Morning News

Good morning...

Well, there's not an awful lot that I can say about yesterday...

There were only 13 races and none of them looked very special to me.

Still, we hit an acceptable strike rate and,

Our one PBS selection came second and earned a profit.

Our Bankers Bet won at 5/1

I now have a dedicated monitor watching processes on the server as I am trying to speed up the System Selections.

Yesterday, the Systems Selections process started at 9:28 am and finished at 10:38 am.

I have identified thousands of systems that belong to people who are no longer members and I am in the process of deleting these. This will take some time as I have to double check each owner to ensure that I am not deleting live systems. This should speed up the systems selections process. I have also identified some code improvements that I can implement but I'll leave those until Sunday as I want to do it on a quiet day just in case it goes horribly wrong and I have to revert to the existing code.

So, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 23.08%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 25% from all 12 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 22 units returned to 39 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -43.59%

Top Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the top rated horses from 12 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 9.8 units returned to 12 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -18.33%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 2 winners from the second rated horses from 14 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 5.7 units returned to 14 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -59.29%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 1 winners from the third rated horses from 13 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 6.5 units returned to 13 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -50%

Forecasts

There were 0 forecasts yesterday.

Reverse Forecasts

There were 0 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 12 rated races there were 6 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 1 of those was at a nice price.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Plumpton	16:10	Guaracha (1)	6.50	7.33

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = NH Chase - Mares who are top rated and came 3rd last time out. - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Chase and Horse = Mare and where Position last time out = Third

Selection = Back to ISP - Plumpton - 15:15:00 - Bebinn (4)

Races (over last year): 21 Wins: 8 Strike Rate: 38.10% ROI: 164.97% AV SP: 4.33

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £136.40

Bebinn won @ 4.0 ISP ( 4.5 BSP.)

Chancers Bet = AW Handicap Claimers - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is a Claimer and where the Race is a Handicap Race and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Wolverhampton (AW) - 14:00:00 - Never To Be (8)

Races (over last year): 11 Wins: 3 Strike Rate: 27.27% ROI: 118.08AV SP: 4.33

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £19.90

Never to be came 7th.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Plumpton 13:45:00 - Jajamcool - 2nd - Betfair paid 1.83 for the place.

We made a profit of 0.7885 points on the day and have made a profit of 35.2935 points for January.

For the new strategy we made a profit of 0.534603 points on the day an have made a profit of 27.78783 points for January.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) there was no bet and we have made a profit of 23.076408 points for January.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJan.xls

Something to make you laugh

A Woman Knows

A women accompanied her husband to the doctor's office. After his checkup, the doctor called the wife into his office alone. He said, "If you don't do the following, your husband will surely die:

1. Each morning , fix him a healthy breakfast.

2. Be pleasant and make sure he is in a good mood.

3. For lunch, make him a nutritious meal.

4. For dinner, prepare him an especially nice meal.

5. Don't burden him with chores as he probably had a hard day.

6. Don't discuss your problems with him."

On the way home, the husband asked his wife what the doctor said to her. "You're going to die," she replied.

One from me...

And one from Lee...

Today

Today's early test ratings show 13 rated races from two meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards