Morning News

Good morning...

A more interesting day, yesterday.

Our Bankers Bet won but we made a small loss on the PBS selections.

However, we're still showing a pretty excellent profit for the month.

Now, I have a silly question to ask...

Actually, a series of them.

Here goes...

Irish Horses..

When an Irish trainer brings a horse to the UK to race, does the horse stay in stables in the UK or get shipped over and go straight back after the race?

I told you these questions were silly.

If the horse stays in the stables in the UK, do they belong to the trainer?

Do Irish trainers bring horses over to the UK for just one race or is it more likely to be for a season?

If the answer to the above question is both, how do you know if the horse is coming over for just one race?

If a horse has raced in the UK and then goes back to Ireland, is its performance affected?

These are all R5 related questions and once I get to grip with the concept, then I'll be able to analyse some numbers.

If you can see where I'm going here, or if you know about Irish racing, please feel free to drop me a mail to explain it to my befuddled little brain.

Obviously, tomorrow I may well be ask the same question but, in reverse (do British trainers send their horses to Ireland to race?) - be warned!

So, now I've got you pondering the question of life, the universe and everything (including Irish trainers and horses) over your cornflakes, let's get on and take a quick look at yesterday's results in more detail....

Yesterday's Results

Yesterday's Results, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.92%.

Yesterday's Live Ratings, show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.92%.

Yesterday's - Link to Follow - results for All Races (including previously unrated races), show a strike rate (for our top rated horse) of 26.92% from all 26 Races (including previously unrated races.)

The Overall Profit Index. If you had blindly backed every top three rated horse in all of the races you would have had 68.53 units returned to 77 units staked. The Overall Profit Index was, thus, -11%

Top Rated Horse - There were 7 winners from the top rated horses from 26 Races. If you had blindly backed the top rated horse in all of the races you would have had 22.55 units returned to 26 units staked. The Top Rated Profit Index was, thus, -13.27%

2nd Rated Horse - There were 3 winners from the second rated horses from 25 Races. If you had blindly backed the 2nd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 12.98 units returned to 25 units staked. The 2nd Rated Profit Index was, thus, -48.08%

3rd Rated Horse - There were 4 winners from the third rated horses from 26 Races. If you had blindly backed the 3rd rated horse in all of the races you would have had 33 units returned to 26 units staked. The 3rd Rated Profit Index was, thus, 26.92%

Forecasts

There were 2 forecasts yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 15:55:00 - The CSF paid £9.44

Kempton (AW) 18:10:00 - The CSF paid £8.92

Reverse Forecasts

There were 1 reverse forecasts yesterday.

Fairyhouse 15:35:00 - The CSF paid £10.46

Tricasts/Trifectas

There was 1 tricast/trifecta yesterday.

Lingfield (AW) 15:55:00 - The Trifecta paid £21.70

Combination Tricasts/Trifectas

There were 0 combination tricasts/trifectas yesterday.

Winners

From the 26 rated races there were 14 winners (from the top 3 rated horses.) 3 of those were at nice prices.

Course	Time	Horse	ISP	BSP
Lingfield (AW)	13:35	Fleckerl (5)	21.00	29.80
Lingfield (AW)	14:10	Percella (3)	7.00	7.20
Kempton (AW)	18:40	Whinging Willie (5)	9.00	10.10

The Portfolio

There was both a Banker's Bet and a Chancer's Bet yesterday.

Bankers Bet = All Weather Wonders - Season Proper - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = All Weather and where the Race is Not a Handicap Race and Horse\'s last run was less than 28 days ago and RC1 was more than 90% and RC2 was more than 60% and the Month is January or the Month is February or the Month is March or the Month is April or the Month is September or the Month is October or the Month is November or the Month is December

Selection = Back to ISP - Lingfield (AW) - 12:30:00 - Belle Mare Plage (3)

Races (over last year): 54 Wins: 29 Strike Rate: 53.70% ROI: 148.21% AV SP: 2.76

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £260.40

Belle Mare Plage won at 2.5 ISP (2.52 BSP.)

Chancers Bet = NH Chase - Mares who are top rated and came 3rd last time out. - where R4 Status = 1 and where Race Type = National Hunt - Chase and Horse = Mare and where Position last time out = Third

Selection = Back to ISP - Fairyhouse - 12:45:00 - Curragh Na Gold (4)

Races (over last year): 22 Wins: 9 Strike Rate: 40.91% ROI: 175.50AV SP: 4.29

Profit/Loss (to £10 stakes): is £166.10

Curragh Na Gold fell.

On the Portfolio Page there is now a link to the Banker's Bet Proofing Page and, also to the Chancer's Bet proofing page.

You may subscribe to my Portfolio. To do so, you need to go to your Members Page and change option 4 on the Your Profile bit.

If you haven't subscribed, the button will say Yes - just click on it and you'll be signed up.

Place Betting Strategy

Fairyhouse 12:45:00 - Whats on the Menu - Unplaced
Mussleburgh 14:20:00 - Definitely Glad - 3rd - Betfair paid 2.61 for the place.
Fairyhouse 14:25:00 - Lets High Five It - Unplaced
Fairyhouse 16:10:00 - Derrygereen Girl - Unplaced

We made a loss of 1.4705 points on the day and have made a profit of 37.7465 points for January.

For the new strategy we made a loss of 1.674999 points on the day an have made a profit of 29.822847 points for January.

I have added a new section to the spreadsheet to indicate the results should we ignore the odds on selections.

For the refined strategy (the one that you should be using) we made a loss of 1.67499 for the day and we have made a profit of 25.111425 points for January.

The spreadsheet of all of the results is available at… http://focusratings.com/data/PBSJan.xls

Something to make you laugh

Another one from David O.

Ever wonder...

Why do supermarkets make the sick walk all the way to the back of the store to get their prescriptions while healthy people can buy cigarettes at the front.

Why do people order double cheeseburgers, large fries, and a diet coke.

Why do banks leave vault doors open and then chain the pens to the counters.

Why do we leave cars worth thousands of pounds in our driveways and put our useless junk in the garage.

Why do we buy hamburgers in packages of ten and buns in packages of eight..

Why the sun lightens our hair, but darkens our skin?

Why can't women put on mascara with their mouth closed?

Why don't you ever see the headline 'Psychic Wins Lottery'?

Why is 'abbreviated' such a long word?

Why is it that doctors call what they do 'practice'?

Why is lemon juice made with artificial flavouring, and dish washing liquid made with real lemons?

Why is the man who invests all your money called a broker?

Why is the time of day with the slowest traffic called rush hour?

Why isn't there mouse-flavoured cat food?

Why didn't Noah swat those two mosquitoes?

Why do they sterilize the needle for lethal injections?

You know that indestructible black box that is used on airplanes? Why don't they make the whole plane out of that stuff?!

Why don't sheep shrink when it rains?

Why are they called apartments when they are all stuck together?

If flying is so safe, why do they call the airport the terminal?

Today

Today's early test ratings show 33 rated races from five meetings.

Have a great day's racing!

Once again, if you've got anything to say about Focus Ratings, please wander over to the Focus Ratings Review at Tipsters Review and have your say.

The income that we make from sign ups from that site keeps me in Red Wine and Smelly Cheese!

As always...

My kindest regards