Morning News

Good morning...

Well...

I don't want to labour the point,

Or disclose things that shouldn't be disclosed but...

If there were Olympic medals for projectile vomiting,

I would have won a Gold Medal yesterday!

Still, work needs to go on and, as it seems that my upset tummy isn't actually fatal,

So, I need to report on yesterday's results.

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 33.33%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 34.29%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 32.35% from all 34 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 89.75 units returned to 101 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -11.14%

Top Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the top rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 43.47 units returned to 33 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 31.73%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 8 winners from the second rated horses from 33 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 26.08 units returned to 33 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -20.97%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 35 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 20.2 units returned to 35 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -42.29%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Doncaster 12:35:00 - The CSF paid £9.59

Doncaster 14:55:00 - The CSF paid £6.66

Newbury 15:10:00 - The CSF paid £8.00

Reverse Forecasts

There were 3 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Doncaster 12:00:00 - The CSF paid £9.29

Southwell (AW) 13:40:00 - The CSF paid £10.95

Leopardstown 15:40:00 - The CSF paid £2.19

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 4 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Southwell (AW) 13:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £14.00

Leopardstown 13:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £4.70

Newbury 14:00:00 - The Trifecta paid £2.50

Leopardstown 15:40:00 - The Trifecta paid £3.50

Winners

From the 34 rated races there were 22 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 7 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Southwell (AW)	11:55	La Estrella (3)	6.00	6.48
Southwell (AW)	13:40	Karmadal (7)	6.00	N/K
Kelso	14:25	Another Mattie (1)	10.00	12.60
Southwell (AW)	14:50	Arizona Snow (1)	8.00	10.50
Kelso	15:00	Lord Wishes (1)	5.50	6.20
Southwell (AW)	15:20	Crosse Fire (10)	8.00	9.22
Kelso	15:30	Maxie T (1)	10.00	10.50

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = NH Hurdles Wonders - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Hurdles and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60%

Selection = Back to ISP - Leopardstown - 14:30:00 - Arctic Fire (1)

Races (over last year): 21 Wins: 9 Strike Rate: 42.86% ROI: 278.59% AV SP: 6.50

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £375.00

Arctic Fire was a non-runner.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Kelso 12:05:00 - Egret - Unplaced
Doncaster 12:35:00 - Apple of our Eye - Unplaced
Leopardstown 12:45:00 - Yes Sir Brian - Unplaced

We made a loss of 3 points on the day and have made a profit of 13.9775 points for December.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 2.712 points on the day an have made a profit of 8.133288 points for December.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.712 points on the day and have made a profit of 9.695739 points for December.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSDec.xls

Something to make you laugh

Guilty

Sue reports for jury duty as ordered, and promptly asks to be excused because she believes she's prejudice.

"I took one look at those shifty eyes and that cheap polyester suit and I immediately knew that he was guilty as sin."

"Sit down," says the judge. "That's the prosecuting attorney."

Biker's Dog

A highly timid little man, ventured into a biker bar in the Bronx and clearing his throat asked, "Um, err, which of you gentlemen owns the Doberman tied outside to the parking meter?"

A giant of a man, wearing biker leathers, his body hair growing out through the seams, turned slowly on his stool, looked down at the quivering little man and said, "It's my dog. Why?"

"Well," squeaked the little man, obviously very nervous, "I believe my dog just killed it, sir."

"What?" roared the big man in disbelief. "What in the hell kind of dog do you have?"

"Sir," answered the little man, "it's a little four week old female puppy."

"Bull!" roared the biker, "how could your puppy kill my Doberman?"

"It appears that your dog choked on her, sir."

Very silly signs from around the world...

Today

Today's early test ratings show 27 rated races from four meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards