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Morning News

focus-ratings-mornoing newsGood morning...

So, only one PBS selection yesterday but...

He did come second (and, thus, got placed) and Betfair did pay 5.42 for the place.

Thus, we're now (on the raw basic strategy) up about 36 points (on 39 points staked) over the first 14 days of the month.

It was another good day for us, strike rate wise,

Giving us a strike rate (for the top rated horse) of 33.33% for the first fortnight of the year.

Anyway, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 37.04%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 35.71%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 35.71% from all 28 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 59.04 units returned to 82 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -28%

Top Rated Horse - There were 10 winners from the top rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 22.88 units returned to 27 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -15.26%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the second rated horses from 28 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 19.41 units returned to 28 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -30.68%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the third rated horses from 27 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 16.75 units returned to 27 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -37.96%

Forecasts

There were 3 forecasts yesterday.

Thurles 14:10:00 - The CSF paid £2.22

Southwell (AW) 14:30:00 - The CSF paid £7.32

Chelmsford (AW) 17:40:00 - The CSF paid £9.23

Reverse Forecasts

There was 1 reverse forecast yesterday.

Chelmsford (AW) 20:10:00 - The CSF paid £4.40

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Thurles 14:10:00 - The Trifecta paid £3.30

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 combination tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Catterick 15:55:00 - The Tricast/Trifecta paid £146.60

Winners

From the 28 rated races there were 17 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 5 of those were at nice prices.

Course Time Horse ISP BSP
Southwell (AW) 13:00 James Bond Girl (5) 6.00 6.84
Catterick 14:20 William Of Orange (10) 5.50 7.20
Thurles 15:15 Coolnagorna Giggs (5) 6.00 6.27
Chelmsford (AW) 18:40 Bold Prediction (4) 8.00 9.80
Chelmsford (AW) 19:40 E Fourteen (12) 7.00 9.06

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = NH Chase - Mares who are top rated and came 3rd last time out. - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Chase and Horse = Mare and where Position last time out = Third

Selection = Back to ISP - Thurles - 14:40:00 - Emcon (5)

Races (over last year): 19 Wins: 8 Strike Rate: 42.11% ROI: 182.34% AV SP: 4.33

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £156.40

Emcon fell.

Chancers Bet = AW Handicap Claimers - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is a Claimer and where the Race is a Handicap Race and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Southwell (AW) - 12:30:00 - Alpha Tauri (2)

Races (over last year): 10 Wins: 3 Strike Rate: 30.00% ROI: 129.90AV SP: 4.33

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £29.90

Alpha Tauri came 5th.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Catterick 15:55:00 - Sungal Long - 2nd - Betfair paid 5.42 for the place.

We made a profit of 4.199 points on the day and have made a profit of 36.0545 points for January.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 2.846922 points on the day an have made a profit of 31.015788 points for January.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a profit of 2.846922 for the day and we have made a profit of 25.991808 points for January.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJan.xls

Something to make you laugh

Ole Blue

A young Southern boy goes off to college, but about 1/3 of the way through the semester, he has foolishly squandered away all of the money his parents gave him.

Then he gets an idea. He calls his daddy. "Dad," he says, "you won't believe the wonders that modern education are coming up with!

Why, they actually have a program here at college that will teach our dog Ole Blue how to talk!"

"That's absolutely amazing," his father says. "How do I get him in that program?"

>em>"Just send him down here with $1,000" the boy says.

So, his father sends the dog and the $1,000.

About 2/3 way through the semester, the money runs out. The boy calls his father again. "So how's Ole Blue doing, son," his father asks.

"Awesome, Dad, he's talking up a storm," he says, "but you just won't believe this they've had such good results with this program that they've implemented a new one to teach the animals how to READ!"

"READ," says his father, "No kidding! What do I have to do to get him in that program?"

"Just send $2,500, I'll get him in the class."

His father sends the money.

The boy now has a problem. At the end of the year, his father will find out that the dog can neither talk, nor read. So he shoots the dog.

When he gets home at the end of the semester, his father is all excited. "Where's Ole Blue? I just can't wait to see him talk and read something!"

"Dad," the boy says, "I have some grim news. Yesterday morning, just before we left to drive home, Ole Blue was in the living room kicking back in the recliner, reading the morning paper, like he usually does. Then he turned to me and asked, ' So, is your daddy still messin' around with that little redhead who lives on Oak Street ?""I hope you SHOT that son of a bitch before he talks to your Mother!"

"I sure did, Dad!"

"That's my boy!"

Today

Today's early test ratings show 26 rated races from four meetings.

Every race is rated.

Have a great day's racing!

5 star ratingsOnce again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards

keith-eckstein1

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