiter's fly.
Again, I dismissed it; yet I had to scan the room and, sure enough, there were other waiters and busboys with strings hanging out of their trousers.
My curiosity overrode discretion at this point, so before he could leave I had to ask.
"Excuse me, but...uh...why, or what...about that string?"
"Oh, yeah" he began in a quieter tone.
"Not many people are that observant.
That same efficiency group found we could save time in the men's room, too."
"How's that?"
"You see, by tying a string to the end of our, eh, selves, we can pull it out at the urinals literally hands-free and thereby eliminate the need to wash our hands, cutting time spent in the restroom by over 93%!"
"Oh, that makes sense," I said, but then thinking through the process, I asked, "Hey, wait a minute. If the string helps you pull it out, how do you get it back in?"
"Well," he whispered, "I don't know about the other guys; but I use my spoon."
What I'm hoping for, for Christmas...
Today's early test ratings show 36 rated races from five meetings.
Have a great day's racing!
Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.
The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!
As always...
My kindest regards
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