Morning News

Good morning...

So, a pretty nice start to the year...

As far as the strike rate for the top rated horse is concerned.

Today, being Sunday, is a day off for me but, I do have to say that it is the quietest Saturday that I've seen for ages.

It'll be back to work with a bang tomorrow, all things going well.

Anyway, enough that, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30.43%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30.43%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 30.43% from all 46 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 131.01 units returned to 136 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -3.67%

Top Rated Horse - There were 14 winners from the top rated horses from 46 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 47.89 units returned to 46 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, 4.11%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 11 winners from the second rated horses from 46 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 52.62 units returned to 46 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 14.39%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 6 winners from the third rated horses from 44 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 30.5 units returned to 44 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -30.68%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Fakenham 12:40:00 - The CSF paid £2.72

Southwell (AW) 14:05:00 - The CSF paid £8.48

Exeter 15:30:00 - The CSF paid £1.95

Reverse Forecasts

There were 2 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Fakenham 13:50:00 - The CSF paid £7.29

Catterick 14:15:00 - The CSF paid £7.85

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Catterick 12:30:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £44.30

Winners

From the 46 rated races there were 31 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 7 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Catterick	12:30	Lady Yeats (6)	5.50	5.90
Musselburgh	13:35	Indian Temple (9)	9.50	12.50
Exeter	13:45	Rocky Bender (4)	15.00	16.68
Cheltenham	14:30	Singlefarmpayment (16)	5.50	5.98
Fairyhouse	15:10	Witness Of Fashion (14)	7.00	7.29
Musselburgh	15:20	Donnas Diamond (2)	7.00	8.80
Southwell (AW)	15:45	The Lock Master (5)	5.50	6.20

The Portfolio

There was a Banker's Bet (but not a Chancer's Bet) yesterday.

Bankers Bet = NH Hurdles Wonders - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Hurdles and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 14 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60%

Selection = Back to ISP - Catterick - 14:15:00 - Jonniesofa (1)

Races (over last year): 21 Wins: 9 Strike Rate: 42.86% ROI: 278.59% AV SP: 6.50

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £375.00

Jonniesofa came second.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Mussleburgh 12:25:00 - Boldbob - Unplaced
Catterick 12:30:00 - Lady Yeats - 1st - Betfair paid 1.85 for the place.
Fairyhouse 12:50:00 - Dancingwithangels - Unplaced
Exeter 13:10:00 - Pligrims Bay - Unplaced
Fakenham 13:15:00 - Midtech Valentine - Unplaced
Cheltenham 13:20:00 - Blaklion - 2nd - Betfair paid 3.86 for the place.
Exeter 15:30:00 - Union Saint - Unplaced

We made a loss of 0.4755 points on the day and have made a loss of 0.4755 points for January.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 1.130904 points on the day an have made a loss of 1.130904 points for January.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 2.225874 points on the day and have made a loss of 2.225874 points for January.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJan.xls

Something to make you laugh

Whoops!

An English man and an Irish man are driving head on , at night, on a twisty, dark road.

Both are driving too fast for the conditions and collide on a sharp bend in the road.

To the amazement of both, they are unscathed, though their cars are both destroyed.

In celebration of their luck, both agree to put aside their dislike for the other from that moment on.

At this point, the Englishman goes to the boot and fetches a 12 year old bottle of whisky.

He hands the bottle to the Irish man, whom exclaims, "May the Irish and the English live together forever, in peace, and harmony."

The Irish man then tips the bottle and gulps half of the bottle down.

Still flabbergasted over the whole thing, he goes to hand the bottle to the Englishman, who replies: "no thanks, I'll just wait till the Police get here!"

Whoops 2!

Jim was speeding along the road one fine day when the local policeman, a friend of his, pulled him over.

"What's wrong, Eric?" Jim asked.

"Well didn't you know, Jim, that your wife fell out of the car about five miles back?" said Eric.

"Ah, praise God!" he replied with relief.

"I thought I'd gone deaf!"

Today

Today's early test ratings show 28 rated races from four meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards