Morning News

Good morning...

Two 40% days in a row,

Who'd have believed it.

Perhaps Christmas has come early.

Now, as you all know, it doesn't take too much to confuse me and...

I really am struggling to understand how both our top rated and second rated horses somehow managed to win the Ladbroke Handicap Hurdle.

I'm more confident with the simple stuff,

Like noticing that we got the first two in the right order in the Long Walk Hurdle.

Anyway, I'll get to that, firstly let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 40%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 39.39%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 37.14% from all 35 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 98.57 units returned to 96 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, 2.68%

Top Rated Horse - There were 12 winners from the top rated horses from 30 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 41.86 units returned to 30 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 39.53%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the second rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 38.08 units returned to 33 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 15.39%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the third rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 18.63 units returned to 33 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -43.55%

Forecasts

There were 5 forecasts yesterday.

Newcastle 11:45:00 - The CSF paid £2.09

Newcastle 13:55:00 - The CSF paid £6.91

Ascot 14:25:00 - The CSF paid £7.94

Lingfield (AW) 14:55:00 - The CSF paid £1.51

Lingfield (AW) 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £6.17

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Fairyhouse 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £18.67

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 2 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Newcastle 11:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £14.40

Lingfield (AW) 15:30:00 - The Trifecta paid £22.20

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 4 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Fairyhouse 12:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £2.70

Lingfield (AW) 12:05:00 - The Trifecta paid £8.90

Newcastle 12:15:00 - The Trifecta paid £33.70

Lingfield (AW) 13:45:00 - The Trifecta paid £2.30

Winners

From the 33 rated races there were 24 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 6 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Lingfield (AW)	13:10	Barye (3)	8.00	11.00
Ascot	13:15	Royal Regatta (2)	9.00	10.53
Ascot	13:50	Mon Successeur (6)	7.00	7.80
Haydock	14:05	Montdragon (4)	5.50	7.05
Ascot	15:35	Jollys Cracked It (8)	8.00	9.52
Ascot	15:35	Sternrubin (17)	10.00	11.50

The Portfolio

There was neither a Banker's Bet nor a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Haydock 12:25:00 - Helium - Unplaced
Lingfield 14:55:00 - Dutiful Son - Unplaced
Newcastle 15:05:00 - Greenworldsolution - Unplaced
Fairyhouse 15:20:00 - Silabh Donn - Unplaced

We made a loss of 4 points on the day and have made a profit of 17.9315 points for December.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 3.39 points on the day an have made a profit of 7.062726 points for December.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 3.39 points on the day and have made a profit of 9.565563 points for December.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSDec.xls

Something to make you laugh

LITTLE JOHNNY IS BACK - "Fascinate" in a sentence

The teacher asked the class to use the word “fascinate” in a sentence.

Molly put up her hand and said, “My family went to my granddad's farm, and we all saw his pet sheep. It was fascinating."

The teacher said, “That was good, but I wanted you to use the word ‘fascinate,’ not 'fascinating'.”

Sally raised her hand. She said, “My family went to see Rock City and I was fascinated.”

The teacher said, “Well, that was good Sally, but I wanted you to use the word ‘fascinate’.”

Little Johnny raised his hand, but the teacher hesitated because she had been burned by Little Johnny before.

She finally decided there was no way he could damage the word “fascinate,” so she called on him.

Johnny said, “My aunt Carolyn has a sweater with ten buttons, but her tits are so big she can only fasten eight!”

The teacher sat down and cried.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 19 rated races from three meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards