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Morning News

e5882c16ffe8b05f142cd336a67f9bf5Good morning...

This time of the year,

When there aren't many races and the season has settled down a bit...

It is difficult to find much to say about the racing.

I can say that we made a profit on the PBS selections and,

Our Bankers Bet won but...

That's about it.

Today I shall be looking at the Lowest on Yield Strategy again (I'm on a sort of a mission to get it finished before Christmas!)

And, of course, investigating new, different and exciting recipes for mulled wine.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.27%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.27%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 27.27% from all 22 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 38.86 units returned to 61 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -36.3%

Top Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the top rated horses from 22 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.61 units returned to 22 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -6.32%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the second rated horses from 18 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 10.25 units returned to 18 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -43.06%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 1 winners from the third rated horses from 21 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 8 units returned to 21 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -61.9%

Forecasts

There were 0 forecasts yesterday.

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Lingfield 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £12.15

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Chelmsford (AW) 16:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £42.40

Winners

From the 22 rated races there were 9 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 3 of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Lingfield 13:10 Pembroke House (1) 7.00 8.20
Chelmsford (AW) 16:55 King Olav (2) 8.00 8.10
Chelmsford (AW) 17:25 Elle Rebelle (2) 6.00 6.33

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = All Weather Wonders - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 28 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60% and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is September or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Chelmsford (AW) - 16:20:00 - U S Navy Seal (5)

Races (over last year): 53 Wins: 25 Strike Rate: 47.17% ROI: 133.49% AV SP: 2.83

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £177.50

U S Navy Seal won @ 3.75 ISP (4.18 BSP.)

Chancers Bet = NH Chase - Mares who are top rated and came 3rd last time out. - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Chase and Horse = Mare and where Position last time out = Third

Selection = Back to ISP - Lingfield - 14:10:00 - Jennys Surprise (6)

Races (over last year): 18 Wins: 7 Strike Rate: 38.89% ROI: 169.95AV SP: 4.37

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £125.90

Jenny's Surprise came second.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Lingfield 14:10:00 - Jenny's Surprise =2nd - Betfair paid 2.63 for the place
Lingfield 15:40:00 - Amalfi Doug - Unplaced
Chelmsford 15:50:00 - Realize - 2nd - Betfair paid 2.54 for the place

We made a profit of 2.0115 points on the day and have made a profit of 19.6365 points for December.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 3.463563 points on the day an have made a profit of 10.7888675 points for December.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 3.463563 points on the day and have made a profit of 12.351126 points for December.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSDec.xls

Something to make you laugh

A few from David O.

The First Christmas Joke - and it's Scottish..........

A man in Scotland calls his son in London the day before Christmas Eve and says,

"I hate to ruin your day but I have to tell you that your mother and I are divorcing; forty-five years of misery is enough."

"Dad, what are you talking about?" the son screams.

"We can't stand the sight of each other any longer," the father says.

"We're sick of each other and I'm sick of talking about this, so you call your sister in Leeds and tell her."

Frantically, the son calls his sister, who explodes on the phone, "Like hell they're getting divorced," she shouts, "I'll take care of this."

She calls Scotland immediately and screams at her father, "You are NOT getting divorced. Don't do a single thing until I get there. I'm calling my brother back and we'll both be there tomorrow. Until then, don't do a thing, DO YOU HEAR ME?" and hangs up.

The old man hangs up his phone and turns to his wife.

"Done! They're coming for Christmas - and they're paying their own way."

The sensitive man

A woman meets a man in a bar.

They talk; they connect; they end up leaving together..

They get back to his place,

And as he shows her around his apartment.

She notices that one wall of his bedroom is completely filled with soft, sweet, cuddly teddy bears.

There are three shelves in the bedroom, with hundreds and hundreds of cute, cuddly teddy bears carefully placed in rows, covering the entire wall!

It was obvious that he had taken quite some time to lovingly arrange them .

And she was immediately touched by the amount of thought he had put into organizing the display.

There were small bears all along the bottom shelf.

Medium-sized bears covering the length of the middle shelf.

And huge, enormous bears running all the way along the top shelf.

She found it strange for an obviously masculine guy to have such a large collection of Teddy Bears,

She is quite impressed by his sensitive side.

But doesn't mention this to him.

They share a bottle of wine and continue talking and, after awhile, she finds herself thinking...

'Oh my God! Maybe, this guy could be the one!

Maybe he could be the future father of my children?'

She turns to him and kisses him lightly on the lips.

He responds warmly.

They continue to kiss, the passion builds.

And he romantically lifts her in his arms and carries her into his bedroom.

Where they rip off each other's clothes and make hot, steamy love.

She is so overwhelmed that she responds with more passion, more creativity, more heat than she has ever known.

After an intense, explosive night of raw passion with this sensitive guy, they are lying there together in the afterglow.

The woman rolls over, gently strokes his chest and asks coyly, 'Well, how was it?'

The guy gently smiles at her, strokes her cheek, looks deeply into her eyes,

and says:

'Help yourself to any prize from the middle shelf.'

And one from me...

Excuses for Missing Work

1. If it is all the same to you I won't be coming in to work. The voices told me to clean all the guns today.

2. When I got up this morning I took two Ex-Lax in addition to my Prozac. I can't get off the john, but I feel good about it.

3. I set half the clocks in my house ahead an hour and the other half back an hour Saturday and spent 18 hours in some kind of space-time continuum loop, reliving Sunday (right up until the explosion). I was able to exit the loop only by reversing the polarity of the power source exactly e*log(pi) clocks in the house while simultaneously rapping my dog on the snout with a rolled up Times.

Accordingly, I will be in late, or early.

4. My stigmata's acting up.

5. I can't come in to work today because I'll be stalking my previous boss, who fired me for not showing up for work. OK?

6. I have a rare case of 48-hour projectile leprosy, but I know we have that deadline to meet...

7. I am stuck in the blood pressure machine down at the Food Giant.

8. Yes, I seem to have contracted some attention-deficit disorder and, hey, how about them Dodgers, huh? So, I won't be able to, yes, could I help you? No, no, I'll be sticking with Sprint, but thank you for calling.

9. Constipation has made me a walking time bomb.

10. I just found out that I was switched at birth. Legally, I shouldn't come to work knowing my employee records may now contain false information.

11. The psychiatrist said it was an excellent session. He even gave me this jaw restraint so I won't bite things when I am startled.

12. The dog ate my car keys. We're going to hitchhike to the vet.

13. I prefer to remain an enigma.

14. My step-mother has come back as one of the Undead and we must track her to her coffin to drive a stake through her heart and give her eternal peace. One day should do it.

15. I can't come to work today because the EPA has determined that my house is completely surrounded by wetlands and I have to arrange for helicopter transportation.

16. I am converting my calendar from Julian to Gregorian.

17. I am extremely sensitive to a rise in the interest rates.

18. I refuse to travel to my job until there is a commuter tax. I insist on paying my fair share.

Today

Today's early test ratings show 22 rated races from three meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

5 star ratingsOnce again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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